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Geoinformation for Disaster and Risk Management - ISPRS

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Health alerts<br />

As an example of health interventions, the<br />

Albuquerque Public Schools (APS) in New Mexico,<br />

USA has developed an asthma action plan <strong>and</strong><br />

st<strong>and</strong>ing orders <strong>for</strong> intervening, mitigating, <strong>and</strong><br />

treating registered asthmatic students. The action<br />

plan has three well defined categories of symptoms.<br />

Mild symptoms are addressed by the classroom<br />

teacher; moderate symptoms are addressed by a<br />

school nurse or other medical provider; <strong>and</strong> severe<br />

symptoms are addressed by emergency response<br />

personnel. These categories provide a health basis<br />

<strong>for</strong> dust <strong>for</strong>ecasts that can be e-mailed, faxed, text<br />

messaged, or twittered to the APS Nursing Service,<br />

<strong>and</strong> sent to print <strong>and</strong> broadcast media.<br />

Forty-eight-hour <strong>for</strong>ecasts of atmospheric dust are<br />

produced daily <strong>and</strong> made available at<br />

http://phairs.unm.edu, <strong>and</strong><br />

http://nmtracking.unm.edu. Figure 4 captures a<br />

storm crossing southeast Arizona <strong>and</strong> southwest<br />

New Mexico on Jan 6-8, 2008. Individuals at Wilcox<br />

<strong>and</strong> Silver City could view an animation of the dust<br />

<strong>for</strong>ecast that ran from 5:00pm (local time) on Jan 6th<br />

through midnight on Jan 8th. At left is a clip from the<br />

animation centered on the hour of peak dust<br />

concentration. The graphs at right show the peak<br />

hour <strong>and</strong> magnitudes <strong>for</strong> Wilcox Playa (blue curve)<br />

<strong>and</strong> Silver City (red curve). There is a precursor,<br />

lower concentration episode at both locations, but<br />

Wilcox was eventually hit with three high<br />

concentration episodes over the <strong>for</strong>ecast period.<br />

School nurses in the Albuquerque Public Schools<br />

prefer a dust alert system that obviates referring to<br />

websites or interpreting graphs. They favor a daily<br />

written synopsis of dust <strong>and</strong> air quality conditions<br />

across the school District.<br />

Figure 4: (left), Dust patterns at 1pm on Jan 7th. High concentrations are red <strong>and</strong> orange colors; low concentrations are<br />

green <strong>and</strong> yellow colors. (right), Timing of peak dust concentrations. The pattern at left is <strong>for</strong> the hour shown on the<br />

vertical bar at right.<br />

Using Figure 4(right) as an example, a synopsis of<br />

dust <strong>for</strong>ecasts might read as follows:<br />

�Wilcox <strong>and</strong> vicinity: For January 6-8, expect<br />

moderate windblown dust late in the evening on<br />

the 6th, dissipating gradually throughout the<br />

evening <strong>and</strong> early morning hours but increasing<br />

<strong>and</strong> peaking in concentration to unhealthy levels<br />

between noon <strong>and</strong> 3pm on the 7th. There is a<br />

chance <strong>for</strong> moderate dust between 6 <strong>and</strong> 8am on<br />

the 8th.<br />

�Silver City <strong>and</strong> vicinity: For January 6-8,<br />

expect conditions as in Wilcox on the 6th. For the<br />

7th, expect a sharp rise in dust concentration to<br />

unhealthy levels between noon <strong>and</strong> 7pm, <strong>and</strong><br />

remaining high until after midnight. Expect<br />

diminishing dust on the 8th.<br />

Epidemiology<br />

Epidemiologists can gain access to archives of dust<br />

simulations in the southwestern USA at<br />

http://nmtracking.unm.edu. Products are integrated<br />

into client interfaces to visualize raster images<br />

derived from the modeling system <strong>and</strong> to combine<br />

them with routine GIS operations. These data<br />

represent a step toward examining geographically<br />

explicit dust patterns <strong>for</strong> analyses of hospital<br />

admissions, or doctor visits that might have resulted<br />

from chronic, high level dust exposures.<br />

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