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B–74. Credit market borrowing Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, www.federalreserve.gov Z.1 – Financial Accounts of the U.S., www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1 www.federalreserve.gov/apps/contactus/feedback.aspx, (202) 452-3204 B–75. Mortgage debt outstanding by type of property and of financing Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, www.federalreserve.gov Mortgage Debt Outstanding, www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/releases/ mortoutstand www.federalreserve.gov/apps/contactus/feedback.aspx, (202) 452-3204 B–76. Mortgage debt outstanding by holder Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, www.federalreserve.gov Mortgage Debt Outstanding, www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/releases/ mortoutstand www.federalreserve.gov/apps/contactus/feedback.aspx, (202) 452-3204 B–77. Consumer credit outstanding Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, www.federalreserve.gov G.19 – Consumer Credit, www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19 www.federalreserve.gov/apps/contactus/feedback.aspx, (202) 452-3204 Government Finance B–78. Federal receipts, outlays, surplus or deficit, and debt Office of Management and Budget, www.whitehouse.gov/omb The Budget, www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historicals (202) 395-3080 Department of the Treasury, www.treasury.gov Monthly Treasury Statement, www.fms.treas.gov/mts budget.reports@fms.treas.gov, (202) 622-2970 B–79. Federal receipts, outlays, surplus or deficit, and debt, as percent of gross domestic product Office of Management and Budget, www.whitehouse.gov/omb The Budget, www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historicals (202) 395-3080 Department of the Treasury, www.treasury.gov Monthly Treasury Statement, www.fms.treas.gov/mts budget.reports@fms.treas.gov, (202) 622-2970 B–80. Federal receipts and outlays, by major category, and surplus or deficit Office of Management and Budget, www.whitehouse.gov/omb The Budget, www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historicals (202) 395-3080 Department of the Treasury, www.treasury.gov Monthly Treasury Statement, www.fms.treas.gov/mts budget.reports@fms.treas.gov, (202) 622-2970 Sources | 405
B–81. Federal receipts, outlays, surplus or deficit, and debt Office of Management and Budget, www.whitehouse.gov/omb The Budget, www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historicals (202) 395-3080 Department of the Treasury, www.treasury.gov Monthly Treasury Statement, www.fms.treas.gov/mts budget.reports@fms.treas.gov, (202) 622-2970 B–82. Federal and State and local government current receipts and expenditures, national income and product accounts (NIPA) Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), www.bea.gov GDP and Personal Income, www.bea.gov/itable customerservice@bea.gov, (202) 606-9900 B–83. Federal and State and local government current receipts and expenditures, NIPA, by major type Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), www.bea.gov GDP and Personal Income, www.bea.gov/itable customerservice@bea.gov, (202) 606-9900 B–84. Federal Government current receipts and expenditures, NIPA Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), www.bea.gov GDP and Personal Income, www.bea.gov/itable customerservice@bea.gov, (202) 606-9900 B–85. State and local government current receipts and expenditures, NIPA Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), www.bea.gov GDP and Personal Income, www.bea.gov/itable customerservice@bea.gov, (202) 606-9900 B–86. State and local government revenues and expenditures Department of Commerce (Bureau of Census), www.census.gov State and Local Government Finances, www.census.gov/govs/local govs.finstaff@census.gov, (301) 763-5153 B–87. U.S. Treasury securities outstanding by kind of obligation Department of the Treasury, www.treasury.gov Monthly Statement of Public Debt, www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/ mspd/mspd.htm treasury.bulletin@fms.treas.gov, (202) 622-2000 B–88. Maturity distribution and average length of marketable interest-bearing public debt securities held by private investors Department of the Treasury, www.treasury.gov Treasury Bulletin, www.fms.treas.gov/bulletin treasury.bulletin@fms.treas.gov, (202) 622-2000 B–89. Estimated ownership of U.S. Treasury securities Department of the Treasury, www.treasury.gov Treasury Bulletin, www.fms.treas.gov/bulletin treasury.bulletin@fms.treas.gov, (202) 622-2000 406 | Appendix B
Page 1 and 2:
ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT To
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C O N T E N T S ECONOMIC REPORT OF
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economic report of the president To
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year-old. In the meantime, I’m go
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the annual report of the council of
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C O N T E N T S CHAPTER 1. PROMOTIN
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APPENDIX 1: COMPONENTS OF THE RECOV
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THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION’S RECORD
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2.15. Housing Starts, 1960-2013....
