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Twenty-eighth Report Adapting Institutions to Climate Change Cm ...

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Efficiency<br />

4.36 Efficiency is about achieving the best relationship between inputs and outputs. Operationally,<br />

this often means using cost–benefit analysis (CBA), where the benefits and costs can each be<br />

quantified, <strong>to</strong> decide whether the benefits of a policy or programme are sufficient <strong>to</strong> justify its<br />

costs; alternatively, a cost-effectiveness analysis can be used, where the objective is given and the<br />

task is <strong>to</strong> minimise the cost of achieving it. Efficiency in adaptation practice can be difficult <strong>to</strong><br />

measure: while costs are usually relatively straightforward <strong>to</strong> determine, benefits can be harder <strong>to</strong><br />

quantify because of uncertainties about the nature and extent of future climate change.<br />

4.37<br />

4.38<br />

4.39<br />

4.40<br />

4.41<br />

As observed earlier, efficiency and equity objectives may be in tension, because the policies which<br />

minimise resource use may lead <strong>to</strong> unfairness, for example by concentrating the costs of policies<br />

on those least able <strong>to</strong> bear them. Advice <strong>to</strong> UK public authorities in assessing efficiency is that<br />

they should follow the Treasury’s Green Book, 19 involving an approach derived from orthodox<br />

economics and requiring, where feasible, the use of formal cost–benefit analysis, and this is now<br />

recommended by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) for appraisal<br />

decisions throughout Government.<br />

Cost–benefit analysis is most useful where problems lie in the ‘risk’ quadrant in Figure 4-I above.<br />

However, the problems surrounding adaptation <strong>to</strong> climate change lie firmly in the other quadrants,<br />

making application of CBA problematic. While costs of action are often well defined, benefits in<br />

the case of adaptation are often difficult <strong>to</strong> define with any precision and may lie in a distant future.<br />

It is still necessary <strong>to</strong> decide how best <strong>to</strong> use scarce resources, but it will sometimes be necessary<br />

<strong>to</strong> use CBA where an objective is defined, and then the cheapest alternative way of fulfilling it<br />

will be preferred.<br />

Even where benefits can be clearly defined, cost–benefit analysis has limitations. First, benefits<br />

are measured by observing or inferring people’s willingness <strong>to</strong> pay. There are two issues here:<br />

consumers and citizens do not have the necessary knowledge <strong>to</strong> make rational decisions about<br />

the benefits of, say, biodiversity in 50 years’ time; and, secondly, people’s willingness <strong>to</strong> pay is<br />

constrained by their ability <strong>to</strong> pay, i.e. by income inequalities. Government advice sometimes<br />

recommends that compensation for these inequalities should be brought in<strong>to</strong> CBA by a weighting<br />

scheme that gives higher relative values <strong>to</strong> the views of, and impacts on, the poor. While this<br />

is attractive, it also undermines one of the important theoretical claims of ‘pure’ CBA, which<br />

is that it provides a guide <strong>to</strong> an efficient decision under the given distribution of income, i.e. that<br />

the project with the highest value represents the socially most efficient (resource-minimising or<br />

benefit-maximising) outcome. Where income or other weightings are used <strong>to</strong> achieve social<br />

goals, CBA can no longer claim theoretical pre-eminence over other more pluralistic methods of<br />

appraisal, often encompassing multiple objectives and involving direct input from stakeholders<br />

and the public.<br />

In addition, CBA suppresses the visibility of the multiple objectives that policy often pursues<br />

by putting single monetary values on appraisal outcomes. For adaptation (as in other areas<br />

of policy, such as radioactive waste management), 20 equity objectives as well as economic<br />

objectives are significant and it is important <strong>to</strong> explore analytical techniques that explicitly<br />

incorporate multiple objectives.<br />

The second limitation of cost–benefit analysis concerns valuation over time, when, as in the case<br />

of adaptation, long-term outcomes are important. Conventionally, CBA uses a positive discount<br />

rate – in other words, costs and benefits are given progressively lower valuations the further in<strong>to</strong><br />

73<br />

Chapter 4

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