Given a declining fishery <strong>and</strong> the threat <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> poses for that resource, the GoG should be stronglyencouraged to develop the capacity <strong>and</strong> infrastructure to scientifically monitor, regulate, <strong>and</strong> manage allsectors of the marine <strong>and</strong> freshwater fisheries for long-term sustainability (FtF, H&S, Gen). Local monitoringauthorities should be strengthened <strong>and</strong> connected with local, regional, <strong>and</strong> national partners <strong>and</strong> counterparts(FtF, H&S, Gen). Most coastal residents are fisheries dependent, are vulnerable to disruptions in the resource,<strong>and</strong> have few employment alternatives. Tourism, while promising, lacks the infrastructure to providesubstantial income. Investments in tourism infrastructure could provide coastal residents viable alternativelivelihoods. Investments in education could broaden skill sets <strong>and</strong> widen employment opportunities for youth<strong>and</strong> young adults (Edu).The energy sector is also hampered by significant capacity <strong>and</strong> infrastructure barriers. The GoG should beencouraged to develop as soon as possible natural gas processing capabilities to avoid prolonged (months toyears) gas flaring <strong>and</strong> increased GHG emissions from the Jubilee Field <strong>and</strong> use that gas to supplement analready inadequate national power grid. The lack of electricity in rural areas impedes entrepreneurial activity,calling for exploration of alternative energy systems (e.g. solar, biofuels) to meet local community needs.Because of education, training, <strong>and</strong> skill deficits, local populations are disadvantaged for competing for jobs inthe nascent oil <strong>and</strong> gas industry. The GoG should be encouraged to provide training to afford localsemployment opportunities in that industry (Edu).Several other interventions were identified under the capacity <strong>and</strong> infrastructure barrier. Mainstreaming<strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> in GoG activities could be advanced by improving data-sharing policies among agencies,especially for meteorology data (Dem/Gov) as well as partnering with institutions to supply <strong>climate</strong><strong>adaptation</strong> information (FtF, H&S, Gen). Lack of technical capacity <strong>and</strong> infrastructure limits the ability toshare large data files between agencies <strong>and</strong> could benefit from improved internet capabilities. Efforts todecentralize government are impeded in rural areas by lack of infrastructure. Cell phone texting featuresshould be explored for use in online registrations, permit applications, etc. to avoid long distance travel togovernment offices <strong>and</strong> to increase participation. Likewise, development of a practical system of farmercredit banks in rural areas is needed to establish farmer accounts that can be used remotely to conductfinancial transactions (FtF). As noted, this latter intervention needs to be superseded by addressing l<strong>and</strong>tenure issues that constrain credit <strong>and</strong> by making credit affordable to smallholders.Information <strong>and</strong> analysis represents a significant barrier to <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>adaptation</strong> <strong>and</strong> mitigation inGhana. Data is lacking for critical decision making, planning, <strong>and</strong> forecasting. Climate <strong>change</strong> should beinvestigated at a sub-national level using appropriately scaled GCM models <strong>and</strong> within the context ofdesertification, sea-level rise, <strong>and</strong> coastal erosion, marine <strong>and</strong> inl<strong>and</strong> fishery sustainability, water supply in theVolta Basin, <strong>and</strong> hydropower production (FtF, Gen). Rates of coastal erosion should be investigatednationally with an emphasis on identifying causes <strong>and</strong> on impacts to coastal infrastructure <strong>and</strong> naturalresources (e.g., towns, ports, biodiversity hotspots, lagoonal <strong>and</strong> inshore fisheries) (FtF). Regionalorganizations (e.g., CILSS, AGRHYMET, CORAF, INSAH, FEWSNET) should be engaged in partnershipsto ensure availability of <strong>and</strong> access to data (e.g., weather data, hydrological data, ground cover <strong>change</strong>,agricultural expansion, improved l<strong>and</strong> productivity, fish populations) <strong>and</strong> projections (FtF).Several items identified under the information <strong>and</strong> analysis barrier relate directly to agriculture <strong>and</strong> foodsecurity. Research <strong>and</strong> technology development programs are needed in <strong>climate</strong> prediction, to improve cropmodels, <strong>and</strong> to link process-based crop models to high resolution regional <strong>climate</strong> models (FtF). To helpadapt to <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, soil suitability analysis should be incorporated into agricultural development planning<strong>and</strong> updated with soil suitability analysis data on new crop varieties (FtF). The uncertainties of FtFcommercial <strong>and</strong> large-scale agriculture sustainability needs to be investigated in light of increasing future costsof petroleum-based fuels <strong>and</strong> agricultural chemicals <strong>and</strong> a changing <strong>climate</strong> (FtF, Gen). Likewise, FtFirrigation projects should be analyzed in regard to impacts on surface <strong>and</strong> ground water quantity <strong>and</strong> quality<strong>and</strong> downstream effects (FtF). An evaluation of the temporal pace of vegetation <strong>change</strong> <strong>and</strong> soil degradationis needed to assess desertification in northern Ghana, especially in the context of projected populationincreases, food security, water dem<strong>and</strong>s, ecological services, <strong>and</strong> <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>.174 GHANA CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION ASSESSMENT
