For our purposes, we examine how <strong>climate</strong> hazards stress natural systems, realizing that there is often ananthropogenic component to the stress mechanism. We list both the current stressors that increase <strong>vulnerability</strong>or future stressors induced by <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>; many stressors do both. These stressors are water or heat stress,wildfire, desertification, deforestation, soil health (erosion, low fertility, salinization), flooding, coastal erosion,overfishing, <strong>and</strong> saltwater intrusion (Table 6.1). Many of these stressors manifest throughout the country (e.g.,heat stress) but some, such as coastal erosion, are limited to one region. Similarly, some resource systems areimpacted by most stressors but in different ways depending on the resource subsystem, such as agriculture (e.g.,small holder versus commercial operator). Following this overview, we detail how some current stressors increase<strong>vulnerability</strong> in specific resource sectors <strong>and</strong> ecological zones.Table 6.1 Natural Systems VulnerabilityHazardcategory 1Hazard Stressor Resource System Rationale(PotentialOutcome)ReferencesEcologicalZoneDiscreteRecurrentDrought Water stress AgricultureSmall holder rainfedExtremerainfallWildfireDesertificationFloodingAgricultureLivestock/mixedsystemsAgricultureSmall holder rainfedAgricultureLivestock/mixedsystemsAgricultureSmall holder rainfedAgricultureLivestock/mixedsystemsAgricultureSmall holderirrigatedExtreme heat Heat stress AgricultureSmall holder rainfedReduced yieldsor lossReduced yieldsor lossReduced yieldsor lossReduced yieldsor lossReduced yieldsor lossReduced yieldsor lossCrop lossReduced yieldsor lossContinuousDiscretesingularIntensestormsIncreasedtemperaturemeanIncreasedrainfall meanDecreasedrainfall meanIncreasedwindSea-level riseWater stressSoil erosionAgricultureSmall holder rainfedAgricultureSmall holder rainfedReduced yieldsor lossReduced yieldsor loss1 After Brooks (2003); discrete recurrent are transient phenomena; continuous occur over many years or decades; discrete singularare abrupt shifts or possibly continuous events that reach a threshold value (e.g., sea-level rise). According to Brooks, thesegeneral hazard types relate to the likelihood of <strong>adaptation</strong>.92 GHANA CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION ASSESSMENT
DESERTIFICATION“Desertification” as defined by the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification means l<strong>and</strong>degradation in arid, semi-arid, <strong>and</strong> dry sub-humid areas resulting from various factors, including climaticvariations <strong>and</strong> human activities (UNCCD, 1994; 2002). L<strong>and</strong> degradation, which in dryl<strong>and</strong>s can lead todesertification, is one of the consequences of mismanagement of l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> results frequently from a mismatchbetween l<strong>and</strong> quality <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> use (Beinroth et al., 1994). Activities that can degrade dryl<strong>and</strong>s include highpopulation densities, uncontrolled urbanization, l<strong>and</strong> over-exploitation (e.g., excessive use of marginal l<strong>and</strong>s, shortbush fallow periods), misplanning of large agricultural projects, mechanized farming, overgrazing, bad irrigationpractices, mismanagement of l<strong>and</strong> input <strong>and</strong> neglect of l<strong>and</strong> improvement, inappropriate l<strong>and</strong> use systems <strong>and</strong>policies, bush <strong>and</strong> forest fires, deforestation, <strong>and</strong> mining <strong>and</strong> prospecting. Along with these human-causedfactors, a range of natural factors appear to influence the process of l<strong>and</strong> degradation (e.g., soil types, year-roundaridity, high variability or energy in rainfall, recurrent drought) (Virmani et al., 1994; Reich et al., 2001; UNCCD,2002; EPA, 2003).When l<strong>and</strong> degradation causes desertification, soil productivity diminishes, food production decreases, <strong>and</strong>vegetative cover is lost. Desertification can even negatively impact areas not directly affected by its symptoms, forexample by causing floods, increasing soil salinization, decreasing water quality <strong>and</strong> quantity, <strong>and</strong> increasingsedimentation of natural waters <strong>and</strong> reservoirs (EPA, 2003; Andah <strong>and</strong> Gichuki, 2005).VULNERABILITY AND RISK OF DESERTIFICATION IN GHANAThree ecological zones in Ghana are classified as dryl<strong>and</strong>s based on the aridity index (ratio of mean annualprecipitation to mean annual potential evapotranspiration, UNEP, 1997). These are the Sudan, Guinea, <strong>and</strong>Coastal savanna zones with aridity indices of 0.60, 0.60, <strong>and</strong> 0.54, respectively (EPA, 2003), which place the zonesin the dry sub-humid category of dryl<strong>and</strong>s (UNEP, 1997). The administrative regions within these zones are theUpper East, Upper West, Northern, Greater Accra, Central, <strong>and</strong> Volta (EPA, 2003). Rainfall is unimodal in theGuinea <strong>and</strong> Sudan savanna zones <strong>and</strong> is concentrated into about four to six months of the year, with theremaining period being dry. During the long dry season, bush <strong>and</strong> forest fires are frequent because of the drynessof the atmosphere (i.e., low humidity, high evapotranspiration) <strong>and</strong> availability of combustible materials. The fires,overgrazing, <strong>and</strong> other poor l<strong>and</strong> use practices (Table 6.3) leave much of the l<strong>and</strong>scape essentially barren. Theperiod of excessive, highly erosive rainfall occurring just after the prolonged dry period predisposes these areas,which have erodible <strong>and</strong> low infiltration soils, to a high risk of l<strong>and</strong> degradation, particularly from erosion. In theCoastal Savanna <strong>and</strong> the Forest-Savanna Transition zones, rainfall is bimodal, but the minor wet season isunreliable. In these areas considerable variation exists between successive rainy seasons in time of onset, duration,spatial distribution, amount of rainfall, <strong>and</strong> number of rainy days. These conditions contribute to reductions invegetative cover, crop yield, <strong>and</strong> food security in the affected areas (EPA, 2003).GHANA CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION ASSESSMENT 93
