Growing Together: Economic Integration for an Inclusive and - escap
Growing Together: Economic Integration for an Inclusive and - escap
Growing Together: Economic Integration for an Inclusive and - escap
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
services, play a large role in determining<br />
health outcomes – <strong>an</strong>d, thus, the potential to<br />
engage fully in employment activities – across<br />
the population. 51<br />
Persistent poverty <strong>an</strong>d inequality in the<br />
world’s most dynamic region represents, as<br />
argued in chapter one, a missed opportunity.<br />
If the ”bottom one billion” inhabit<strong>an</strong>ts of<br />
Asia <strong>an</strong>d the Pacific had similar access to<br />
s<strong>an</strong>itation, health, education <strong>an</strong>d social<br />
protection as the ”top three billion”, they<br />
would be able to enh<strong>an</strong>ce the size of what<br />
is already the largest <strong>an</strong>d most rapidly<br />
exp<strong>an</strong>ding market, contributing to sustaining<br />
growth in decades to come. Moreover, social<br />
justice considerations make the exclusion<br />
of a quarter of the region’s population from<br />
the fruits of its growing prosperity morally<br />
unacceptable. Furthermore, social exclusion<br />
creates downside risks to stability <strong>an</strong>d growth<br />
itself.<br />
Studies on the relationship between poverty<br />
<strong>an</strong>d violent conflict usually find that causality<br />
runs from conflict to poverty, but the reverse<br />
relationship is not as clear. However, when<br />
poverty coincides with ethnic, religious,<br />
l<strong>an</strong>guage or regional boundaries, underlying<br />
griev<strong>an</strong>ces c<strong>an</strong> explode into open conflict,<br />
often triggered by external shocks, such as<br />
a sudden increase in the price of food or<br />
other necessities. The potential <strong>for</strong> conflict<br />
is more likely when basic hum<strong>an</strong> needs,<br />
such as the need <strong>for</strong> physical security<br />
<strong>an</strong>d well-being, communal <strong>an</strong>d cultural<br />
recognition, participation <strong>an</strong>d distributive<br />
justice are repeatedly denied, threatened,<br />
or frustrated, especially over long periods<br />
of time. 52 According to the Commonwealth<br />
Commission on Respect <strong>an</strong>d Underst<strong>an</strong>ding,<br />
remembered injustices, including those that<br />
occurred decades, even centuries be<strong>for</strong>e, play<br />
<strong>an</strong> import<strong>an</strong>t role in justifying <strong>an</strong>d sustaining<br />
m<strong>an</strong>y conflicts. 53<br />
As shown in figure V.6, social exclusion appears<br />
to have <strong>an</strong> adverse consequence on <strong>for</strong>eign<br />
direct investment. The horizontal axis shows<br />
a Millennium Development Goals capabilities<br />
index developed by ESCAP <strong>for</strong> the year 1990. 54<br />
It measures the levels of country’s capabilities<br />
to provide services in the areas of health <strong>an</strong>d<br />
education. The vertical axis shows cumulative<br />
inflows of <strong>for</strong>eign direct investment per capita<br />
during the period 2003-2010. The relationship<br />
between these two variables is positive <strong>an</strong>d<br />
statistically signific<strong>an</strong>t. The countries in the<br />
bottom half of the distribution of the index<br />
have <strong>an</strong> average cumulative <strong>for</strong>eign direct<br />
investment (FDI) per capita of $415 over the<br />
period 2003-2010, compared to $1,065 <strong>for</strong><br />
those in the upper half of the distribution<br />
of the Millennium Development Goals<br />
capabilities index. The relationship between<br />
social exclusion <strong>an</strong>d FDI could be explained<br />
by two possible factors: (i) the reduced size of<br />
the domestic market resulting from the lower<br />
purchasing power of the excluded; <strong>an</strong>d (ii)<br />
potential risks to social <strong>an</strong>d political stability<br />
which could affect the return of FDI.<br />
An import<strong>an</strong>t objective of regional economic<br />
integration schemes is to narrow development<br />
gaps <strong>an</strong>d bring about convergence in the<br />
levels of economic development of different<br />
particip<strong>an</strong>ts through the optimal deployment<br />
of the region’s resources. The objective of<br />
achieving a bal<strong>an</strong>ced <strong>an</strong>d equitable regional<br />
development also creates conditions<br />
<strong>for</strong> a more enthusiastic participation of<br />
all partners, including those with scarce<br />
productive capacities. Some studies suggest<br />
that increased trade by itself, even if bal<strong>an</strong>ced,<br />
does not ensure economic development.<br />
Thus, growth in trade must be accomp<strong>an</strong>ied<br />
by complementary development policies<br />
to promote investment in infrastructure,<br />
education <strong>an</strong>d research <strong>an</strong>d development in<br />
lower-income countries <strong>an</strong>d less-developed<br />
regions.<br />
M<strong>an</strong>y existing regional trading arr<strong>an</strong>gements<br />
include bal<strong>an</strong>ced regional development <strong>an</strong>d<br />
social cohesion policies. 55 For inst<strong>an</strong>ce, the<br />
Europe<strong>an</strong> Union has extensive programmes,<br />
to support lagging regions through<br />
structural funds under the social cohesion<br />
policy. The Southern Common Market<br />
(MERCOSUR) is considering proposals <strong>for</strong> a<br />
regional social fund. SAARC has created the<br />
SAARC Development Fund which includes<br />
a social window to fund poverty alleviation<br />
programmes <strong>an</strong>d projects, <strong>an</strong> infrastructure<br />
window to fin<strong>an</strong>ce infrastructure projects,<br />
<strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong> economic window to fund other noninfrastructure<br />
commercial projects.<br />
130