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The 1995/1996 Household Income, Expenditure - (PDF, 101 mb ...

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(CPI).2<br />

(1 )<br />

V.S<br />

<strong>The</strong> current price is multiplied by fixed quantities and divided by the<br />

previous price multiplied by the same fixed quantities.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Laspeyres price index is only an approximation to the true cost of<br />

living because it assumes that quantities are fixed from time period to time<br />

period. In the real world, consumers respond to changes in relative prices by<br />

substituting away from more expensive goods, depending on the consumer's<br />

opportunity to substitute, the nature of the good whose price has changed,<br />

and other things. Most of the problems of measuring price changes can be<br />

traced to the need to assume that consumer behavior is constant over time<br />

when it really is not. Relative prices change, and a single consumption basket<br />

is a rather restrictive interpretation for a constant living standard. In the<br />

case of the Laspeyres, since base period prices do not change, the same living<br />

standard can be secured along the same proportional budget - the Laspeyres<br />

index is an upward bound on the true cost of living. Another index, the<br />

Paasche, allows quantities to change with prices each period. <strong>The</strong> Paaschj<br />

estimator produces an index which is a lower bound on the cost of living.<br />

(2 )<br />

<strong>The</strong>re is no such thing as the price index because the true cost of<br />

living depends on reference utilities which are different for different<br />

households and conrtantly changing. Because cost functions vary with utility<br />

in nearly all cases, if expenditure levels are different then price changes will<br />

2 One thing to note from the outset is that in CAP MAS official<br />

publications, the index is somewhat confusing if the full index is being<br />

represented. <strong>The</strong> numerator should be the sum of all shares times the price<br />

relatives of all shares. <strong>The</strong> denominator should be the weight of all items in<br />

the fixed basket. Further (see below), instead of averaging the price<br />

relatives, a less biased estimator would be a sum of all prices in the<br />

numerator divided simply by the sum of previous prices in the denominator.<br />

3 It is actually possible for the Paasche Index to exceed the Laspeyres.<br />

See Deaton and Muellbauer (1989), p. 172.<br />

4 <strong>The</strong> exception occurs under conditions of homothetic preferences<br />

(identical indifference curves) and an invariant utility/consumption<br />

relationship. In this case, there is a true cost of living index, and it lies<br />

between the Paasche and the Laspeyres.

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