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Darwin's Dangerous Idea - Evolution and the Meaning of Life

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214 BIOLOGY IS ENGINEERING Artifact Hermeneutics, or Reverse Engineering 215<br />

pretty-good version <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> machine on h<strong>and</strong>, ei<strong>the</strong>r an earlier model, or a<br />

"mockup" or scale model that we have built. We examine it carefully, <strong>and</strong> try<br />

out various alterations: "If we just bend this jaw up a little bit like so, <strong>and</strong><br />

move this zipper-bit over a tad like so, it would work even better." But that is<br />

not <strong>the</strong> way evolution works. This comes out especially clearly at <strong>the</strong><br />

molecular level. A particular molecule is <strong>the</strong> shape it is, <strong>and</strong> won't tolerate<br />

much bending or reshaping. What evolution has to do when it improves<br />

molecular design is to make ano<strong>the</strong>r molecule—one that is almost like <strong>the</strong><br />

one that doesn't work very well—<strong>and</strong> simply discard <strong>the</strong> old one.<br />

People are advised never to switch horses in midstream, but evolution<br />

always switches horses. It can't fix anything, except by selecting <strong>and</strong> discarding.<br />

So in every evolutionary process—<strong>and</strong> hence in every true evolutionary<br />

explanation—<strong>the</strong>re is always a faint but disconcerting odor <strong>of</strong><br />

something dicey. I will call this phenomenon bait-<strong>and</strong>-switch, after <strong>the</strong> shady<br />

practice <strong>of</strong> attracting customers by advertising something at a bargain price<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n, when you've lured <strong>the</strong>m to <strong>the</strong> store, trying to sell <strong>the</strong>m a substitute.<br />

Unlike that practice, evolutionary bait-<strong>and</strong>-switch is not really nefarious; it<br />

just seems to be, because it doesn't explain what at first you thought you<br />

wanted explained. It subtly changes <strong>the</strong> topic.<br />

We saw <strong>the</strong> ominous shadow <strong>of</strong> bait-<strong>and</strong>-switch in its purest form in<br />

chapter 2, in <strong>the</strong> weird wager that I can produce somebody who wins ten<br />

consecutive coin-tosses without a loss. I don't know in advance who that<br />

somebody is going to be; I just know that <strong>the</strong> mantle will pass—has to pass,<br />

as a matter <strong>of</strong> algorithmic necessity—to somebody or o<strong>the</strong>r so long as I<br />

execute <strong>the</strong> algorithm. If you overlook this possibility <strong>and</strong> take my sucker bet,<br />

it is because you are too used to <strong>the</strong> human practice <strong>of</strong> tracking individuals<br />

<strong>and</strong> building projects around identified individuals <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir future prospects.<br />

And if <strong>the</strong> winner <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tournament thinks <strong>the</strong>re has to be an explanation <strong>of</strong><br />

why he won, he is mistaken: <strong>the</strong>re is no reason at all why he won; <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

only a very good reason why somebody won. But, being human, <strong>the</strong> winner<br />

will no doubt think <strong>the</strong>re ought to be a reason why he won: "If your<br />

'evolutionary account' can't explain it, <strong>the</strong>n you are leaving out something<br />

important!" To which <strong>the</strong> evolutionist must calmly reply: "Sir, I know that is<br />

what you came in here wanting, but let me try to interest you in something a<br />

little more affordable, a little less presumptuous, a little more defensible."<br />

Has it ever occurred to you how lucky you are to be alive? More than 99<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> all <strong>the</strong> creatures that have ever lived have died without progeny,<br />

but not a single one <strong>of</strong> your ancestors falls into that group! What a royal<br />

lineage <strong>of</strong> winners you come from! (Of course, <strong>the</strong> same thing is true <strong>of</strong> every<br />

barnacle, every blade <strong>of</strong> grass, every housefly.) But it's even eerier than that.<br />

We have learned, have we not, that evolution works by weeding out <strong>the</strong> unfit?<br />

