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drugs. When generic drugs enter a market, they are offered at a much<br />

lower price than is the branded drug, and they typically capture a large<br />

market share. For these reasons, generic entry results in considerable<br />

savings to consumers and to the health care system. The delay of generic<br />

entry due to pay-for-delay settlements greatly reduces those savings.<br />

The ability of incumbent patent holders to enter into pay-fordelay<br />

settlements, and to thereby maintain their patent protection for a<br />

longer period, might be viewed as increasing the value of pharmaceutical<br />

patents, and hence increasing the incentive to invest in discovering new<br />

drugs. However, the value of any increased innovation arising from these<br />

settlements may be relatively small. The most socially valuable drug patents<br />

are often those covering new molecular entities. These patents are<br />

relatively unlikely to be successfully challenged, which means the generic<br />

entrant has little prospect of victory at trial or of a lucrative pay-for-delay<br />

settlement. As a result, banning such settlements may not significantly<br />

affect the incentive to invest in inventing new molecular entities. Instead,<br />

pay-for-delay settlements often involve patents on incremental improvements<br />

to existing drugs, often ones that make the drug just different<br />

enough that a prescription for the new version cannot be filled with an<br />

existing generic equivalent of the old version. The ability to enter into<br />

pay-for-delay settlements does encourage this type of innovation, but the<br />

social benefits are likely to be comparatively small in many cases.<br />

Pay-for-delay settlements have been the subject of a considerable<br />

amount of litigation, culminating in a 2013 Supreme Court decision<br />

in FTC v. Actavis, involving a drug called AndroGel. The Court ruled<br />

that “pay for delay” settlements are not presumptively unlawful, but<br />

are also not immune from antitrust scrutiny, partially resolving earlier<br />

conflicting rulings by lower courts (see FTC v. Actavis 2013). The Court<br />

did not establish a concrete rule regarding how such settlements should<br />

be treated, however, so substantial uncertainty remains about how these<br />

lawsuits will be adjudicated in practice.<br />

The Administration has proposed legislation that gives the Federal<br />

Trade Commission explicit authority to stop companies from entering<br />

into pay-for-delay agreements. For the reasons described above, such<br />

authority would likely generate billions of dollars in savings for consumers,<br />

and also for the Federal Government through lower pharmaceutical<br />

prices paid by Medicare, Medicaid, the Department of Defense, and the<br />

Veterans Administration (see CBO 2011 and FTC 2010).<br />

Fostering Productivity Growth | 219

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