Information <strong>and</strong> analysis needs for forestry-related items are also apparent. L<strong>and</strong> cover/l<strong>and</strong> use inventories<strong>and</strong> forest inventories are needed to set baselines for deforestation, carbon pools under REDD+, <strong>and</strong> tomeet MRV requirements. Investigation is needed in areas where carbon sequestration can complement FtFefforts, e.g., increasing mangroves, rangel<strong>and</strong> management, agro-forestry, farmer-managed naturalregeneration (FMNR), <strong>and</strong> riparian forest management (FtF). Optimized shade-grown cocoa managementschemes are needed that provide high levels of return to farmers, reduce deforestation <strong>and</strong> degradation <strong>and</strong>also offer greater biodiversity benefits than sun-grown cocoa (FtF).Many in Ghana have a lack of awareness of <strong>and</strong> skills to use <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, agricultural, natural resourcemanagement, or other information that would reduce their <strong>vulnerability</strong>. Partnerships with localimplementers would build the <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> awareness of end users (e.g., farmers, fishermen, media,government) <strong>and</strong> enhance their ability to use information (FtF, Edu). Workshops should be organized onvarious topics (e.g., <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>adaptation</strong>, carbon sequestration) for agriculture sector partners <strong>and</strong> FtFimplementers. Cocoa producers lack the skills <strong>and</strong> knowledge to implement the whole technology package forsun-grown cocoa; cocoa productivity could be increased by intensification <strong>and</strong> access to inputs (FtF). Topdownapproaches to fire management are unsuccessful in part because of a lack of awareness of traditionalmethods. GoG agencies <strong>and</strong> personnel should be educated on modern integrated fire managementapproaches <strong>and</strong> traditional approaches <strong>and</strong> the two integrated on the ground. Not all <strong>adaptation</strong> measurescurrently used are sustainable <strong>and</strong> many are erosive to future economic health <strong>and</strong> well-being at thehousehold, community, <strong>and</strong> regional levels. Adaptations should be considered carefully so that unsustainableapproaches are avoided (e.g., marine fuel pre-mix program). Short-term temporary <strong>and</strong> long-term copingmechanisms should be distinguished <strong>and</strong> the difference communicated to the public (FtF, Edu). Livestockproduction in the north offers a potential to diversify livelihoods in the north <strong>and</strong> hence decrease<strong>vulnerability</strong> to <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>. This potentiality should be communicated <strong>and</strong> promoted; <strong>and</strong> support shouldbe given to schemes that help farmers adopt livestock keeping (FtF). Most crop yields in Ghana are belowpotential, requiring intensification to meet MIC goals. Agricultural productivity could be increased byimproving distribution channels <strong>and</strong> access to technology <strong>and</strong> inputs (e.g., fertilizer) <strong>and</strong> by providing farmersaccess to operating capital <strong>and</strong> crop insurance to mitigate effects of <strong>climate</strong> variability. (FtF). Farmers lackinformation on consumer quality expectations <strong>and</strong> fail to meet market dem<strong>and</strong>. Awareness of consumerexpectations should be raised <strong>and</strong> quality assurance programs instituted for improved marketability (FtF).NEW INTERVENTIONS FOR USAID PROGRAMMINGTo mainstream <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> into USAID programming in Ghana, <strong>and</strong> indeed for the GoG <strong>and</strong> otherdonor partners to integrate <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> into their development efforts, the availability of meteorologicaldata <strong>and</strong> interpretive information must be increased. To effectively utilize available <strong>climate</strong> information, thecapacity within Ghana to use the information must also be enhanced. This need presents an opportunity forUSAID Ghana to develop programs or partner with others to build capacity. The two sides of the issue areincreasing available data <strong>and</strong> enhancing capacity to use the data <strong>and</strong> <strong>climate</strong> projections. Increasing dataavailability can be achieved by partnering with regional institutions <strong>and</strong> non-governmental partners toincrease meteorological monitoring capacity by increasing the number of weather stations, especially in ruralareas in the northern regions where the current monitoring network is sparse. Other initiatives could focus onbuilding relationships among regional institutions such as FAMNET, AGRHYMET, <strong>and</strong> others to deliverdata interpretation. Climate modeling at the scale of the Global Climate Models is already available over theinternet, but the expertise necessary to interpret these data, state their uncertainties, <strong>and</strong> effectively use themto downscale to regional <strong>climate</strong> models is generally lacking in Ghana <strong>and</strong> elsewhere in sub-Saharan Africa,except possibly in South Africa. Thus, another opportunity for USAID is to develop interpretation <strong>and</strong>communication capacity within Ghana, either at a university, within the GoG, or in a jointly funded <strong>and</strong>maintained center.Other options are more sectoral in nature. One need seems to be an integrated <strong>and</strong> realistic energy strategyfor Ghana that depends on internal resources. There are few opportunities to exp<strong>and</strong> hydropower; in fact, thecurrent capacity will likely diminish over time as precipitation within the Volta basin declines, <strong>and</strong>GHANA CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION ASSESSMENT 175
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GHANA CLIMATE CHANGEVULNERABILITY A
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GHANACLIMATE CHANGEVULNERABILITY AN
