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Option I: “Come Home America”: Domestic Renewal, International Restraint 153<br />

based economic system that has been the foundation of global growth<br />

and prosperity, as well as generating steady domestic growth sufficient<br />

to improve domestic standards of living.<br />

The essential goal of the “Come Home America” posture is to<br />

renew the sources of domestic strength as the primary means of preserving<br />

the U.S. ability to shape and stabilize the world. It differs from<br />

the others in two main respects. First, it assumes that mounting debt<br />

and political strife have already restricted the country’s ability to plan,<br />

execute, and sustain an economic or geopolitical strategy. Second,<br />

it questions the wisdom of unchecked globalization. It might adopt<br />

national policies to boost manufacturing, emphasize fair trade over<br />

free trade, and reject international agreements that mandate changes<br />

to U.S. regulations. It would, in essence, trade some foreign assistance<br />

and the expense of U.S. military power for a higher standard of living<br />

at home.<br />

As Shatz argues in an earlier volume of this Strategic Rethink<br />

series, three trend lines suggest that many Americans will have trouble<br />

achieving rising standards of living. 7 Two of these trends are domestic:<br />

the federal budget and the labor market. One is international: weakness<br />

in the economies of the most important U.S. allies, the EU, and<br />

Japan. This strategy assumes there is little Washington can do directly<br />

to improve its friends’ economies. It can help indirectly by avoiding<br />

war—by deterring Russia and China, working to end the conflicts in<br />

Syria and Iraq as soon as possible, and allowing the repatriation of<br />

refugees now in Europe. Therefore, the United States must prioritize<br />

improving its long-term fiscal outlook and the domestic labor market.<br />

Under this strategic concept, the United States would not seek<br />

new international trade agreements and might attempt to renegotiate<br />

NAFTA or other existing agreements or to pair them with more forceful<br />

measures to combat both job losses and declines in wages for lesseducated<br />

Americans. It would scrap the TPP and accept that China<br />

is likely to be part of whatever agreement follows it. There is some<br />

evidence that this could result in more middle-skill jobs. However, the<br />

actual effect on the number of jobs is uncertain because there would be<br />

7 Shatz, 2016, pp. 9–25.

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