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The 1995/1996 Household Income, Expenditure - (PDF, 101 mb ...

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V.9<br />

receives all questionnaires from the governorates by the 23rd of the month.<br />

<strong>The</strong> index is ready within one month (i.e., by the middle of the following<br />

month). <strong>The</strong> enumerators collect prices from three outlets for every item on<br />

the form in every governorate. <strong>The</strong>re are indices published for the main,<br />

strategic, items, by month. When all of the current month's prices are<br />

received from the field, they are entered into the computer. Additionally the<br />

prices of the same month but one year before are entered into the database to<br />

make a match with the current item codes.<br />

<strong>The</strong> best estimate for the price of any item uses information from many<br />

different sources and many different varieties. To get to the "price of men's<br />

athletic shoes," it is not enough to visit two sporting goods stores, sum the<br />

total paid for two pairs of sneakers and divide by two. <strong>The</strong> range of prices<br />

will be broader the more broadly defined the item is, and there is a range of<br />

price estimates for all items. Even an item so narrowly defined as rice should<br />

be afforded more degrees of freedom to arrive at a figure which will become a<br />

component of a larger index for the price of "starches." Rice may be of many<br />

varieties. Statistically, a minimum of five estimates are needed to measure the<br />

price of the most homogeneously defined item (table salt, for example). As the<br />

item takes on heterogeneous aspects, the argument for more degrees of<br />

freedom becomes more compelling. To improve on estimates, then, both<br />

varieties and outlets have to be increased. Adding varieties mainly entails<br />

making changes to the price forms and training price-takers. Preliminary<br />

populatiov census data can be used for framing and increasing outlet<br />

selection. It is more important to select a random outlet with a known<br />

probability than to assure that certain outlets (kiosk, bakery, private store,<br />

coop or public shop, supermarket) are represented.<br />

Generally CAPMAS pricers have not given detailed attention to item price<br />

estimation because the pricing forms are not adequate. Instructions on the<br />

forms refer to the need to avoid substitution of outlet, brand, and item<br />

nu<strong>mb</strong>er and only vaguely offer the suggestion to discuss with the supervisor<br />

the need to replace the item when it disappears from the outlet. Because of<br />

the near-infinite variety of some goods, true average prices either become<br />

theoretical constructs, or the price enumerator will admit defeat and end up<br />

putting a price of 0.00 in the column. With so many zeros, the decision of<br />

which goods to price in a given month appears arbitrary. In all survey data<br />

collection, indeed in the very nature of the process of collecting information,<br />

the tendency is to get less detail, to be less specific and less explicit. If<br />

enumerators are given a choice of the category "Other," they will categorize<br />

things that wayan inordinate nu<strong>mb</strong>er of times. <strong>The</strong> choice of a substitute for<br />

the item-to-be-priced is often more of an art than a science, but it is<br />

facilitated by an easy to use form.<br />

Figures V.I and V.2 are examples of different pricing forms - from<br />

Belize and Kazakhstan. <strong>The</strong>y can be compared with an example of Egypt's<br />

form, Figure V.3. <strong>The</strong> example shown for Belize is the "Miscellaneous" form,<br />

which was constructed with prices for services, such as transportation and<br />

of preserving the "solidarity of prestige."<br />

1 In practice the selection of outlets may favor an inverse correlation<br />

with the cost of petrol and the opportunity cost (in time units) of<br />

administration, now heavily oriented to the population census.

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