(KS1) - Arkivverkets håndtering av arkivtilvekst

KS 1-rapport, Arkivverkets håndtering av arkivtilvekst og digitaliseringsutfordringer Vedlegg 1
Innholdsfortegnelse
1 Innledning ...................................................................................................................... 4
2 Forutsetninger lagt til grunn for de kvantitative analysene ....................................... 4
3 Investeringskostnader .................................................................................................. 4
3.1 Nullalternativet ........................................................................................................ 4
3.2 Regional utbygging .................................................................................................. 5
3.3 Sentral utbygging .................................................................................................... 8
3.4 Begrenset digitalisering ........................................................................................... 8
3.5 Full digitalisering ..................................................................................................... 9
3.6 Sensitivitetsalternativ digitalisering .........................................................................10
3.7 Sensitivitetsalternativ sentral utbygging ..................................................................10
4 Kort om de ulike usikkerhetselementene .................................................................. 11
4.1 Typer usikkerhet .....................................................................................................11
4.2 Metode ...................................................................................................................11
4.3 Usikkerhetselementer .............................................................................................11
5 Nåverdianalyse driftskostnader og samfunnsøkonomisk nytte og kostnad ........... 14
5.1 Nullalternativet .......................................................................................................14
5.2 Regional utbygging .................................................................................................14
5.3 Sentral utbygging ...................................................................................................15
5.4 Begrenset digitalisering ..........................................................................................16
5.5 Full digitalisering ....................................................................................................18
5.6 Sensitivitetsalternativ digitalisering .........................................................................19
5.7 Sensitivitetsalternativ sentral utbygging ..................................................................19
6 Inndata prissatte konsekvenser ................................................................................. 20
7 Inndata usikkerhet ....................................................................................................... 22
8 Resultater fra usikkerhetsanalysen ........................................................................... 23
9 Nåverdianalyse modell ................................................................................................ 24
9.1 Nullalternativet .......................................................................................................24
9.2 Regional utbygging .................................................................................................25
9.3 Sentral utbygging ...................................................................................................25
9.4 Begrenset digitalisering ..........................................................................................26
9.5 Full digitalisering ....................................................................................................27
9.6 Sensitivitetsalternativ digitalisering .........................................................................27
9.7 Sensitivitetsalternativ sentral utbygging ..................................................................28
Terramar, Oslo Economics og Promis Side 2 av 29 5. august 2011