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Boletín Estadístico de Minas y Energía 2007 - 2011 - simco

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Boletín Estadístico <strong>de</strong> <strong>Minas</strong> y EnergíaSector EléctricoTABLA 28. PROYECCIONES DEMANDA DE ELECTRICIDADGWh <strong>2011</strong> - 2031AñoDemanda <strong>de</strong> Energía Eléctrica [GWh / Año]Tasa <strong>de</strong> CrecimientoESC ALT ESC MED ESC BAJ ESC ALT ESC MED ESC BAJ2010 56.146 56.146 56.146 2,70% 2,70% 2,70%<strong>2011</strong> 58.202 57.417 56.650 3,66% 2,26% 0,90%2012 60.609 59.258 57.890 4,14% 3,21% 2,19%2013 62.565 60.749 58.911 3,46% 2,80% 2,04%2014 66.981 63.820 60.846 4,46% 3,51% 2,61%2015 70.336 66.464 62.861 5,01% 4,14% 3,31%2016 73.828 69.249 65.021 4,96% 4,19% 3,44%2017 77.296 71.925 67.012 4,70% 3,86% 3,06%2018 81.018 74.749 69.078 4,82% 3,93% 3,08%2019 84.952 77.707 71.218 4,86% 3,96% 3,10%2020 89.289 80.993 73.632 5,10% 4,23% 3,39%2021 93.832 84.392 76.095 5,09% 4,20% 3,35%2022 98.118 87.718 78.645 4,57% 3,94% 3,35%2023 102.078 90.957 81.085 4,04% 3,69% 3,10%2024 106.137 94.172 83.388 3,98% 3,53% 2,84%2025 110.282 97.331 85.834 3,91% 3,35% 2,93%2026 114.630 100.672 88.448 3,94% 3,43% 3,05%2027 119.189 104.204 91.114 3,98% 3,51% 3,01%2028 123.930 107.841 93.828 3,98% 3,49% 2,98%2029 128.860 111.584 96.638 3,98% 3,47% 3,00%2030 134.006 115.475 99.550 3,99% 3,49% 3,01%2031 139.376 119.524 102.550 4,01% 3,51% 3,01%127GRÁFICO 16. PROYECCIONES DEMANDA DE ELECTRICIDADGWh <strong>2011</strong> - 2031160.000140.000120.000100.00080.00060.00040.00020.00002010 <strong>2011</strong> 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031Fuente: XM, enero 2012Elaboró: UPME - Subdirección <strong>de</strong> InformaciónESC ALT ESC MED ESC BAJ

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