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xxxii<br />

Strategic Choices for a Turbulent World: In Pursuit of Security and Opportunity<br />

We do not endorse or recommend any of these three strategic<br />

concepts and assume that the next administration will mix and match<br />

policies as it deems fit.<br />

Finally, at a time of deep partisan division, the report offers guidance<br />

not only on which paths might be the most promising, but also<br />

how to choose among various strategies. The report offers six criteria<br />

that might guide decisionmaking, although no single consideration<br />

will be determinative. These are: scrutinize assumptions, seize opportunities,<br />

uphold commitments, play both the long and the short games,<br />

align U.S. interests and values, and limit regret.<br />

The report concludes that domestic political dysfunction is the<br />

greatest obstacle to effective U.S. global leadership. A coherent international<br />

strategy will be difficult to pursue without a greater degree<br />

of domestic political consensus; a “grand strategy” is simply impossible.<br />

Building domestic political consensus on the U.S. role in world<br />

affairs would require bipartisan agreement to reconcile the competing<br />

demands of domestic needs with the requirements of effective international<br />

engagement. U.S. leaders would also need to break the political<br />

deadlock between funding requirements for the desired degree of<br />

international engagement and commensurate levels of taxation. On the<br />

basis of such reconciliation, U.S. diplomacy, defenses, and alliance relationships<br />

could be adequately resourced to support the chosen strategy.<br />

The government could develop coherent plans to promote economic<br />

growth, national security, and international engagement, as required<br />

in a world where domestic well-being is inextricably linked to global<br />

developments.<br />

Without such political consensus, the United States will face<br />

heightened risks.

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