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Conservation and Sustainable Use of the Biosphere - WBGU

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Preserving <strong>the</strong> regulatory functions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> biosphere J 1.5<br />

369<br />

sphere should be promoted. A wide range <strong>of</strong><br />

dynamically linked model approaches <strong>and</strong> a hierarchy<br />

<strong>of</strong> models should be cultivated <strong>and</strong> developed<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r, both nationally <strong>and</strong> at European<br />

level.<br />

• L<strong>and</strong>scape diversity seems necessary for <strong>the</strong> efficient<br />

functioning <strong>of</strong> ecosystem complexes, also<br />

with respect to global regulatory capacity. It<br />

should be investigated how great l<strong>and</strong>scape diversity<br />

has to be in order to fulfil <strong>the</strong> biogeochemical<br />

functions <strong>and</strong> what significance <strong>the</strong> fragmentation<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ecosystem has for <strong>the</strong> regulative function <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> global biosphere.<br />

• The hypo<strong>the</strong>sis <strong>of</strong> functional similarity <strong>of</strong> primary<br />

producers (on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> redundancies <strong>and</strong> compensations<br />

inherent to <strong>the</strong> system) with regard to<br />

global biogeochemical cycles for carbon, nutrients<br />

<strong>and</strong> water must be verified.<br />

• The economic appraisal <strong>of</strong> global regulative functions<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> biosphere is an interesting <strong>and</strong> important<br />

challenge for researchers (Section J 3.2.3).<br />

Management<br />

Research needs to be conducted into <strong>the</strong> fundamental<br />

opportunities <strong>and</strong> limitations <strong>of</strong> targeted human<br />

interventions on global biogeochemical cycles <strong>and</strong><br />

energy flows as elements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> planetary metabolism.<br />

The conceptual model <strong>of</strong> conscious ‘global biogeoengineering’<br />

is only reflected so far in certain<br />

hypo<strong>the</strong>tical experiments on <strong>the</strong> modification or stabilization<br />

<strong>of</strong> carbon sinks <strong>and</strong> sources <strong>and</strong> real<br />

attempts at iron fertilization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sea, but a deeper<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> this ‘Earth System management’ is<br />

essential – even if only to be better able to analyse<br />

<strong>the</strong> consequences <strong>of</strong> unintended human intervention<br />

in <strong>the</strong> Earth System.<br />

• In this context, structural studies on <strong>the</strong> interaction<br />

<strong>of</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> homeostatic regulative mechanisms<br />

with various characteristics <strong>and</strong> scales (both<br />

in time <strong>and</strong> space) are particularly important.<br />

• Also significant is <strong>the</strong> analysis <strong>of</strong> individual regulative<br />

processes with regard to <strong>the</strong>ir dynamic structures<br />

<strong>and</strong> resilience limits. For instance, <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

still little underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> role <strong>the</strong> biosphere<br />

plays in <strong>the</strong> (global) hydrological cycle, its influence<br />

on <strong>the</strong> structure <strong>and</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> clouds<br />

<strong>and</strong> thus also on <strong>the</strong> Earth’s climate.<br />

Status <strong>and</strong> trends<br />

Monitoring <strong>and</strong> early warning systems for <strong>the</strong> terrestrial<br />

<strong>and</strong> marine biosphere should be developed in<br />

particular for criticality hotspots (such as: Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

Ocean, Section F 5).<br />

Threat<br />

The functions <strong>of</strong> certain biogeographical regions for<br />

<strong>the</strong> Earth System (global biogeochemical cycles <strong>and</strong><br />

energy flows) should be evaluated with regard to<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir individual importance, effect <strong>and</strong> resilience.The<br />

following points in particular should be borne in<br />

mind:<br />

• The construction <strong>of</strong> global maps on <strong>the</strong> criticality<br />

<strong>of</strong> geographical regions in relation to biogeochemical<br />

cycles is particularly important research that<br />

should be pursued fur<strong>the</strong>r as a matter <strong>of</strong> urgency<br />

(Section F 5.4.1).<br />

• Increased research into critical thresholds is necessary<br />

in order to be better able to define guard rails<br />

for climate change <strong>and</strong> for intervention in biogeochemical<br />

cycles.<br />

• The possible limits to fragmentation <strong>of</strong> natural<br />

ecosystems should be studied. This includes study<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> changed impact <strong>of</strong> fragmented ecosystems<br />

on different local processes (hydrological cycle,<br />

erosion, etc) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> changed resilience limits that<br />

result.

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