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Darwin's Dangerous Idea - Evolution and the Meaning of Life

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254 SEARCHING FOR QUALITY<br />

The logical structure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> game is what matters, not this particular setting,<br />

which is a usefully vivid imagination-driver. We can replace <strong>the</strong> prison<br />

sentences with positive outcomes (it's a chance to win different amounts <strong>of</strong><br />

cash—or, say, descendants ) just so long as <strong>the</strong> pay<strong>of</strong>fs are symmetrical, <strong>and</strong><br />

ordered so that lone defection pays more than mutual cooperation, which<br />

pays each more than mutual defection does, which in turn pays more than <strong>the</strong><br />

sucker pay<strong>of</strong>f one gets when <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r is a lone defector. (And in formal settings<br />

we set a fur<strong>the</strong>r condition: <strong>the</strong> average <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sucker <strong>and</strong> mutualdefection<br />

pay<strong>of</strong>fs must not be greater than <strong>the</strong> mutual-cooperation pay<strong>of</strong>f.)<br />

Whenever this structure is instantiated in <strong>the</strong> world, <strong>the</strong>re is a Prisoner's Dilemma.<br />

Game-<strong>the</strong>oretic explorations have been undertaken in many fields, from<br />

philosophy <strong>and</strong> psychology to economics <strong>and</strong> biology. The most influential<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> many applications <strong>of</strong> game-<strong>the</strong>oretic thinking to evolutionary <strong>the</strong>ory is<br />

Maynard Smith's concept <strong>of</strong> an evolutionarily stable strategy, or ESS, a<br />

strategy that may not be "best" from any Olympian (or Fujian!) st<strong>and</strong>point,<br />

but is unimprovable-upon <strong>and</strong> unsubvertible under <strong>the</strong> circumstances. Maynard<br />

Smith (1988, especially chh. 21 <strong>and</strong> 22) is an excellent introductory<br />

account <strong>of</strong> game <strong>the</strong>ory in evolution. The revised edition <strong>of</strong> Richard Dawkins'<br />

The Selfish Gene ( 1989a) has a particularly good account <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> development<br />

<strong>of</strong> ESS thinking in biology during <strong>the</strong> last decade or so, when<br />

large-scale computer simulations <strong>of</strong> various game-<strong>the</strong>oretic models revealed<br />

complications that had been overlooked by <strong>the</strong> earlier, less realistic versions.<br />

I now like to express <strong>the</strong> essential idea <strong>of</strong> an ESS in <strong>the</strong> following more<br />

economical way. An ESS is a strategy that does well against copies <strong>of</strong> itself.<br />

The rationale for this is as follows. A successful strategy is one that dominates<br />

<strong>the</strong> population. Therefore it will tend to encounter copies <strong>of</strong> itself.<br />

Therefore it won't stay successful unless it does well against copies <strong>of</strong><br />

itself. This definition is not so ma<strong>the</strong>matically precise as Maynard Smith's,<br />

<strong>and</strong> it cannot replace his definition because it is actually incomplete. But<br />

it does have <strong>the</strong> virtue <strong>of</strong> encapsulating, intuitively, <strong>the</strong> basic ESS idea.<br />

[Dawkins 1989a, p. 282.]<br />

There can be no doubt that game-<strong>the</strong>oretic analyses work in evolutionary<br />

<strong>the</strong>ory. Why, for instance, are <strong>the</strong> trees in <strong>the</strong> forest so tall? For <strong>the</strong> very same<br />

reason that huge arrays <strong>of</strong> garish signs compete for our attention along<br />

commercial strips in every region <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country! Each tree is looking out for<br />

itself, <strong>and</strong> trying to get as much sunlight as possible.<br />

If only those redwoods could get toge<strong>the</strong>r <strong>and</strong> agree on some sensible<br />

zoning restrictions <strong>and</strong> stop competing with each o<strong>the</strong>r for sunlight, <strong>the</strong>y<br />

Playing with Constraints 255<br />

could avoid <strong>the</strong> trouble <strong>of</strong> building those ridiculous <strong>and</strong> expensive trunks,<br />

stay low <strong>and</strong> thrifty shrubs, <strong>and</strong> get just as much sunlight as before! [Dennett<br />

