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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT To
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C O N T E N T S ECONOMIC REPORT OF
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economic report of the president To
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year-old. In the meantime, I’m go
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the annual report of the council of
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C O N T E N T S CHAPTER 1. PROMOTIN
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APPENDIX 1: COMPONENTS OF THE RECOV
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THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION’S RECORD
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2.15. Housing Starts, 1960-2013....
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3.1. Forecasted and Actual Real GDP
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C H A P T E R 1 PROMOTING OPPORTUNI
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Opportunity, Growth, and Security i
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crisis—continue to rebound and co
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Figure 1-4 Real GDP Per Working-Age
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Figure 1-6 Change in Poverty Rate F
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Figure 1-7 Domestic Crude Oil Produ
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Figure 1-8 Growth in Real Per Capit
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Figure 1-9 Unemployment Rate by Dur
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e needed to make up for a decades-l
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Annual percent change 2.50 15-year
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Figure 1-14 Share of National Incom
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Along with steps that create jobs,
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corner, with purchases increasing d
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the four quarters of 2013, or enoug
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Percent of GDP 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -
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Percent 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 Figure 2-3
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In the euro area, the unemployment
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Figure 2-6 Cumulative Flows into Mu
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Figure 2-7 Household Deleveraging,
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Box 2-1: The 2013 Comprehensive Rev
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Percent 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Figure 2
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Figure 2-11 State and Local Pension
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Percent of GDP 2 1 0 Figure 2-14 Cu
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Box 2-2. Administration Trade Polic
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Upon completion, the TPP and T-TIP
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percent of households report that i
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Figure 2-18 Petroleum Net Imports,
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Figure 2-21 U.S. Per Capita Consump
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Percent 11 Figure 2-22 Unemployment
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Figure 2-25 Predicted vs. Actual Ma
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Box 2-4: Unemployment Duration and
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The Long-Term Outlook The 11-Year F
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Growth in GDP over the Long Term As
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Box 2-5: Immigration Reform and Pot
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Even with this growth, however, the
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families. The other half was for in
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ecause of rapidly declining stock a
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Obama Administration and the 111th
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Figure 3-1 Recovery Act Programs by
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other cases, new measures expanded
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Figure 3-2 Recovery Act and Subsequ
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Box 3-1: Other Administration Polic
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challenges, and how economists have
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Table 3-5 Estimated Output Multipli
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Figure 3-7 Quarterly Effect of the
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Table 3-6 Estimates of the Effects
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International Comparison The 2008 c
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Box 3-2: The U.S. Recovery in Compa
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Table 3-7 Tax Relief and Income Sup
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traditionally been jointly financed
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downturn in the economy. Even thoug
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Figure 3-11 Recovery Act Cumulative
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The Recovery Act also invested in r
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helped individuals who chose to ret
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the period, even though total power
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average—then the resulting increa
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Alternative Minimum Tax relief, bus
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Through the end of a Individual Tax
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y Poterba (1994), states and locali
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Table 3-11 Fiscal Support for the E
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spells. Because the resulting unemp
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literature uses two different appro
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Table 3-12 Summary of Cross-Section
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the CMS projections show real per-c
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will accrue to workers as higher wa
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Box 4-1: Two Measures of Growth in
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Figure 4-1 Growth in Real Per Capit
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in particular may not exactly track
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find that even those seniors who di
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the slowdown in real (that is, infl
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health care costs for an individual
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estimate for the ACA found that its
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Figure 4-4 Medicare 30-Day, All-Con
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- Page 179 and 180: 2010a; 2011; 2012c; 2013a; 2014), w
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- Page 183 and 184: Conclusion The evidence is clear th
- Page 185 and 186: facilitated this private-sector tec
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- Page 191 and 192: Table 5-2 Nonfarm Private Business
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- Page 211 and 212: To stimulate investment in more adv
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- Page 215 and 216: Box 5-5: Electronic Health Records
- Page 217 and 218: about the array of services and sup
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- Page 227 and 228: Optimism was high at the outset of
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- Page 231 and 232: Box 6-2: A Consumption Poverty Meas
- Page 233 and 234: then setting poverty rates based on
- Page 235 and 236: the head was out of work for a full
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- Page 239 and 240: for different housing costs across
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- Page 245 and 246: that child poverty increases by 8.5
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- Page 267 and 268: Box 6-5: Raising the Minimum Wage I
- Page 269 and 270: schools. The School Improvement Gra
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Box 7-1: Impact Evaluations, Proces
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entrepreneurs are more likely than
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to the treatment and control groups
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tool in the private sector for ongo
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Impact of the Evidence-Based Agenda
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the FAFSA with the income informati
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home visiting programs to reach add
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egulators have been hesitant to app
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there are models that effectively s
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esearch to help facilitate ongoing
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government programs. Key considerat
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strategy has been used recently to
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mental health block grant programs
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To help address these barriers, the
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also using cutting-edge technology
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_____. 2013. Data update to “Inco
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European Central Bank. 2012. “Pre
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Angrist, Joshua D., and Jörn-Steff
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___. 2010i. “Cost Estimate: Budge
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Executive Office of the President a
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Office of Science and Technology Po
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___. 2008. Speech at the Wall Stree
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______. 2012b. “Letter to the Hon
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______. 2013b. “Medicaid Enrollme
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Acemoglu, Daron and David Autor. 20
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BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics).
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Farrell, Joseph, John Hayes, Carl S
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Heckman, James J., Rodrigo Pinto, a
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Mishel, Lawrence, Heidi Shierholz,
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Andersson, Fredrik, Harry J. Holzer
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Chetty, Raj, John N. Friedman, Sore
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Eissa, Nada and Hilary W. Hoynes. 2
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Ichino, Andrea, Loukas Karabarbouni
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Nicholson-Crotty, Sean and Kenneth
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Angrist, Joshua D., and Jörn-Steff
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Dobbie, Will and Roland G. Fryer. 2
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Paulsell, Diane, S. Avellar, E. Sam
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A P P E N D I X A REPORT TO THE PRE
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Council Members and Their Dates of
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Report to the President on the Acti
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also worked on several issues relat
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Adrienne Pilot . . . . . . . . . .
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Departures in 2013 In August, David
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C O N T E N T S GDP, INCOME, PRICES
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General Notes Detail in these table
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Historical data may be subject to r
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Table B-1. Percent changes in real
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Table B-2. Gross domestic product,
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Table B-4. Growth rates in real gro
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Year or quarter Total Table B-6. Co
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Table B-8. New private housing unit
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Table B-10. Changes in consumer pri
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Table B-11. Civilian population and
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Year or month Table B-13. Unemploym
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Table B-14. Employees on nonagricul
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Year or quarter Table B-16. Product
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Table B-17. Bond yields and interes
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Table B-19. Federal receipts, outla
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Table B-21. Federal receipts and ou
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Table B-23. Federal and State and l
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Table B-25. U.S. Treasury securitie
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SOURCES For each table, this sectio
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B-17. Real personal consumption exp
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B-37. Civilian employment by demogr
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B-57. Manufacturing and trade sales
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B-74. Credit market borrowing Board
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Corporate Profits and Finance B-90.
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B-107. International investment pos