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Growing Together: Economic Integration for an Inclusive and - escap

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Islamic Republic of Ir<strong>an</strong>, Kazakhst<strong>an</strong>, Malaysia,<br />

the Russi<strong>an</strong> Federation <strong>an</strong>d Turkmenist<strong>an</strong> have<br />

abund<strong>an</strong>t hydrocarbon energy resources.<br />

On the other h<strong>an</strong>d, major economies such<br />

as China, India, Jap<strong>an</strong> <strong>an</strong>d the Republic of<br />

Korea are highly dependent on hydrocarbon<br />

imports.<br />

The Asia-Pacific region has also developed<br />

cross-country complementarities within<br />

industries. East Asi<strong>an</strong> countries, <strong>for</strong><br />

example, have specialized in m<strong>an</strong>ufacturing<br />

<strong>an</strong>d hardware while South Asi<strong>an</strong> economies<br />

have focused on services <strong>an</strong>d software.<br />

Recent <strong>an</strong>alyses have found signific<strong>an</strong>t<br />

complementarities at disaggregated<br />

industrial sectors both within <strong>an</strong>d between<br />

subregions, with the latter being generally<br />

higher th<strong>an</strong> the <strong>for</strong>mer. 29<br />

Large markets <strong>an</strong>d a growing middle class<br />

Another import<strong>an</strong>t factor <strong>for</strong> the success of<br />

regionalism is a large <strong>an</strong>d growing market.<br />

With rapid economic growth, the Asia-Pacific<br />

region is emerging as the main source of final<br />

dem<strong>an</strong>d <strong>for</strong> the region’s exports. China <strong>an</strong>d<br />

India now have sizeable middle classes which<br />

<strong>for</strong>m the world’s largest markets <strong>for</strong> a growing<br />

r<strong>an</strong>ge of products <strong>an</strong>d services, such as mobile<br />

phones, motor cars <strong>an</strong>d jet pl<strong>an</strong>es. As a result,<br />

between 2000 <strong>an</strong>d 2010 the proportion of<br />

Asia-Pacific trade that was carried on <strong>an</strong><br />

intraregional basis rose from 48 to 54 per<br />

cent. 30 The region’s large <strong>an</strong>d rapidly growing<br />

markets make regional economic integration<br />

<strong>an</strong> increasingly viable development strategy.<br />

This would not only enable the poorer<br />

countries of the region to take care of their<br />

development challenges, such as poverty <strong>an</strong>d<br />

hunger, but would also benefit the adv<strong>an</strong>ced<br />

economies of the West by absorbing more<br />

of their exports <strong>an</strong>d thus help bring down<br />

their levels of debt. Asia <strong>an</strong>d the Pacific could<br />

there<strong>for</strong>e become a growth pole <strong>for</strong> the<br />

adv<strong>an</strong>ced economies <strong>an</strong>d other developing<br />

regions. 31<br />

Lessons from global experience<br />

Since the early 1990s, the ”new regionalism”<br />

has been a domin<strong>an</strong>t trend in the world<br />

economy, particularly in Europe with the<br />

<strong>for</strong>mation of the Single Europe<strong>an</strong> Market <strong>an</strong>d<br />

in North America with the signing of the North<br />

Americ<strong>an</strong> Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In<br />

comparison with earlier <strong>an</strong>d shallower <strong>for</strong>ms of<br />

cooperation, these regional trade agreements<br />

(RTAs) pursued free trade complemented by<br />

strong rules of origin <strong>an</strong>d mobility of capital<br />

<strong>an</strong>d, in the Europe<strong>an</strong> Union (EU), mobility<br />

of labour. Subsequently, the EU deepened<br />

integration, exp<strong>an</strong>ded its membership <strong>an</strong>d<br />

progressively evolved into <strong>an</strong> economic<br />

union, with some of its members <strong>for</strong>ming a<br />

monetary union with a single currency.<br />

Other regions have pursued similar RTAs.<br />

In Latin America <strong>an</strong>d the Caribbe<strong>an</strong>, these<br />

include the Common Market of the South<br />

(MERCOSUR), the Caribbe<strong>an</strong> Community<br />

(CARICOM) <strong>an</strong>d the Ande<strong>an</strong> Community<br />

of Nations, <strong>an</strong>d in Sub-Sahar<strong>an</strong> Africa, the<br />

Common Market <strong>for</strong> Eastern <strong>an</strong>d Southern<br />

Africa (COMESA) <strong>an</strong>d the Southern Africa<br />

Development Community (SADC). There<br />

are now some 300 plurilateral <strong>an</strong>d bilateral<br />

FTAs 32 across the world <strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong> import<strong>an</strong>t<br />

part of global trade is now conducted on<br />

a preferential basis. 33 This also encourages<br />

other countries to negotiate their own RTAs<br />

to prevent discrimination by trading partners<br />

that belong to existing RTAs.<br />

During the last 20 years, there has been a<br />

debate on the impact of RTAs on further<br />

trade liberalization. Are they stumbling<br />

blocks or building blocks? Recent research<br />

tends to support the view that regionalism,<br />

by liberalizing trade, should be viewed as a<br />

building block of multilateralism. 34<br />

RTAs also create larger markets, which are<br />

attractive to <strong>for</strong>eign investors. For example,<br />

since the <strong>for</strong>mation of the single market<br />

the EU has increased its share in global FDI<br />

inflows from nearly 30 per cent in the 1980s<br />

to about 50 per cent today. 35 Similarly, Mexico<br />

has benefited from its NAFTA membership.<br />

Comparing the periods 1991-1993 <strong>an</strong>d 2000-<br />

2002, <strong>an</strong>nual FDI inflows increased from<br />

$12 billion to $54 billion, as m<strong>an</strong>y industries<br />

relocated to maquiladora processing zones in<br />

the north of Mexico. 36 The strong association<br />

between membership in RTAs <strong>an</strong>d FDI<br />

10

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