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3.1. Forecasted and Actual Real GDP
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C H A P T E R 1 PROMOTING OPPORTUNI
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Opportunity, Growth, and Security i
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crisis—continue to rebound and co
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Figure 1-4 Real GDP Per Working-Age
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Figure 1-6 Change in Poverty Rate F
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Figure 1-7 Domestic Crude Oil Produ
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Figure 1-8 Growth in Real Per Capit
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Figure 1-9 Unemployment Rate by Dur
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e needed to make up for a decades-l
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Annual percent change 2.50 15-year
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Figure 1-14 Share of National Incom
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Along with steps that create jobs,
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corner, with purchases increasing d
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the four quarters of 2013, or enoug
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Percent of GDP 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -
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Percent 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 Figure 2-3
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In the euro area, the unemployment
Page 61 and 62:
Figure 2-6 Cumulative Flows into Mu
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Figure 2-7 Household Deleveraging,
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Box 2-1: The 2013 Comprehensive Rev
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Percent 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Figure 2
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Figure 2-11 State and Local Pension
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Percent of GDP 2 1 0 Figure 2-14 Cu
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Box 2-2. Administration Trade Polic
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Upon completion, the TPP and T-TIP
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percent of households report that i
Page 79 and 80:
Figure 2-18 Petroleum Net Imports,
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Figure 2-21 U.S. Per Capita Consump
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Percent 11 Figure 2-22 Unemployment
Page 85 and 86:
Figure 2-25 Predicted vs. Actual Ma
Page 87 and 88:
Box 2-4: Unemployment Duration and
Page 89 and 90:
The Long-Term Outlook The 11-Year F
Page 91 and 92:
Growth in GDP over the Long Term As
Page 93 and 94:
Box 2-5: Immigration Reform and Pot
Page 95 and 96:
Even with this growth, however, the
Page 97 and 98:
families. The other half was for in
Page 99 and 100:
ecause of rapidly declining stock a
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Obama Administration and the 111th
Page 103 and 104:
Figure 3-1 Recovery Act Programs by
Page 105 and 106:
other cases, new measures expanded
Page 107 and 108:
Figure 3-2 Recovery Act and Subsequ
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Box 3-1: Other Administration Polic
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challenges, and how economists have
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Table 3-5 Estimated Output Multipli
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Figure 3-7 Quarterly Effect of the
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Table 3-6 Estimates of the Effects
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International Comparison The 2008 c
Page 121 and 122:
Box 3-2: The U.S. Recovery in Compa
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Table 3-7 Tax Relief and Income Sup
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traditionally been jointly financed
Page 127 and 128:
downturn in the economy. Even thoug
Page 129 and 130:
Figure 3-11 Recovery Act Cumulative
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The Recovery Act also invested in r
Page 133 and 134:
helped individuals who chose to ret
Page 135 and 136:
the period, even though total power
Page 137 and 138:
average—then the resulting increa
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Alternative Minimum Tax relief, bus
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Through the end of a Individual Tax
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y Poterba (1994), states and locali
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Table 3-11 Fiscal Support for the E
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spells. Because the resulting unemp
Page 149 and 150:
literature uses two different appro
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Table 3-12 Summary of Cross-Section
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the CMS projections show real per-c
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will accrue to workers as higher wa
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Box 4-1: Two Measures of Growth in
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Figure 4-1 Growth in Real Per Capit
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in particular may not exactly track
Page 163 and 164:
find that even those seniors who di
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the slowdown in real (that is, infl
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health care costs for an individual
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estimate for the ACA found that its
Page 171 and 172:
Figure 4-4 Medicare 30-Day, All-Con
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agreements among the providers them
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payment for physician services, the
Page 177 and 178:
Box 4-3: The Cost Slowdown and ACA
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2010a; 2011; 2012c; 2013a; 2014), w
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Figure 4-6 Recent CBO Projections o
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Conclusion The evidence is clear th
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facilitated this private-sector tec
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esulting gap between the actual gro
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Table 5-1 Sources of Productivity I
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Table 5-2 Nonfarm Private Business
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of the productivity improvement res
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Figure 5-3 Growth in Productivity a
