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246 Strategic Choices for a Turbulent World: In Pursuit of Security and Opportunity Arias, Elizabeth, “Changes in Life Expectancy by Race and Hispanic Origin in the United States, 2013–2014,” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, NCHS Data Brief, No. 244, April 2016. Asia Society China File, “The Future of NGOs in China,” May 14, 2015. Autor, David H., David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson, “The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States,” American Economic Review, Vol. 103, No. 6, October 2013, pp. 2121–2168. Autor, David H., David Dorn, Gordon Hanson, and Jae Song, “Trade Adjustment: Worker-Level Evidence,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 129, No. 4, 2014, pp. 1799–1860. Avendano, Mauricio, and Ichiro Kawachi, “Why Do Americans Have Shorter Life Expectancy and Worse Health Than People in Other High-Income Countries?” Annual Review of Public Health, Vol. 35, 2014, pp. 307–325. Bacevich, Andrew J., America’s War for the Greater Middle East: A Military History, New York: Penguin Random House, 2016. Baiocchi, Dave, and D. Steven Fox, Surprise! From CEOs to Navy Seals: How a Select Group of Professionals Prepare for and Respond to the Unexpected, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corporation, RR-341-NRO, 2013. As of July 22, 2016: http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR341.html Baker, Jill, “Climate Expert Says China Committed to Battling Climate Change—Even If the U.S. Drops out of Paris Accord,” Forbes.com, November 14, 2016. As of November 25, 2016: http://www.forbes.com/sites/jillbaker/2016/11/14/ climate-expert-says-china-committed-to-battling-climate-change-even-ifthe-u-s-drops-out-of-paris-accord/#166e11767440 Balakrishnan, Ravi, Mai Dao, Juan Sole, and Jeremy Zook, “Lost Workers,” International Monetary Fund, Finance and Development, Vol. 52, No. 3, September 2015, pp. 1–4. Bamford, James, “Frozen Assets: The Newest Front in Global Espionage Is One of the Least Habitable Locales on Earth—the Arctic,” Foreign Policy, May 11, 2015. As of November 25, 2016: http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/05/11/ frozen-assets-arctic-espionage-spying-new-cold-war-russia-canada/ Barrett, Anthony, False Alarms, True Dangers? Current and Future Risks of Inadvertent U.S.-Russian Nuclear War, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corporation, PE-191-TSF, 2016. As of June 9, 2016: http://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE191.html
References 247 Bass, Dina, “America’s Unwanted Ivy Leaguers Are Flocking to India,” Bloomberg, June 2, 2015. As of November 7, 2016: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-02/ chasing-the-american-dream-in-india “Battle of the Declaration” (Chinese PLA recruiting video), Youku Tudou, website, 2016. As of November 7, 2016: http://v.youku.com/v_show/id_XMTU1MjM3NTg5Mg==.html Bernanke, Ben S., “Proceedings,” The Defense Economy and American Prosperity, Washington, D.C., August 17, 2015. As of November 7, 2016: http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/events/ 2015/08/17-defense-economy/20150817_defense_economy_transcript.pdf Betts, Richard K., Enemies of Intelligence: Knowledge and Power in American National Security, Columbia, N.Y.: Columbia University Press, 2007. Binnendijk, Hans, Friends, Foes, and Future Directions: U.S. Partnerships in a Turbulent World, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corporation, RR-1210-RC, 2016. As of November 2, 2016: http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1210.html Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention Website, University of Bradford, undated. As of November 7, 2016: http://www.opbw.org/ Bitzinger, Richard A., “China’s Double-Digit Defense Growth: What It Means for a Peaceful Rise,” Foreign Affairs, March 19, 2015. Blackwell, Evan, Prison and Jihad: A Threat Behind Bars, NATO Association of Canada, October 10, 2015. Blackwill, Robert D., and Jennifer M. Harris, “The Lost Art of Economic Statecraft,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 95, No. 2, March/April 2016. Blackwill, Robert D., and Ashley J. Tellis, Revising U.S. Grand Strategy Toward China, Washington, D.C.: Council on Foreign Relations, March 2015. Blain, Loz, “Do-It-Yourself CRISPR Genome Editing Kits Bring Genetic Engineering to Your Kitchen Bench,” Gizmag.com, November 12, 2015. As of June 27, 2016: http://www.gizmag.com/home-crispr-gene-editing-kit/40362/ Blanton, Thomas S., “The President’s Daily Brief,” Washington, D.C.: National Security Archive, April 12, 2004. As of November 2, 2016: http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB116/ Bliddal, Henrik, Reforming Military Command Arrangements: The Case of the Rapid Deployment Joint Task Force, Carlisle, Pa.: U.S. Army War College, 2011.
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STRATEGIC RETHINK STRATEGIC CHOICES
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Preface This is the sixth and final
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Preface v The RAND Strategic Rethin
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viii Strategic Choices for a Turbul
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Contents Preface...................
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Contents xiii Middle East..........
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Summary For more than seven decades
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Summary xix deal with because of it
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Summary xxi Familiarity does not ne
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Summary xxiii Whatever else is on t
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Summary xxv of richest Americans, i
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Summary xxvii reexamination arises
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Summary xxix Dwight Eisenhower—wh
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Summary xxxi of ISIS, the migration
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Acknowledgments RAND Corporation Pr
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CHAPTER ONE Introduction What is Am
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Introduction 3 that some allies hav
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Introduction 5 of distrust of the g
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Introduction 7 live with. Therefore
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Introduction 9 Bruce Jones points o
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Introduction 11 force decision make
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Introduction 13 United States for l
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CHAPTER TWO From Triumph to Stalema
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From Triumph to Stalemate: The Loss
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CHAPTER THREE Is the World Falling
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Is the World Falling Apart (And How
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Figure 3.4 Map of Climate Change Ho
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CHAPTER FOUR Leveraging U.S. Streng
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Leveraging U.S. Strengths, Dealing
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Part Two Strategic Choices
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CHAPTER EIGHT Option II: “The Ind
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Option II: “The Indispensable Nat
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CHAPTER NINE Option III: “Agile A
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Option III: “Agile America”: Ad
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