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(MERAF) for the Base Metals Smelting Sector - CCME

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Site Option <strong>for</strong> Reduction By 2008 Option <strong>for</strong> Reduction By 2015<br />

Potential costs due to additional<br />

acid production<br />

Rest of <strong>Sector</strong>** Incremental Improvements Incremental Improvements<br />

* These technologies are currently under development and require additional development ef<strong>for</strong>t<br />

and pilot-plant scale testing.<br />

** Reductions <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> “Rest of <strong>Sector</strong>” are assumed to be 10% of <strong>the</strong> total releases <strong>for</strong> all <strong>the</strong><br />

facilities not specifically identified, not <strong>for</strong> each individual facility.<br />

4.4.9. Summary of potential emissions reductions with options and<br />

associated capital and operating costs<br />

The predicted future releases are shown in Table 81. Data <strong>for</strong> 1988 and 1998<br />

are from <strong>the</strong> questionnaires, while predictions <strong>for</strong> 2008 and 2015 are Hatch<br />

Associates estimates assuming <strong>the</strong> implementation of <strong>the</strong> options identified in<br />

Table 82.<br />

Also shown in Table 81 are <strong>the</strong> percentage reductions which <strong>the</strong>se release levels<br />

represent when compared to <strong>the</strong> 1988 base year.<br />

<strong>Base</strong>d on <strong>the</strong>se assumed scenarios, <strong>the</strong> sector is close to <strong>the</strong> targets of a sectorwide<br />

reduction in <strong>the</strong> total of <strong>the</strong> CEPA-toxics of 80% by 2008 and 90% reduction<br />

by 2015.<br />

Table 81: Emission Forecasts <strong>for</strong> 2008 and 2015<br />

1988 1998 2008 2015<br />

tonnes<br />

released<br />

tonnes<br />

released<br />

% reduction<br />

from 1988<br />

tonnes<br />

released<br />

% reduction<br />

from 1988<br />

tonnes<br />

released<br />

% reduction<br />

from 1988<br />

Arsenic 327 167 49% 61 81% 35 89%<br />

Cadmium 124 46 63% 19 84% 11 91%<br />

Lead 1,836 543 70% 395 78% 223 88%<br />

Mercury 28.1 2.5 91% 1.8 93% 0.5 98%<br />

Nickel 1,436 314 78% 253 82% 160 89%<br />

CEPA-toxics<br />

Total<br />

SOR<br />

Targets<br />

Total<br />

Particulate<br />

Matter<br />

Sulphur<br />

Dioxide<br />

3,754 1,073 71% 730 81% 430 89%<br />

80% 90%<br />

22,938 7,404 68% 4,987 78% 2,000 91%<br />

1,797,026 867,684 52% 671,000 63% 138,000 92%<br />

187

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