Twenty-eighth Report Adapting Institutions to Climate Change Cm ...
Twenty-eighth Report Adapting Institutions to Climate Change Cm ...
Twenty-eighth Report Adapting Institutions to Climate Change Cm ...
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Efficiency<br />
4.36 Efficiency is about achieving the best relationship between inputs and outputs. Operationally,<br />
this often means using cost–benefit analysis (CBA), where the benefits and costs can each be<br />
quantified, <strong>to</strong> decide whether the benefits of a policy or programme are sufficient <strong>to</strong> justify its<br />
costs; alternatively, a cost-effectiveness analysis can be used, where the objective is given and the<br />
task is <strong>to</strong> minimise the cost of achieving it. Efficiency in adaptation practice can be difficult <strong>to</strong><br />
measure: while costs are usually relatively straightforward <strong>to</strong> determine, benefits can be harder <strong>to</strong><br />
quantify because of uncertainties about the nature and extent of future climate change.<br />
4.37<br />
4.38<br />
4.39<br />
4.40<br />
4.41<br />
As observed earlier, efficiency and equity objectives may be in tension, because the policies which<br />
minimise resource use may lead <strong>to</strong> unfairness, for example by concentrating the costs of policies<br />
on those least able <strong>to</strong> bear them. Advice <strong>to</strong> UK public authorities in assessing efficiency is that<br />
they should follow the Treasury’s Green Book, 19 involving an approach derived from orthodox<br />
economics and requiring, where feasible, the use of formal cost–benefit analysis, and this is now<br />
recommended by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) for appraisal<br />
decisions throughout Government.<br />
Cost–benefit analysis is most useful where problems lie in the ‘risk’ quadrant in Figure 4-I above.<br />
However, the problems surrounding adaptation <strong>to</strong> climate change lie firmly in the other quadrants,<br />
making application of CBA problematic. While costs of action are often well defined, benefits in<br />
the case of adaptation are often difficult <strong>to</strong> define with any precision and may lie in a distant future.<br />
It is still necessary <strong>to</strong> decide how best <strong>to</strong> use scarce resources, but it will sometimes be necessary<br />
<strong>to</strong> use CBA where an objective is defined, and then the cheapest alternative way of fulfilling it<br />
will be preferred.<br />
Even where benefits can be clearly defined, cost–benefit analysis has limitations. First, benefits<br />
are measured by observing or inferring people’s willingness <strong>to</strong> pay. There are two issues here:<br />
consumers and citizens do not have the necessary knowledge <strong>to</strong> make rational decisions about<br />
the benefits of, say, biodiversity in 50 years’ time; and, secondly, people’s willingness <strong>to</strong> pay is<br />
constrained by their ability <strong>to</strong> pay, i.e. by income inequalities. Government advice sometimes<br />
recommends that compensation for these inequalities should be brought in<strong>to</strong> CBA by a weighting<br />
scheme that gives higher relative values <strong>to</strong> the views of, and impacts on, the poor. While this<br />
is attractive, it also undermines one of the important theoretical claims of ‘pure’ CBA, which<br />
is that it provides a guide <strong>to</strong> an efficient decision under the given distribution of income, i.e. that<br />
the project with the highest value represents the socially most efficient (resource-minimising or<br />
benefit-maximising) outcome. Where income or other weightings are used <strong>to</strong> achieve social<br />
goals, CBA can no longer claim theoretical pre-eminence over other more pluralistic methods of<br />
appraisal, often encompassing multiple objectives and involving direct input from stakeholders<br />
and the public.<br />
In addition, CBA suppresses the visibility of the multiple objectives that policy often pursues<br />
by putting single monetary values on appraisal outcomes. For adaptation (as in other areas<br />
of policy, such as radioactive waste management), 20 equity objectives as well as economic<br />
objectives are significant and it is important <strong>to</strong> explore analytical techniques that explicitly<br />
incorporate multiple objectives.<br />
The second limitation of cost–benefit analysis concerns valuation over time, when, as in the case<br />
of adaptation, long-term outcomes are important. Conventionally, CBA uses a positive discount<br />
rate – in other words, costs and benefits are given progressively lower valuations the further in<strong>to</strong><br />
73<br />
Chapter 4