Twenty-eighth Report Adapting Institutions to Climate Change Cm ...
Twenty-eighth Report Adapting Institutions to Climate Change Cm ...
Twenty-eighth Report Adapting Institutions to Climate Change Cm ...
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1.9<br />
1.10<br />
What is adaptation? The Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC) Third Assessment<br />
<strong>Report</strong>5 defines adaptation as having three possible objectives: <strong>to</strong> reduce exposure <strong>to</strong> the risk of<br />
damage; <strong>to</strong> develop the capacity <strong>to</strong> cope with unavoidable damages; and <strong>to</strong> take advantage of new<br />
opportunities. IPCC definitions of different kinds of adaptation are provided in Box 1A.<br />
Our report focuses on institutions and we take a broad view of the definition of an ‘institution’.<br />
An institution can be an organisation, for example a government department, a company, a local<br />
authority or a statu<strong>to</strong>ry agency; it can be the practical arrangements for implementing policies,<br />
such as local partnerships between agencies <strong>to</strong> manage flood risk; or it can be a legal, regula<strong>to</strong>ry or<br />
policy framework, such as the EU Habitats Directive which defines the objectives and measures<br />
required <strong>to</strong> achieve some aspects of nature conservation. For the purposes of this report, we will<br />
use the term ‘organisation’ <strong>to</strong> mean Government departments, authorities, companies and agencies,<br />
and ‘institutional arrangements’ <strong>to</strong> mean the legal, regula<strong>to</strong>ry and administrative frameworks<br />
within which policies and programmes are delivered.<br />
MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION<br />
1.11<br />
1.12<br />
1.13<br />
Mitigation and adaptation are not alternatives. The need for urgent and deep cuts in global<br />
greenhouse gas emissions cannot be overstated. But even if it were possible <strong>to</strong> secure significant,<br />
rapid reductions in future emissions, past and current greenhouse gas emissions mean that the<br />
climate will continue <strong>to</strong> change for several decades <strong>to</strong> come. Indeed, even if all anthropogenic<br />
greenhouse gas emissions ceased <strong>to</strong>day the science suggests the planet is already locked in<strong>to</strong> a<br />
temperature increase of more than 1.4°C. 6 One of the aims of the Copenhagen Accord is <strong>to</strong> limit<br />
global warming rises <strong>to</strong> 2°C. 7 Even if temperature increases can be limited <strong>to</strong> this amount, which<br />
is far from certain, the impacts for some societies and ecosystems will be significant. 8<br />
In other words, we face the challenge of having <strong>to</strong> adapt even if mitigation is successful. This<br />
may be an unpopular political message given the global imperative <strong>to</strong> reduce emissions. And if<br />
mitigation efforts are not successful or are <strong>to</strong>o feeble, societies face the risk of dangerous iii climate<br />
change9,10 which could have catastrophic consequences. Adaptation is therefore not only essential<br />
but an urgent imperative.<br />
Mitigation and adaptation are different. Whilst a big reduction in UK emissions is necessary, this<br />
country alone cannot solve the problem of climate change, since it is the global <strong>to</strong>tal of emissions<br />
which will determine the trajec<strong>to</strong>ry of the global climate: future UK weather, for instance, depends<br />
on the success of global efforts at mitigation. Conversely, adaptation is primarily local: the effects<br />
of weather are felt in particular places. Whilst we shall feel the effect of certain climate impacts<br />
elsewhere in the world, adaptation measures need <strong>to</strong> be adopted within domestic policies and<br />
programmes and will be specific <strong>to</strong> UK circumstances. And while for mitigation what needs<br />
<strong>to</strong> be achieved is reasonably clear (despite the technical and political challenges of doing it), for<br />
adaptation a myriad of different responses will be required according <strong>to</strong> circumstance. Hence, the<br />
UK has significant responsibilities for putting its own adaptation policies in place, and their success<br />
or failure is in the hands of national and local government, UK businesses, and communities –<br />
from major cities and conurbations <strong>to</strong> the smallest village.<br />
iii ‘Dangerous’ climate change is well defined in the literature, including by the IPCC. It is normally taken <strong>to</strong> include<br />
both the climate system passing one or more ‘tipping points’, leading <strong>to</strong> runaway climate change (the release of<br />
methane from permafrost, for example), and threats <strong>to</strong> society from the collapse of key components of the economy<br />
and social structures (a catastrophic decline in food production or a breakdown in healthcare provision, for example)<br />
because of the in<strong>to</strong>lerable strains of climate change.<br />
3<br />
Chapter 1