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252 Strategic Choices for a Turbulent World: In Pursuit of Security and Opportunity Davis, Major John R., Jr., “Continued Evolution of Hybrid Threats: The Russian Hybrid Threat Construct and the Need for Innovation,” Three Swords Magazine, Vol. 28, 2015, pp. 19–25. As of November 7, 2016: http://www.jwc.nato.int/images/stories/threeswords/ CONTINUED_EVOLUTION_OF_HYBRID_THREATS.pdf Davis, Lynn E., Michael J. McNerney, and Daniel Byman, “Armed Drone Myth 1: They Will Transform How War is Waged Globally,” The RAND Blog, February 17, 2015. As of November 7, 2016: http://www.rand.org/blog/2015/02/ armed-drone-myth-1-they-will-transform-how-war-is-waged.html DeConto, Robert M., and David Pollard, “Contribution of Antarctica to Past and Future Sea-Level Rise,” Nature, Vol. 531, No. 7596, March 31, 2016, pp. 591–597. Demirjian, Karoun, and Juliet Eilperin, “Congress Overrides Obama’s Veto of 9/11 Bill,” Washington Post, September 28, 2016. Denning, Steve, “It’s Official! The End of Competitive Advantage,” Forbes.com, June 2, 2013. As of December 16, 2015: http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2013/06/02/ its-official-the-end-of-competitive-advantage/ Desai, Mihir A., C. Fritz Foley, and Kristin Forbes, “Financial Constraints and Growth: Multinational and Local Firm Responses to Currency Depreciations,” Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 21, No. 6, November 2008, pp. 2857–2888. Deudney, Daniel, and G. John Ikenberry, Democratic Internationalism: An American Strategy for a Post-Exceptionalist Era, New York: Council on Foreign Relations, working paper, November 2012. Dewar, James A., Assumption-Based Planning—A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2002. Diamond, Larry, “Facing Up to the Democracy Recession,” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 26, No. 1, January 2015, pp. 141–155. Dobbins, James, Richard H. Solomon, Michael S. Chase, Ryan Henry, F. Stephen Larrabee, Robert J. Lempert, Andrew Liepman, Jeffrey Martini, David Ochmanek, and Howard J. Shatz, Choices for America in a Turbulent World : Strategic Rethink, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corporation, RR-1114-RC, 2015. As of October 28, 2016: http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1114.html Dobbs, Richard, Anu Madgavkar, Dominic Barton, Eric Labaye, James Manyika, Charles Roxburgh, Susan Lund, and Siddarth Madhav, The World at Work: Jobs, Pay and Skills for 3.5 Billion People, McKinsey Global Institute, June 2012. As of November 7, 2016: http://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/employment-and-growth/ the-world-at-work
References 253 Doherty, Patrick C., A New U.S. Grand Strategy, Sacramento, Calif.: New America Foundation, January 9, 2013. Drouet, Laurent, Valentina Bosetti, and Massimo Tavoni, “Selection of Climate Policies Under the Uncertainties in the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC,” Nature Climate Change, Vol. 5, February 2015, pp. 937–940. Duran, Charles, “Power Cycle Theory, the Shifting Tides of History, and Statecraft: Interpreting China’s Rise,” SAIS Europe Journal of Global Affairs, April 1, 2012. Dwyer, Paula, “A Basic Income Should Be the Next Big Thing,” Bloomberg View, May 2, 2016. Economic Innovation Group, “The 2016 Distressed Communities Index: An Analysis of Community Well-Being Across the United States,” February 25, 2016. As of November 16, 2016: http://eig.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/ 2016-Distressed-Communities-Index-Report.pdf Edelstein, David M., and Ronald R. Krebs, “Delusions of Grand Strategy,” Foreign Affairs, December 2015. Egel, Daniel, Adam R. Grissom, John P. Godges, Jennifer Kavanagh, and Howard J. Shatz, Estimating the Value of Overseas Security Commitments, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corporation, RR-518-AF, 2016. As of October 27, 2016: http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR518.html Environmental Protection Agency, “Carbon Dioxide Capture and Sequestration,” web page, undated. As of November 17, 2016: https://www.epa.gov/climatechange/ carbon-dioxide-capture-and-sequestration-overview Erickson, Andrew S., “PLA Recruiting Ad: The Rap Video—Annotated Translations by Dr. Kevin Jensen and Professor Mark Metcalf,” Andrew S. Erickson, China Analysis from Original Sources, blog, May 11, 2016. As of November 7, 2016: http://www.andrewerickson.com/2016/05/pla-recruiting-ad-the-rap-videoannotated-translation-by-dr-kevin-jensen-prof-mark-metcalf/ Fairlie, Robert W., Arnobio Morelix, E. J. Reedy, and Joshua Russell, The Kauffman Index: Startup Activity: National Trends, Kansas City, Mo.: Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation, 2015. As of October 2016: http://www.kauffman.org/~/media/kauffman_org/ research%20reports%20and%20covers/2015/05/ kauffman_index_startup_activity_national_trends_2015.pdf Fallows, James, “Japan: Let Them Defend Themselves,” The Atlantic, April 1989.
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STRATEGIC RETHINK STRATEGIC CHOICES
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Preface This is the sixth and final
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Preface v The RAND Strategic Rethin
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viii Strategic Choices for a Turbul
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Contents Preface...................
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Contents xiii Middle East..........
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Summary For more than seven decades
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Summary xix deal with because of it
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Summary xxi Familiarity does not ne
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Summary xxiii Whatever else is on t
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Summary xxv of richest Americans, i
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Summary xxvii reexamination arises
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Summary xxix Dwight Eisenhower—wh
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Summary xxxi of ISIS, the migration
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Acknowledgments RAND Corporation Pr
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CHAPTER ONE Introduction What is Am
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Introduction 3 that some allies hav
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Introduction 5 of distrust of the g
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Introduction 7 live with. Therefore
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Introduction 9 Bruce Jones points o
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Introduction 11 force decision make
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Introduction 13 United States for l
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CHAPTER TWO From Triumph to Stalema
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From Triumph to Stalemate: The Loss
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CHAPTER THREE Is the World Falling
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Is the World Falling Apart (And How
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Figure 3.4 Map of Climate Change Ho
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CHAPTER FOUR Leveraging U.S. Streng
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Leveraging U.S. Strengths, Dealing
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Part Two Strategic Choices
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CHAPTER EIGHT Option II: “The Ind
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Option II: “The Indispensable Nat
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CHAPTER NINE Option III: “Agile A
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Option III: “Agile America”: Ad
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