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NEW YORK, MARCH 25, 2003<br />
IS THE INVASION BOGGED<br />
DOWN IN A NEW QUAGMIRE?<br />
The view from Mesopotamia is that trouble’s in store<br />
N Day 6, the rubber is hitting the road, and the road is hitting back. It may be that the special<br />
Oscar to Peter O’Toole – the man who played Lawrence of Arabia at the lowest-rated<br />
Academy Awards show in recent history – was an attempt to remind us of the joys of the<br />
colonial era when British overlords would sip tea at the palaces in Baghdad. Despite the<br />
heaviest pounding in history from the air, from the shock and awe that was admittedly AWEful,<br />
the Iraqis are holding on, fighting back and throwing a curve ball at the Pentagon and forcing a<br />
rewrite of the media scripts that forecast a quick rout, with kebab for all.<br />
This is the week of the Q word, the week that<br />
media is mesmerized by the Quagmire parallel.<br />
It’s true; the war appears, for the moment, to<br />
be turning into a quagmire as others have done<br />
in the past. You can’t abolish history, even when<br />
you ignore it. The difficulties are now overshadowing<br />
the successes and the Pentagon/Administration<br />
is becoming more defensive.<br />
All the focus on Saddam’s whereabouts seems<br />
to have shifted. We are getting more and more<br />
stories like this one from Joseph Galloway of<br />
Knight Ridder:<br />
“WASHINGTON – Five days into the war, the<br />
optimistic assumptions of the Pentagon’s civilian<br />
war planners have yet to be realized, the risks of<br />
the campaign are becoming increasingly apparent<br />
and some current and retired military officials<br />
are warning that there may be a mismatch<br />
between Secretary of Defense Donald H.<br />
111<br />
Rumsfeld’s strategy and the force he’s sent<br />
to carry it out.<br />
“The outcome of the war isn’t in doubt: Iraq’s<br />
forces are no match for America and its allies.<br />
But, so far, defeating them is proving to be<br />
harder, and it could prove to be longer and costlier<br />
in American and Iraqi lives.”<br />
On the tube<br />
ON the TV nets, the generals are working overtime<br />
to explain, and explain away, why the Iraqi<br />
uprising has not yet occurred, with the proverbial<br />
fat lady yet to sing songs of welcome. It is<br />
hard to believe that we are getting the full story<br />
despite all the embeds and all the expertise. It’s<br />
hard to know whom to believe.<br />
Last night, CSPAN brought us the Canadian