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F. K. Kong MA, MSc, PhD, CEng, FICE, FIStructE, R. H. Evans CBE, DSc, D ès Sc, DTech, PhD, CEng, FICE, FIMechE, FIStructE (auth.)-Reinforced and Prestressed Concrete-Springer US (1987)

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Statistical concepts 3

occur in practice in the loads acting on the structure or in the strength of

the materials. Before further discussion of limit state design, it is desirable,

therefore, to review some relevant concepts in statistics.

1.3 Statistical concepts

In this section we shall briefly discuss those concepts of statistics which are

helpful to our study of limit state design philosophy. For more detailed

descriptions of statistical methods and of the theory underlying them, the

reader is referred to other specialist texts [8, 9].

Probability

Suppose there is a large number n of occasions on which a certain event is

equally likely to happen, and that the event happens on a number m of the

n occasions. We then say that the probability of the event happening on

any one of then occasions is min, and the probability of its not happening

on any one of then occasions is 1 - min. Probability is thus expressed as a

number not greater than 1. A value of unity denotes a certainty of the

event happening; a value of zero means an impossibility of the event

happening. (Note: We have adopted the above concept of probability

because it serves our purpose and its meaning is intuitively clear, at least to

structural engineers. However, it should be pointed out that some

mathematicians [10] regard this concept as invalid and meaningless.)

Frequency distribution

Table 1.3-1 gives the results of cylinder splitting tensile tests on 100

concrete specimens. The numbers in the table are called the characteristic

values of the variate; in this case the variate is the tensile strength. The

characteristic values can be studied more conveniently if they are

rearranged in ascending order of magnitude. Since the numbers are correct

to one decimal place, a value of 2.1, for example, may represent any value

from 2.05 to 2.14. In Table 1.3-2, the characteristic values are divided into

class intervals of 1.45-1.54, 1.55-1.64 ... and 2.65-2.74, and the number

of values falling into each interval, known as the frequency in the interval,

is also shown. Table 1.3-2, therefore, shows the frequency distribution of

the tensile strengths, since it shows with what frequencies tensile strengths

Table 1.3-1 Tensile strengths of concrete (N/mm 2 )

2.1 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.0

2.2 1.7 2.0 2.4 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.5 2.4 2.1

2.6 2.0 2.3 2.0 1.7 2.0 2.2 1.5 2.4 2.0

1.8 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.2 2.0 2.2 1.8 2.1 2.2

2.3 1.9 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.7 2.2 1.6 2.7 2.3

1.6 1.8 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.7 2.0

1.8 1.7 2.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0

2.0 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.0 2.0 1.8 2.1

1.8 1.7 2.3 1.8 2.0 2.4 1.8 2.0 1.8 2.2

1.9 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.5 1.7 2.3 2.0

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