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Conservation and Sustainable Use of the Biosphere - WBGU

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<strong>Sustainable</strong> food production from aquatic ecosystems E 3.4<br />

165<br />

tions <strong>of</strong> 100–10,000 individuals, <strong>the</strong> genetic diversity<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> survival <strong>of</strong> some species <strong>of</strong> baleen whales are<br />

immediately endangered.<br />

E 3.4.1.1<br />

Scientific foundations for safeguarding utilizable<br />

populations<br />

The starting point for combating overfishing <strong>and</strong> for<br />

<strong>the</strong> regeneration <strong>of</strong> fish populations is <strong>the</strong> determination<br />

<strong>of</strong> sustainable fish yields.Whereas <strong>the</strong> technological<br />

options for fishing have continuously<br />

improved in <strong>the</strong> last few decades, biological <strong>and</strong> ecological<br />

data on <strong>the</strong> subjects being caught are still<br />

largely inadequate.<br />

The marine food chain<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> oceans cover 71 per cent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Earth’s<br />

surface, only around half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> organic matter<br />

formed on <strong>the</strong> Earth is produced in <strong>the</strong>m, around<br />

45–60Gt carbon per year (Longhurst et al, 1995).This<br />

means that on average <strong>the</strong> oceans produce only<br />

around half as much per unit area as <strong>the</strong> l<strong>and</strong>. The<br />

food chain comprises <strong>the</strong> microalgae (phytoplankton)<br />

floating in <strong>the</strong> water as primary producers, phytoplankton-eating<br />

zooplankton, fish, predatory fish,<br />

squid <strong>and</strong> whales. However, with every transfer stage<br />

within <strong>the</strong> food chain, 80–90 per cent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

absorbed with <strong>the</strong> food is lost. Since plankton algae<br />

in nutrient-rich, <strong>and</strong> thus production-rich, buoyant<br />

areas are usually larger than those in low-production<br />

areas far from <strong>the</strong> coast, <strong>the</strong> food chain here is<br />

shorter <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>refore <strong>the</strong> total transfer-efficiency<br />

rate from <strong>the</strong> microalgae to <strong>the</strong> fish is up to 4 per cent<br />

higher than in waters far from <strong>the</strong> coasts, where is it<br />

is usually well below 1 per cent (Lalli <strong>and</strong> Parsons,<br />

1997).<br />

Determining sustainable fish yields<br />

Because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> large difference in <strong>the</strong> structure <strong>of</strong><br />

marine food chains, only rough statements – based on<br />

assessments <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ocean’s primary productivity –<br />

can be made about potential mean fish yields, <strong>and</strong><br />

only for limited marine areas, usually based on correlation<br />

analyses. However, in individual cases <strong>the</strong>se do<br />

not provide a sufficient foundation for <strong>the</strong> management<br />

<strong>of</strong> fish populations. <strong>Sustainable</strong> fish yields can<br />

only be achieved if <strong>the</strong> natural rate <strong>of</strong> increment at<br />

least balances out <strong>the</strong> total mortality <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fished<br />

population. Total mortality is made up <strong>of</strong> natural<br />

mortality (<strong>of</strong> which only a rough assessment is possible)<br />

<strong>and</strong> fisheries-related mortality. In <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> fish<br />

species with large number <strong>of</strong> young (high-recruiting),<br />

high fisheries mortalities can be tolerated, without<br />

endangering <strong>the</strong> continued existence <strong>of</strong> a population.<br />

The recruitment <strong>and</strong>, thus, <strong>the</strong> annual size <strong>of</strong> populations<br />

available for fishing are subject to strong interannual<br />

fluctuations (Box E 3.4-1).These annual sizes<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore have to be identified <strong>and</strong> considered for<br />

sustainable fishing quotas to be set. This requires<br />

considerable technical, logistical <strong>and</strong> administrative<br />

effort. Unfortunately, data availability on <strong>the</strong> population<br />

development <strong>and</strong> recruitment <strong>of</strong> important commercial<br />

fish species has deteriorated in recent years,<br />

due to cuts in research funding.<br />

Box E 3.4-1<br />

Why do <strong>the</strong> annual sizes <strong>of</strong> fish populations<br />

fluctuate?<br />

The reasons for <strong>the</strong> major fluctuations in <strong>the</strong> annual sizes <strong>of</strong><br />

commercial fish stocks have not yet been identified, in spite<br />

<strong>of</strong> intensive research efforts.This knowledge deficit is one <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> main reasons why <strong>the</strong> long-term forecasts <strong>of</strong> population<br />

sizes <strong>and</strong>, thus, <strong>the</strong> determination <strong>of</strong> long-term sustainable<br />

fishing quotas has not been possible to date. Most bony fish<br />

produce very large numbers <strong>of</strong> eggs or young larva. But usually<br />

only a very small proportion (at most just a few per<br />

cent) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> hatched young reach sexual maturity. Relatively<br />

small fluctuations in <strong>the</strong> mortality <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> larvae <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

have a great impact on <strong>the</strong> population size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> young fish<br />

concerned (so-called recruiting). The following attempts at<br />

explaining <strong>the</strong> variability <strong>of</strong> recruiting have been made so<br />

far (Lalli <strong>and</strong> Parsons, 1997):<br />

• Hunger hypo<strong>the</strong>sis: First <strong>of</strong> all, fish larvae eat <strong>the</strong> yolks <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ir eggs before <strong>the</strong>y start to feed. If no food is available<br />

<strong>the</strong>n, <strong>the</strong> young larvae die <strong>of</strong>f.<br />

• Predator hypo<strong>the</strong>sis: Below a certain minimum size<br />

young fish larvae are easily eaten, <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>the</strong>n a high<br />

mortality rate in <strong>the</strong> populations. With unfavourable<br />

feeding conditions <strong>the</strong> fish grow more slowly than when<br />

<strong>the</strong> feeding conditions are favourable. For this reason,<br />

<strong>the</strong> time in which <strong>the</strong>y can be eliminated by being eaten<br />

is longer.<br />

• Advection hypo<strong>the</strong>sis:As a result <strong>of</strong> sea currents fish larvae<br />

can be drifted into areas abundant in food – or poor<br />

in food – <strong>and</strong> recruiting reflects this.<br />

• Growth hypo<strong>the</strong>sis: In higher water temperatures <strong>the</strong><br />

fish reach sexual maturity sooner with a smaller body<br />

size. Moreover, <strong>the</strong>ir growth depends on <strong>the</strong> nutrient<br />

value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> food (above all <strong>the</strong> protein content) <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ir metabolic intensity (eg <strong>the</strong> energy required for<br />

acquiring food). A change in <strong>the</strong> food spectrum <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

generates different growth rates that have an<br />

impact on <strong>the</strong> fish yields that can be achieved.<br />

Experimental findings support all <strong>the</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>ses that do<br />

not necessarily rule each o<strong>the</strong>r out.A great deal <strong>of</strong> research<br />

is needed to clarify <strong>the</strong>se questions that are essential to fisheries<br />

<strong>and</strong> to draw up forecasts for <strong>the</strong> longer term.

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