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IFTA JOURNAL<br />

2017 EDITION<br />

Figure 5. Roche (ROG.VX) from 15-01-2014 to 17-09-2014:<br />

An example of how to calculate the bullish target 38.2%<br />

of engulfing pattern (successful pattern)<br />

Figure 6. An example of how to calculate the bearish<br />

target 100% of evening star pattern (successful pattern)<br />

The Negative Closing Below the Lower Filter<br />

This closing is considered as confirmation for the negative<br />

Japanese candlestick patterns (or failure for the positive<br />

Japanese candlestick patterns), and you can use the following<br />

mathematical equations to calculate the targets of the negative<br />

closing below the lower filter based on the Fibonacci ratios<br />

(61.8%, 50%, 38.2%, and 23.6%) in addition to the 100% ratio:<br />

Figure 7. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial (8316.T) from 22-<br />

05-2008 to 23-10-2008: An example of how to calculate<br />

the bearish target 100% of descending Hawak pattern<br />

(successful pattern)<br />

• Bearish Target 100% = F1 - [(F1 - F2) × N]<br />

• Bearish Target 61.8% = F1 - [(F1 - F2) × N × 0.618]<br />

• Bearish Target 50% = F1 - [(F1 - F2) × N × 0.50]<br />

• Bearish Target 38.2% = F1 - [(F1 - F2) × N × 0.382]<br />

• Bearish Target 23.6% = F1 - [(F1 - F2) × N × 0.236]<br />

Where:<br />

F1: upper filter level.<br />

F2: lower filter level.<br />

N: Number of candles that closed between the upper filter<br />

level (F1) and the lower filter level (F2) of Japanese candlestick<br />

pattern.<br />

Figure 8. Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY.L) from 21-09-2009<br />

to 21-12-2009: An example of how to calculate the bearish<br />

target 61.8% of homing pigeon pattern (failed pattern)<br />

Figures 6 through 10 show examples of how to calculate the<br />

bearish target levels.<br />

IFTA.ORG PAGE 85

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