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This report is the last in the six-volume Strategic Rethink series, in which<br />

RAND explores the elements of a national strategy for the conduct of<br />

U.S. foreign policy in a turbulent world. This final overview report analyzes<br />

how the United States moved from the triumph at the end of the Cold War<br />

to the stalemate of today, and the major-power shifts and realignments<br />

that have occurred around the world.<br />

The report reviews the country’s strengths and weaknesses, and suggests<br />

strategies for adapting to this new era of turbulence and uncertainty.<br />

It analyzes how to improve the U.S. government’s capacity for anticipation,<br />

deterrence, and resilience, three areas for policy attention that will<br />

become increasingly important in a period of rapid change. It presents<br />

three plausible U.S. strategic concepts and evaluates their underlying<br />

assumptions, costs, risks, and constraints. It also offers thoughts on<br />

how to choose among alternatives. It concludes that the United States is<br />

in many ways in an enviable position compared with its rivals, and<br />

continues to benefit from the liberal international order that it built over<br />

seven decades. However, a coherent international strategy will be difficult<br />

to pursue without a greater degree of domestic political consensus.<br />

Domestic political dysfunction is the greatest obstacle to effective<br />

U.S. global leadership.<br />

C O R P O R A T I O N<br />

www.rand.org<br />

$42.00<br />

ISBN-10 0-8330-9692-3<br />

ISBN-13 978-0-8330-9692-0<br />

54200<br />

RR-1631-RC<br />

9 780833 096920

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