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ACRONYMSCAADPCBOCCCDCSCEACEPFCFMCIC
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NGONCRCNREGNRMNTFPPAPAMSCPPGRCRAMSA
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYCountries in Afric
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precipitation changes is not very d
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AGRICULTURE AND LIVELIHOODSAgricult
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would include concentrating access
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of transparency pervade the current
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alternate energy sources (i.e., fos
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affecting carbon sequestration. Adv
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Information and analysis needs for
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1. INTRODUCTIONThe West African cou
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ABFigure 2.1 Two approaches to vuln
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Mean Annual Temperature (C)2928.528
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The UNDP-NSCP country-level climate
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For most eco-climatic zones, five-y
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increases generally were projected
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Table 3.2 Potential change in tempe
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parameter (temperature and precipit
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emission scenarios gives a decrease
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of finance and economic planning, f
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indigenous people and more recently
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Phase 1 REDD ReadinessConsultations
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SC. A New National Plantation Devel
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to be developed that provide rigoro
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LandownerTable 4.1 Land Ownership i
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ProblemTable 4.2 Problems Associate
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TENURE CONSIDERATIONS IN LIGHT OF C
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the south of the Ashanti Uplands re
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Figure 5.1 Ecological Zones of Ghan
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North latitude. Minia (2008) deline
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Table 5.1 Percentage of producer ho
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over a longer period. With the risk
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LAND SUITABILITYThe CSIR-Soil Resea
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Table 5.3 Crop Suitability by Soil
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MAJOR CROPSMAIZEMaize is the most i
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Source: Chamberlin, 2007, Figure 13
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Total area(ha)MangroveswampTable 5.
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Source: Chamberlin, 2007Figure 5.6
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Farmers who depend on annual rains
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Adjusting timing ofirrigationPricin
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Transportation networkChanging Crop
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Lower world food pricesAttitudes to
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POPULATION AND ECONOMYGhana contain
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Ghana is comprised of crop and live
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URBAN VERSES RURAL LIVELIHOODS 3Liv
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income; non-farm related enterprise
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6. VULNERABILITY TOCLIMATE CHANGETh
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DESERTIFICATION“Desertification
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In the National Action Plan to Comb
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significantly recovered by the late
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Source: Reich etal., 2001Figure 6.2
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Source: US Geological Survey, (http
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Two other proximate causes of defor
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extreme, fire is essential in fire-
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gill nets constructed from traditio
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upwelling strength) involved in reg
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completely dominate trawl catches b
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have increased substantially due to
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CategoryFishing effort andtechnolog
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(Binet, 1995). Even if the declinin
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METHODSAs described above, to asses
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Indicator DescriptionDistance fromd
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APPENDIX 5. SCENARIOS OF TEMPERATUR
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e. RAIN FOREST ZONEBaseline Mean Te
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Aug 191.5 16 12.0 -0.1 -0.5 -1.0 19
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Feb 25.6 3 9.4 -9.1 -29.7 -58.9 23.
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c. TRANSITIONAL ZONEBaseline Mean T
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APPENDIX 8. SCENARIOS OF CHANGES IN
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d. DECIDUOUS FOREST ZONEBaseline Me
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APPENDIX 9. SCENARIOS OF MEAN SEA S
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U.S. Agency for International Devel