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Geoinformation for Disaster and Risk Management - ISPRS

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different times of day). Since no two cities are alike,<br />

the transferability of such relationships needs to be<br />

carefully examined. The broadest unit of analysis<br />

considered in this conceptual framework is the<br />

administrative city boundary (Tier 1). At Tier 1, the<br />

approach considers three population estimation<br />

models <strong>for</strong> which processing time, data requirement<br />

<strong>and</strong> cost increase with in<strong>for</strong>mation detail.<br />

Model 1: City population, uses an areal overlay<br />

methodology based on the simplified assumption<br />

that population is uni<strong>for</strong>mly distributed across the<br />

city. This is a very simple case.<br />

Model 2: Urban population, employs Quickbird<br />

satellite images to extract the urban areas (oppose to<br />

non-inhabited regions) in which the population is<br />

supposed to be uni<strong>for</strong>mly distributed. This<br />

assumption is still an oversimplification.<br />

Model 3: Occupancy-based population differentiates<br />

occupancy categories within the urban areas so that<br />

population can be estimated <strong>for</strong> each of the<br />

categories (Figure 2).<br />

92<br />

Damage in<strong>for</strong>mation <strong>for</strong> disaster response<br />

There is no substitute <strong>for</strong> real-time or near-real-time<br />

data <strong>and</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation in the aftermath of a disaster.<br />

Post-event activities require quick <strong>and</strong> accurate<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mation about damage <strong>and</strong> casualties to<br />

coordinate a response to the catastrophe. Within the<br />

re/insurance arena, geographically referenced<br />

damage in<strong>for</strong>mation is vital as an independent<br />

source of loss estimation <strong>and</strong> to determine insurance<br />

claims. For humanitarian relief, estimates of affected<br />

population <strong>and</strong> casualties are critical <strong>for</strong> planning<br />

relief <strong>and</strong> response activities. Although increasingly,<br />

disaster in<strong>for</strong>mation is becoming publicly available<br />

through internet posting, its value is often limited by<br />

the absence of metadata regarding its time <strong>and</strong> geolocation<br />

(e.g., geotagging), both of which are central<br />

to rendering it actionable.<br />

Internet-based loss estimation<br />

One example of a fully-georeferenced risk model is<br />

the Internet-based earthquake loss estimation tool<br />

InLET (Figure 3), designed <strong>and</strong> developed by<br />

ImageCat (www.imagecatinc.com). InLET is the first<br />

online real-time loss estimation system available to<br />

emergency managers <strong>and</strong> responders. Immediately<br />

following an earthquake, the United States<br />

Geological Survey (USGS) broadcasts Internet alerts<br />

using their ShakeCast plat<strong>for</strong>m. InLET which 'listens'<br />

<strong>for</strong> such alerts, is automatically triggered <strong>and</strong><br />

produces loss estimation results based on details of<br />

the earthquake event. Integrating hazard intelligence<br />

with population <strong>and</strong> building inventory data from US<br />

Census Bureau enables loss estimation algorithms to<br />

immediately estimate fatalities <strong>and</strong> building damage<br />

at the level of the census tract. The InLET framework<br />

is readily transferable to other earthquake prone<br />

parts of the World such as India.<br />

Figure 2: Occupancy-based population estimates at Tier 1 using Model 3. The left figure displays the relative day time population<br />

distribution, the right figure displays the population change between day- <strong>and</strong> night-time population.

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