Growing Together: Economic Integration for an Inclusive and - escap
Growing Together: Economic Integration for an Inclusive and - escap
Growing Together: Economic Integration for an Inclusive and - escap
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Islamic Republic of Ir<strong>an</strong>, Kazakhst<strong>an</strong>, Malaysia,<br />
the Russi<strong>an</strong> Federation <strong>an</strong>d Turkmenist<strong>an</strong> have<br />
abund<strong>an</strong>t hydrocarbon energy resources.<br />
On the other h<strong>an</strong>d, major economies such<br />
as China, India, Jap<strong>an</strong> <strong>an</strong>d the Republic of<br />
Korea are highly dependent on hydrocarbon<br />
imports.<br />
The Asia-Pacific region has also developed<br />
cross-country complementarities within<br />
industries. East Asi<strong>an</strong> countries, <strong>for</strong><br />
example, have specialized in m<strong>an</strong>ufacturing<br />
<strong>an</strong>d hardware while South Asi<strong>an</strong> economies<br />
have focused on services <strong>an</strong>d software.<br />
Recent <strong>an</strong>alyses have found signific<strong>an</strong>t<br />
complementarities at disaggregated<br />
industrial sectors both within <strong>an</strong>d between<br />
subregions, with the latter being generally<br />
higher th<strong>an</strong> the <strong>for</strong>mer. 29<br />
Large markets <strong>an</strong>d a growing middle class<br />
Another import<strong>an</strong>t factor <strong>for</strong> the success of<br />
regionalism is a large <strong>an</strong>d growing market.<br />
With rapid economic growth, the Asia-Pacific<br />
region is emerging as the main source of final<br />
dem<strong>an</strong>d <strong>for</strong> the region’s exports. China <strong>an</strong>d<br />
India now have sizeable middle classes which<br />
<strong>for</strong>m the world’s largest markets <strong>for</strong> a growing<br />
r<strong>an</strong>ge of products <strong>an</strong>d services, such as mobile<br />
phones, motor cars <strong>an</strong>d jet pl<strong>an</strong>es. As a result,<br />
between 2000 <strong>an</strong>d 2010 the proportion of<br />
Asia-Pacific trade that was carried on <strong>an</strong><br />
intraregional basis rose from 48 to 54 per<br />
cent. 30 The region’s large <strong>an</strong>d rapidly growing<br />
markets make regional economic integration<br />
<strong>an</strong> increasingly viable development strategy.<br />
This would not only enable the poorer<br />
countries of the region to take care of their<br />
development challenges, such as poverty <strong>an</strong>d<br />
hunger, but would also benefit the adv<strong>an</strong>ced<br />
economies of the West by absorbing more<br />
of their exports <strong>an</strong>d thus help bring down<br />
their levels of debt. Asia <strong>an</strong>d the Pacific could<br />
there<strong>for</strong>e become a growth pole <strong>for</strong> the<br />
adv<strong>an</strong>ced economies <strong>an</strong>d other developing<br />
regions. 31<br />
Lessons from global experience<br />
Since the early 1990s, the ”new regionalism”<br />
has been a domin<strong>an</strong>t trend in the world<br />
economy, particularly in Europe with the<br />
<strong>for</strong>mation of the Single Europe<strong>an</strong> Market <strong>an</strong>d<br />
in North America with the signing of the North<br />
Americ<strong>an</strong> Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In<br />
comparison with earlier <strong>an</strong>d shallower <strong>for</strong>ms of<br />
cooperation, these regional trade agreements<br />
(RTAs) pursued free trade complemented by<br />
strong rules of origin <strong>an</strong>d mobility of capital<br />
<strong>an</strong>d, in the Europe<strong>an</strong> Union (EU), mobility<br />
of labour. Subsequently, the EU deepened<br />
integration, exp<strong>an</strong>ded its membership <strong>an</strong>d<br />
progressively evolved into <strong>an</strong> economic<br />
union, with some of its members <strong>for</strong>ming a<br />
monetary union with a single currency.<br />
Other regions have pursued similar RTAs.<br />
In Latin America <strong>an</strong>d the Caribbe<strong>an</strong>, these<br />
include the Common Market of the South<br />
(MERCOSUR), the Caribbe<strong>an</strong> Community<br />
(CARICOM) <strong>an</strong>d the Ande<strong>an</strong> Community<br />
of Nations, <strong>an</strong>d in Sub-Sahar<strong>an</strong> Africa, the<br />
Common Market <strong>for</strong> Eastern <strong>an</strong>d Southern<br />
Africa (COMESA) <strong>an</strong>d the Southern Africa<br />
Development Community (SADC). There<br />
are now some 300 plurilateral <strong>an</strong>d bilateral<br />
FTAs 32 across the world <strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong> import<strong>an</strong>t<br />
part of global trade is now conducted on<br />
a preferential basis. 33 This also encourages<br />
other countries to negotiate their own RTAs<br />
to prevent discrimination by trading partners<br />
that belong to existing RTAs.<br />
During the last 20 years, there has been a<br />
debate on the impact of RTAs on further<br />
trade liberalization. Are they stumbling<br />
blocks or building blocks? Recent research<br />
tends to support the view that regionalism,<br />
by liberalizing trade, should be viewed as a<br />
building block of multilateralism. 34<br />
RTAs also create larger markets, which are<br />
attractive to <strong>for</strong>eign investors. For example,<br />
since the <strong>for</strong>mation of the single market<br />
the EU has increased its share in global FDI<br />
inflows from nearly 30 per cent in the 1980s<br />
to about 50 per cent today. 35 Similarly, Mexico<br />
has benefited from its NAFTA membership.<br />
Comparing the periods 1991-1993 <strong>an</strong>d 2000-<br />
2002, <strong>an</strong>nual FDI inflows increased from<br />
$12 billion to $54 billion, as m<strong>an</strong>y industries<br />
relocated to maquiladora processing zones in<br />
the north of Mexico. 36 The strong association<br />
between membership in RTAs <strong>an</strong>d FDI<br />
10