Thanks to <strong>the</strong>ir design defects, <strong>the</strong>se losers have a "pa<strong>the</strong>tic but praiseworthy<br />

tendency to die before reproducing <strong>the</strong>ir kind" (Quine<br />

1969, p. 126). This is <strong>the</strong> very engine <strong>of</strong> Darwinian evolution. If, however,<br />

we look back with tunnel vision at your family tree, we will find many<br />

different organisms, with a wide variety <strong>of</strong> strengths <strong>and</strong> weaknesses, but,<br />

curiously enough, <strong>the</strong>ir weaknesses never led a single one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m to a<br />

premature demise! So it looks from this angle as if evolution can't explain<br />

even a single feature that you inherited from your ancestors! Suppose we<br />

look back at <strong>the</strong> fan-out <strong>of</strong> your ancestors. Notice first that eventually it stops<br />

fanning out <strong>and</strong> begins to double up; you share multiple ancestors with<br />

everybody else alive today, <strong>and</strong> are multiply related to many <strong>of</strong> your own<br />

ancestors. When we look at <strong>the</strong> whole tree over time, we see that <strong>the</strong> later,<br />

more recent ancestors have improvements that <strong>the</strong> earlier ones lacked, but all<br />

<strong>the</strong> crucial events—all <strong>the</strong> selection events—happen <strong>of</strong>fstage: not a single<br />

one <strong>of</strong> your ancestors, all <strong>the</strong> way back to <strong>the</strong> bacteria, succumbed to<br />

predation before reproducing, or lost out to <strong>the</strong> competition for a mate.<br />

Of course, evolution does explain all <strong>the</strong> features that you inherited from<br />

your ancestors, but not by explaining why you are lucky enough to have<br />

<strong>the</strong>m. It explains why today's winners have <strong>the</strong> features <strong>the</strong>y do, but not why<br />

<strong>the</strong>se individuals have <strong>the</strong> features <strong>the</strong>y do. 17 Consider: You order a new car,<br />

<strong>and</strong> specify that it be green. On <strong>the</strong> appointed day, you go to <strong>the</strong> dealership<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re it sits, green <strong>and</strong> new. Which is <strong>the</strong> right question to ask: "Why is<br />

this car green?" or "Why is this (green) car here?" (In later chapters we will<br />

look fur<strong>the</strong>r at <strong>the</strong> implications <strong>of</strong> bait-<strong>and</strong>-switch.)<br />

The second important difference between <strong>the</strong> processes—<strong>and</strong> hence <strong>the</strong><br />

products—<strong>of</strong> natural selection <strong>and</strong> human engineering concerns <strong>the</strong> feature <strong>of</strong><br />

natural selection that strikes many people as most paradoxical: its utter lack<br />

<strong>of</strong> foresight. When human engineers design something (forward engineering),<br />

<strong>the</strong>y must guard against a notorious problem: unforeseen side effects. When<br />

two or more systems, well designed in isolation, are put into a supersystem,<br />

this <strong>of</strong>ten produces interactions that were not only not part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> intended<br />

design, but positively harmful; <strong>the</strong> activity <strong>of</strong> one system inadvertently<br />

clobbers <strong>the</strong> activity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r. The only practical way to guard against<br />

unforeseen side effects, since by <strong>the</strong>ir very nature <strong>the</strong>y are unforeseeable by<br />

those whose gaze is perforce restricted to just one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> subsystems being<br />

designed, is to design all subsystems to have relatively impenetrable<br />

boundaries that coincide with <strong>the</strong> epistemic boundaries <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir creators.<br />

Human engineers typically attempt to insulate subsystems from each o<strong>the</strong>r,<br />

<strong>and</strong> insist on an overall design in which each subsystem has a single, welldefined<br />

function within <strong>the</strong> whole.<br />

The set <strong>of</strong> supersystems having this fundamental abstract architecture is<br />

17. "But this is not to explain why, e.g., contractile vacuoles occur in certain protozoans;<br />

it is to explain why <strong>the</strong> sort <strong>of</strong> protozoan incorporating contractile vacuoles occurs"<br />

(Cummins 1975, in Sober 1984b, pp. 394-95).

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