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Operations and Supply Chain Management The Core

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GLOBAL SOURCING AND PROCUREMENT chapter 13 433

cycles. But their stability invites competition, which often leads to low profit margins.

Specific criteria for identifying functional products include the following: product life

cycle of more than two years, contribution margin of 5 to 20 percent, only 10 to 20 product

variations, an average forecast error at time of production of only 10 percent, and a lead

time for make-to-order products of from six months to one year.

To avoid low margins, many companies introduce innovations in fashion or technology

to give customers an additional reason to buy their products. Fashionable clothes and

personal computers are good examples. Although innovation can enable a company to

achieve higher profit margins, the very newness of the innovative products makes demand

for them unpredictable. These innovative products typically have a life cycle of just a few

months. Imitators quickly erode the competitive advantage that innovative products enjoy,

and companies are forced to introduce a steady stream of newer innovations. The short

life cycles and the great variety typical of these products further increase unpredictability.

Exhibit 13.3 summarizes the differences between functional and innovative products.

We expand on this idea by focusing on the “supply” side of the supply chain. While the

Supply Chain Uncertainty Framework captures important demand characteristics, there

are uncertainties revolving around the supply side that are equally important drivers for the

right supply chain strategy.

A stable supply process is where the manufacturing process and the underlying technology

are mature and the supply base is well established. In contrast, an evolving supply

process is where the manufacturing process and the underlying technology are still under

early development and are rapidly changing. As a result, the supply base may be limited

Innovative products

Products such as

fashionable clothes

and high-end

personal computers

that typically have

a life cycle of just a

few months.

Stable supply

process

A process where

the underlying

technology is stable.

Evolving supply

process

A process where

the underlying

technology changes

rapidly.

Supply Chain Uncertainty Framework

exhibit 13.3

PRODUCT (DEMAND) CHARACTERISTICS

FUNCTIONAL

INNOVATIVE

Manufacturing

(Supply) Process

Characteristics

Stable

Evolving

Efficient Supply Chain

Grocery, basic apparel,

food, oil and gas

Risk-Hedging Supply

Chain

Hydroelectric power, food

dependent on weather

Responsive Supply Chain

Fashion apparel, low-end

computers, seasonal

products

Agile Supply Chain

Cell phones, highend

computers,

semiconductors

PRODUCT (DEMAND) CHARACTERISTICS

MANUFACTURING (SUPPLY) PROCESS CHARACTERISTICS

FUNCTIONAL INNOVATIVE STABLE EVOLVING

Demand Predictable Unpredictable Breakdowns Few Higher

Product Life Long Short Process Yield High Lower

Inventory Value Low High Quality Problems Few More

Product Variety Low High Supply Sources Many Few

Volume High Low Process Changes Few Many

Stock-out Cost Low High Lead Time Dependable Difficult to predict

Based on research conducted by Marshall Fisher (University of Pennsylvania) and Hau Lee (Stanford University)

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