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improving and college completion ra
Page 199 and 200:
Box 5-2: Does Inequality Affect Pro
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Percent 3.5 Figure 5-5 Composition
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• Just two of the largest U.S. te
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Box 5-3: Just-in-Time Manufacturing
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Figure 5-7 Exclusive and Shared All
Page 209 and 210:
Box 5-4: Spectrum Investment Polici
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To stimulate investment in more adv
Page 213 and 214:
Because current uses of technology
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Box 5-5: Electronic Health Records
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about the array of services and sup
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and, in such cases, provides partie
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Box 5-6: The Leahy-Smith America In
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Box 5-7: Pay-For-Delay Settlements
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C H A P T E R 6 THE WAR ON POVERTY
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Measuring Poverty: Who is Poor in A
Page 230 and 231:
thresholds ever since. These dollar
Page 232 and 233:
of necessary items, including food,
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Table 6-1 Poverty Rates by Selected
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Box 6-3: Women and Poverty While wo
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However, this reflects smaller decl
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Percent 25 Figure 6-1 Trends in the
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Box 6-4: Social Programs Serve All
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of low- and middle-income workers a
Page 246 and 247:
particularly valuable since they es
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Figure 6-4 Official vs Anchored Sup
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deep market poverty driven by the b
Page 252 and 253:
work: in 2010, for example, unemplo
Page 254 and 255:
out of poverty through job training
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e noted that researchers have found
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2012). Among the children of low-ea
Page 260 and 261:
Education appears to be one of the
Page 262 and 263:
Friedman, and Rockoff (2011) find t
Page 264 and 265:
including an additional $25 a week
Page 266 and 267:
Figure 6-11 Recovery Act and Subseq
Page 268 and 269:
Empowering Every Child with a Quali
Page 270 and 271:
modernize America’s high schools
Page 272 and 273:
low-income Americans and their chil
Page 274 and 275:
C H A P T E R 7 EVALUATION AS A TOO
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program evaluation efforts. For exa
Page 278 and 279:
went to preschool would have had if
Page 280 and 281:
y adopting successful interventions
Page 282 and 283:
Box 7-2: Using Behavioral Economics
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Box 7-3: “Rapid Cycle” Evaluati
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Figure 7-1 Outlays for Grants to St
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performance data, fewer than half o
Page 290 and 291:
Investment Act programs. The PROMIS
Page 292 and 293:
Figure 7-2 Inventory of Beds for Ho
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example, included a nondiscretionar
Page 296 and 297:
Other benefits of considering evalu
Page 298 and 299:
with the treatment effect and thus
Page 300 and 301:
unemployment insurance wage and ben
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hard for researchers to access for
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REFERENCES Chapter 1 Almunia, Migue
Page 306 and 307:
____. 2014. “Press Release: Janua
Page 308 and 309:
and the TPP at the Peterson Institu
Page 310 and 311:
Increase Employment Evidence from t
Page 312 and 313:
___. 2010b. “The Economic Impact
Page 314 and 315:
___. 2012. World Economic Outlook A
Page 316 and 317:
Polak Annual Research Conference. W
Page 318 and 319:
Baicker, Katherine and Amitabh Chan
Page 320 and 321:
Daly, Mary, Bart Hobijn, and Brian
Page 322 and 323:
Nominal Wages,” International Jou
Page 324 and 325:
Learning: A Meta-Analysis and Revie
Page 326 and 327:
Chien, Colleen V. 2012. “Reformin
Page 328 and 329:
GAO (Government Accountability Offi
Page 330 and 331:
Jorgenson, Dale. 2001. “Informati
Page 332 and 333:
Integration in Economic Development
Page 334 and 335:
_____. 2007. “Improving the Safet
Page 336 and 337:
Dahl, Gordon B. and Lance Lochner.
Page 338 and 339:
Heckman, James J. and Dimitriy V. M
Page 340 and 341:
Ludwig, Jens and Douglas Miller. 20
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Sharkey, Patrick. 2009. “Neighbor
Page 344 and 345:
_____. 2013. “Practical Evaluatio
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www.nij.gov/topics/corrections/comm
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Stock, James H., and Mark Watson. 2
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letter of transmittal Council of Ec
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Council Members and Their Dates of
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The Members of the Council Betsey S
Page 359 and 360: Act has had on reducing health care
Page 361 and 362: Statistical Office The Statistical
Page 364: A P P E N D I X B STATISTICAL TABLE
Page 367 and 368: INTEREST RATES, MONEY STOCK, AND GO
Page 369 and 370: 2013-to-2014 TABLE NUMBER MATCH 201
Page 371 and 372: Year or quarter Table B-1. Percent
Page 373 and 374: Table B-2. Gross domestic product,
Page 375 and 376: Table B-3. Quantity and price index
Page 377 and 378: Table B-5. Real exports and imports
Page 379 and 380: Year Total 2 Table B-7. Real farm i
Page 381 and 382: Table B-9. Median money income (in
Page 383 and 384: Year or month Civilian noninstituti
Page 385 and 386: Year or month All civilian workers
Page 387 and 388: Table B-14. Employees on nonagricul
Page 389 and 390: Table B-15. Hours and earnings in p
Page 391 and 392: Year and month Interest Rates, Mone
Page 393 and 394: Year and month Table B-18. Money st
Page 395 and 396: Table B-20. Federal receipts, outla
Page 397 and 398: Table B-22. Federal receipts, outla
Page 399 and 400: Table B-24. State and local governm
Page 401 and 402: End of month Table B-26. Estimated
Page 403 and 404: B-7. Chain-type price indexes for g
Page 405 and 406: B-28. National income by type of in
Page 407 and 408: B-48. Employment cost index, privat
Page 409: B-65. Producer price indexes by sta
Page 413 and 414: B-99. Farm output and productivity
Page 415: B-111. International reserves Inter
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