households depend on a combination of farm <strong>and</strong> nonfarm activities (Hesselberg <strong>and</strong> Yaro, 2006). Non-farmactivities help people cope with temporary adversity in the agricultural sector <strong>and</strong> also represent a longer-term<strong>adaptation</strong> strategy when other options fail (Scoones, 2008). In northern Ghana, these activities includehunting, fishing, non-timber forest product harvesting, local manufacturing, charcoal production, petty trade,<strong>and</strong> wage labor (Dietz et al., 2004; Hesselburg <strong>and</strong> Yarro, 2006; Whitehead, 2002). Non-farm income earningactivities are especially important during the dry season.Climate <strong>change</strong> may pose problems for non-farm activities that are natural resource-based. For example,declines in tree cover will make it more difficult to engage in charcoal production, the sale of firewood, <strong>and</strong>the gathering <strong>and</strong> manufacture of products from some non-timber forest species such as dawadawa <strong>and</strong> sheanuts, despite the protected status of these trees in many communities. Nevertheless, non-farm activities arelikely to play an increasingly important role in household livelihoods in the future because they offeropportunities for diversification when agriculture becomes more risky.MIGRATIONA third common livelihood strategy in the northern savanna zones is migration, often by select householdmembers who send remittances back home. Migration includes seasonal, temporary <strong>and</strong> permanentmovement between places, whether short or long distance. Migration from Ghana’s three northern regions toits southern regions has been ongoing since the turn of the 20 th century, when British colonial rule wasintroduced (Van der Geest, 2008). Between 1984 <strong>and</strong> 2000, 18.4 percent of the people who were born innorthern Ghana migrated south with the Upper West Region exhibiting the highest rates of outmigration(26.9 percent) followed by Upper East (22.2 percent). The main destinations of migrants from the north arethe cities of Kumasi <strong>and</strong> Accra, the cocoa belt frontier in the northern part of the Western Region, <strong>and</strong> theproductive farming areas to the south (Van der Geest, 2008). Those who have skills, such as mechanics,carpenters <strong>and</strong> teachers typically migrate to urban areas; unskilled farmers typically migrate south to placeswhere farming is more favorable. In the Upper East Region, migration is more common from areas wherepopulation density is high, there are l<strong>and</strong> shortages, <strong>and</strong> opportunities for irrigated agriculture are lacking(Hesselburg <strong>and</strong> Yaro, 2006). Key factors causing migrant farmers living in the Upper West Region to moveto the Brong-Ahafo Region were l<strong>and</strong> scarcity, reduced soil fertility resulting in low agricultural productivity,<strong>and</strong> the abundance <strong>and</strong> fertility of l<strong>and</strong> in the Forest-Savanna Transition Zone, where rainfall <strong>and</strong> farmingconditions are better than in the north <strong>and</strong> there are more opportunities to earn income (Van der Geest,2008). Climate was also a factor that led to outmigration from Upper West.Notably, Ghana’s northern savanna regions, particularly the Upper East, are also receiving areas for migrants.Fulani herders from Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger <strong>and</strong> Nigeria began moving into northern Ghana early in the20 th century (Tonah, 2006). At first, their movements were seasonal, took place mainly during the dry season,<strong>and</strong> were confined to the Upper East Region. They were drawn by relatively low populations of humans <strong>and</strong>animals <strong>and</strong> lush vegetation. Drought <strong>and</strong> growing difficulty obtaining pasture <strong>and</strong> water at home, particularlyduring the dry season, caused the number of migrants to rise <strong>and</strong> to settle more permanently in northeasternGhana. By the 1960s, the Fulani population in northern Ghana had grown considerably. Competition overresources became severe leading to conflicts between herders <strong>and</strong> farmers. This caused many Fulani migrantsto move farther south, especially to Ghana’s Lake Volta Basin. Some worked as hired herders for farmers <strong>and</strong>traders, <strong>and</strong> others simply moved wholesale with their own cattle herds to pursue pastoral livelihoods.Although economic relations between Fulani herders <strong>and</strong> farmers can be symbiotic <strong>and</strong> mutuallyadvantageous, they can also be contentious. The main cause of herder-farmer conflict is crop destruction bycattle (Tonah, 2006). The reasons for this conflict are many <strong>and</strong> complex (see Moritz, 2010; Tonah 2006) withthe result that conflict between herders <strong>and</strong> farmers in recent years has become more violent. If <strong>climate</strong><strong>change</strong> results in greater aridity in the region, it is likely to intensify this conflict as more herders are displacedfrom the even drier Sahelian region, migrate south into Ghana, <strong>and</strong> settle permanently <strong>and</strong> as resident farmersexp<strong>and</strong> dry season farming in river valleys, river bottoms, <strong>and</strong> wetl<strong>and</strong> areas where cattle concentrate duringthe dry season. Given current conditions of the savanna zones in Burkina Faso <strong>and</strong> northernmost Ghana, thismay occur regardless of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> effects, short of increase in rainfall.154 GHANA CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION ASSESSMENT
ADAPTING TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE NORTHERN REGIONBecause Ghana’s northern savanna zones have historically experienced unpredictable rainfall <strong>and</strong> periodicdrought, as is characteristic of dryl<strong>and</strong> regions, people have developed coping mechanisms to deal with<strong>climate</strong> variability over time. Thus, they can draw on past experience to help them adapt to <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>.Traditional ecological knowledge plays an important role in this regard. Nevertheless, people’s abilities toadapt will depend on the range of options they have available to them, which are a product of several factors.These include social networks, access to capital, household assets <strong>and</strong> capacities, knowledge, skills,information resources, local institutions that influence resource access <strong>and</strong> use, enabling policies, <strong>and</strong> accessto infrastructure.A number of shifts in livelihood strategies that support <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>adaptation</strong> are documented forGhana’s Upper East, Upper West, <strong>and</strong> Northern regions (Table 8.1). These can be organized into the threemain categories of livelihood strategies that prevail in northern Ghana described in the preceding section.Most strategies focus on the agricultural sector. It is important to note that the drivers of these strategies mayor may not be <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> per se; <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> is generally one of many social <strong>and</strong> environmentalvariables that interact to affect rural communities. Nevertheless, they are activities that support <strong>climate</strong><strong>change</strong> <strong>adaptation</strong> in the northern savanna zones. Our summary is not meant to be exhaustive (Table 8.1) butrather to provide examples of <strong>adaptation</strong> strategies in the northern savannas.Table 8.1 Climate Change Adaptation Strategies in the Northern Savannas 7Changes in agricultural practicesLivelihooddiversificationMigrationSourceSudan Savanna Early-maturing millet varieties on the rise Late-maturing millet varieties declining More drought-tolerant varieties of red sorghum increasing inimportance Sheep, goats, pigs <strong>and</strong> poultry becoming more prevalent,cattle diminishing due to forage <strong>and</strong> water stress Increased production of cash crops, like cotton, tomatoes,soy beans <strong>and</strong> onions Multi-location farming, whereby a household cultivates plotsin multiple places such as around the home compound, in thebush, in marshy areas <strong>and</strong> in irrigated areas Expansion of l<strong>and</strong> holdings, where possible Shift towards cultivation in low lying areas, marshy areas <strong>and</strong>river valleys where soils retain more moisture Increased irrigation development through construction ofsmall water dams <strong>and</strong> water harvesting to grow rice <strong>and</strong>vegetables Adoption of dry season irrigation of vegetable crops likelettuce, onion <strong>and</strong> cabbage Greater reliance on livestock Purchasing more food Women arediversifying theirincome streams byengaging in pettytrade <strong>and</strong> sellingcash crops Gathering wild foods Becoming a galamsey(local artisanal goldminer) Migrationincreasingover timeDietz et al.,2004Whitehead,2002Hesselberg<strong>and</strong> Yaro,2006Gyasi et al.,2008Guinea Savanna Increasing emphasis on sorghum <strong>and</strong> millet, which are droughtresistant Cultivating a greater variety of crops to spread risk, includingsorghum, millet, maize, rice, yams, groundnuts <strong>and</strong> beans Adopting animalhusb<strong>and</strong>ry Foraging for wildfoods Remittancesfromrelativeswho haveSagoe, 2008Interviewsduring7 Strategies listed may not be confined to either the Guinea or Sudan Savanna ecological zone; they merely reflect strategiesdocumented in the literature from these regions, <strong>and</strong> described in interviews.GHANA CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION ASSESSMENT 155
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GHANA CLIMATE CHANGEVULNERABILITY A
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GHANACLIMATE CHANGEVULNERABILITY AN
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ACRONYMSCAADPCBOCCCDCSCEACEPFCFMCIC
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NGONCRCNREGNRMNTFPPAPAMSCPPGRCRAMSA
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYCountries in Afric
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precipitation changes is not very d
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AGRICULTURE AND LIVELIHOODSAgricult
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would include concentrating access
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of transparency pervade the current
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alternate energy sources (i.e., fos
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affecting carbon sequestration. Adv
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Information and analysis needs for
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1. INTRODUCTIONThe West African cou
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ABFigure 2.1 Two approaches to vuln
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Mean Annual Temperature (C)2928.528
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The UNDP-NSCP country-level climate
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For most eco-climatic zones, five-y
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increases generally were projected
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Table 3.2 Potential change in tempe
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parameter (temperature and precipit
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emission scenarios gives a decrease
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of finance and economic planning, f
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indigenous people and more recently
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Phase 1 REDD ReadinessConsultations
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SC. A New National Plantation Devel
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to be developed that provide rigoro
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LandownerTable 4.1 Land Ownership i
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ProblemTable 4.2 Problems Associate
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TENURE CONSIDERATIONS IN LIGHT OF C
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the south of the Ashanti Uplands re
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Figure 5.1 Ecological Zones of Ghan
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North latitude. Minia (2008) deline
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Table 5.1 Percentage of producer ho
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over a longer period. With the risk
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LAND SUITABILITYThe CSIR-Soil Resea
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Table 5.3 Crop Suitability by Soil
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MAJOR CROPSMAIZEMaize is the most i
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Source: Chamberlin, 2007, Figure 13
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Total area(ha)MangroveswampTable 5.
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Source: Chamberlin, 2007Figure 5.6
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Adjusting timing ofirrigationPricin
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Transportation networkChanging Crop
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Lower world food pricesAttitudes to
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POPULATION AND ECONOMYGhana contain
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Ghana is comprised of crop and live
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URBAN VERSES RURAL LIVELIHOODS 3Liv
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income; non-farm related enterprise
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6. VULNERABILITY TOCLIMATE CHANGETh
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DESERTIFICATION“Desertification
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In the National Action Plan to Comb
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significantly recovered by the late
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Source: Reich etal., 2001Figure 6.2
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Source: US Geological Survey, (http
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APPENDIX 5. SCENARIOS OF TEMPERATUR
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e. RAIN FOREST ZONEBaseline Mean Te
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Aug 191.5 16 12.0 -0.1 -0.5 -1.0 19
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Feb 25.6 3 9.4 -9.1 -29.7 -58.9 23.
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APPENDIX 9. SCENARIOS OF MEAN SEA S
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U.S. Agency for International Devel