1990b, p. 132.]<br />

But <strong>the</strong>y can't get toge<strong>the</strong>r; under <strong>the</strong>se circumstances, defection from any<br />

cooperative "agreement" is bound to pay <strong>of</strong>f if ever or whenever it occurs, so<br />

trees would be stuck with <strong>the</strong> "tragedy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> commons" (Hardin 1968) if<br />

<strong>the</strong>re weren't an essentially inexhaustible supply <strong>of</strong> sunshine. The tragedy <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> commons occurs when <strong>the</strong>re is a finite "public" or shared resource that<br />

individuals will be selfishly tempted to take more <strong>of</strong> than <strong>the</strong>ir fair share—<br />

such as <strong>the</strong> edible fish in <strong>the</strong> oceans. Unless very specific <strong>and</strong> enforceable<br />

agreements can be reached, <strong>the</strong> result will tend to be <strong>the</strong> destruction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

resource. Many species, in many regards, face various sorts <strong>of</strong> Prisoner's<br />

Dilemmas. And we human beings face <strong>the</strong>m both consciously <strong>and</strong><br />

unconsciously—sometimes in ways that we might never have imagined<br />

without <strong>the</strong> aid <strong>of</strong> adaptationist thinking.<br />

Homo sapiens is not exempt from <strong>the</strong> sort <strong>of</strong> genetic conflict David Haig<br />

postulates to explain genomic imprinting; in an important new article (1993)<br />

he analyzes a variety <strong>of</strong> conflicts that exist between <strong>the</strong> genes <strong>of</strong> a pregnant<br />

woman <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> genes <strong>of</strong> her embryo. It is in <strong>the</strong> embryo's interests, <strong>of</strong> course,<br />

that <strong>the</strong> mo<strong>the</strong>r bearing it stay strong <strong>and</strong> healthy, for its own survival<br />

depends on her not only completing her term <strong>of</strong> pregnancy but tending for her<br />

newborn. However, if <strong>the</strong> mo<strong>the</strong>r, in her attempt to stay healthy under trying<br />

circumstances—famine, for instance, which must have been a common<br />

circumstance in most generations <strong>of</strong> human existence— should cut down on<br />

<strong>the</strong> nutrition she provides her embryo, at some point this becomes more <strong>of</strong> a<br />

threat to <strong>the</strong> embryo's survival than <strong>the</strong> alternative, a weakened mo<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

If <strong>the</strong> embryo were "given a choice" between being spontaneously aborted<br />

early in <strong>the</strong> pregnancy or being stillborn or <strong>of</strong> low birth weight on <strong>the</strong> one<br />

h<strong>and</strong>, versus being born at normal weight <strong>of</strong> a weak or even dying mo<strong>the</strong>r on<br />

<strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r, what would (selfish) reason dictate? It would dictate taking<br />

whatever steps are available to try to ensure that <strong>the</strong> mo<strong>the</strong>r does not cut her<br />

losses (she can always try to have ano<strong>the</strong>r child later, when <strong>the</strong> famine is<br />

over), <strong>and</strong> this is just what <strong>the</strong> embryo does. Both embryo <strong>and</strong> mo<strong>the</strong>r can be<br />

entirely oblivious <strong>of</strong> this conflict—as oblivious as <strong>the</strong> trees rising<br />

competitively in <strong>the</strong> forest. The conflict plays out in <strong>the</strong> genes <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

control <strong>of</strong> hormones, not in <strong>the</strong> brains <strong>of</strong> mo<strong>the</strong>r <strong>and</strong> embryo; it is <strong>the</strong> same<br />

sort <strong>of</strong> conflict we saw between maternal <strong>and</strong> paternal genes in <strong>the</strong> mouse.<br />

There is a flood <strong>of</strong> hormones; <strong>the</strong> embryo produces a hormone that will<br />

enhance its own growth at <strong>the</strong> expense <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> mo<strong>the</strong>r's nutritional needs, her<br />

body responds with an antagonist hormone that attempts to undo <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> first; <strong>and</strong> so on, in an escalation that can produce

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