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GHANA CLIMATE CHANGEVULNERABILITY A
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GHANACLIMATE CHANGEVULNERABILITY AN
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ACRONYMSCAADPCBOCCCDCSCEACEPFCFMCIC
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NGONCRCNREGNRMNTFPPAPAMSCPPGRCRAMSA
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYCountries in Afric
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precipitation changes is not very d
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AGRICULTURE AND LIVELIHOODSAgricult
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would include concentrating access
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of transparency pervade the current
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alternate energy sources (i.e., fos
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affecting carbon sequestration. Adv
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Information and analysis needs for
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1. INTRODUCTIONThe West African cou
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ABFigure 2.1 Two approaches to vuln
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Mean Annual Temperature (C)2928.528
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The UNDP-NSCP country-level climate
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For most eco-climatic zones, five-y
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increases generally were projected
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Table 3.2 Potential change in tempe
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parameter (temperature and precipit
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emission scenarios gives a decrease
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of finance and economic planning, f
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indigenous people and more recently
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Figure 7.14 Percentage of total Dis
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people residing in thesee regions a
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CASE STUDY: CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATI
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from friends and family to get by d
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CASE STUDY: CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATI
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At Mole National Park, managers exp
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ADAPTING TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE N
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(interview). An opportunity exists
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Upper West Region, 69.8 percent of
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Brong-Ahafo Region that entails ref
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Ghana Limited, 2009). Given the con
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positive impacts, and has upset com
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Basin (total area 416,382km 2 ) lie
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effect. In the drier scenario, the
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Communities are, rightly or wrongly
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carbon sequestration and maintenanc
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Information and analysis needs for
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Table 11.1 Options for intervention
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Barriers toAdaptation andMitigation
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Barriers toAdaptation andMitigation
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Barriers toAdaptation andMitigation
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Amanor, K.S. 2001. Share contracts
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Braimoh, A. and P. Vlek (2006). "So
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Energy Commission. 2005. Strategic
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Gyau-Boakye P., and Tumbulto J.W. 2
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Koranteng, K.A. 1995. The Ghanaian
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MSE (Ministry of Science and Agricu
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Rubin, J.A.; Gordon, C.; Amatekpor,
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Wagner, M.R. and Cobbinah, J.R., 19
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Date Organization Interviewee Posit
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Date Organization Interviewee Posit
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Date Organization Interviewee Posit
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APPENDIX 2. TEAM MEMBERSName Role B
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DP - contact person Activity Object
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APPENDIX 5. SCENARIOS OF TEMPERATUR
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e. RAIN FOREST ZONEBaseline Mean Te
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Aug 191.5 16 12.0 -0.1 -0.5 -1.0 19
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Feb 25.6 3 9.4 -9.1 -29.7 -58.9 23.
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c. TRANSITIONAL ZONEBaseline Mean T
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APPENDIX 8. SCENARIOS OF CHANGES IN
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d. DECIDUOUS FOREST ZONEBaseline Me
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APPENDIX 9. SCENARIOS OF MEAN SEA S
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U.S. Agency for International Devel