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The 1995/1996 Household Income, Expenditure - (PDF, 101 mb ...

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VI.22<br />

next question becomes "How much would they suffer?" <strong>The</strong> magnitude of the<br />

negative effect depends on initial conditions, how utilities are priced in the<br />

first place. Electricity, for example, is very cheap in Egypt, especially for<br />

small consumers. An estimated 40% of Egyptian households use from 0-50<br />

kilowatt hours (kwh) of electricity per month (the first rate block) and they<br />

pay only half a piaster for each kwh. <strong>The</strong> second rate block consumers,<br />

another 40% of Egyptian households, use from 50-200 kwh per month, and they<br />

pay about 8.3 piasters per kwh. <strong>The</strong> final rate block (20% of households) uses<br />

more than 200 kwh per month. Overall, the cost of one kwh for all rate<br />

blocks co<strong>mb</strong>ined in <strong>1996</strong> was about 2.5 piasters per kwh. <strong>The</strong>re is clearly<br />

room for price increases given the very low costs to consumers.<br />

VLF Analysis Using <strong>1995</strong>/<strong>1996</strong> HIECS Data<br />

Following best practices, the design for the housing section of the<br />

<strong>1995</strong>/<strong>1996</strong> HIECS tried to incorporate as much information as possible within a<br />

limited set of interview questions. <strong>The</strong>re are two main sections, the<br />

characteristics section and the expenditures section. Eventually it would take<br />

respondents less than five minutes to answer the two page characteristics<br />

section - 21 multiple answer plus the durable inventory list. Because the<br />

interviewer was present to corroborate the testimony of the respondent, the<br />

housing characteristics data have, arguably, the highest quality of all the<br />

HIECS data. <strong>The</strong> expenditure section consists of annual housing and utilities,<br />

and fuel and lighting payments. <strong>The</strong>se estimates are likely prone to more<br />

bias, given the nature of the expenditures - continuous rather than<br />

categorical, in addition to the sensitivity about rents and owners' equivalent<br />

rents in general.<br />

Certain potential housing variables were considered in the design phase<br />

of the <strong>1995</strong>/<strong>1996</strong> project but eventually discarded. <strong>The</strong> enumerators, through<br />

general observations, could have been trained to rate on a Guttman scale (1 to<br />

5), such issues as the general cleanliness or the lack of obstructions in main<br />

traffic areas, general state of repair of walls, abundance of furniture and<br />

decoration, etc. <strong>The</strong>se interviewer-source techniques might be employed in<br />

the next HIECS.<br />

Three variables of the housing characteristics section bear further<br />

scrutiny for their importance: housing type, tenure, and the key money proxy.

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