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different picture. By 2035, Annex I countries emit, on average, 2.3 times more CO 2 than non-Annex I countries (Figure 1.27). Moreover, cumulative emissions from Annex I will continue to be far higher than from non-Annex I countries: by 2035, they will still represent 61% of cumulative CO 2 emissions since 1900 (Figure 1.28). Figure 1.28 Cumulative CO2 emissions from 1900, 1960–2035 Figure 1.28 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 billion tonnes 0 Annex I Non-Annex I 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 75 Chapter 1
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Section One
Page 4 and 5: Chapter 1 World oil trends: overvie
Page 6 and 7: Box 1.1 Regulatory reform in the en
Page 8 and 9: commodities, the OTC market also in
Page 10 and 11: IHS CERA upstream capital cost MOVE
Page 12 and 13: in the strength of the dollar: in N
Page 14 and 15: to this, there is the dominance of
Page 16 and 17: Although these reduced growth targe
Page 18 and 19: Global and regional population leve
Page 20 and 21: average of 67% of the population in
Page 22 and 23: Table 1.3 Population by urban/rural
Page 24 and 25: Figure 1.8 Real GDP by region in 20
Page 26 and 27: Policies The Reference Case retains
Page 28 and 29: electric vehicles, which focuses on
Page 30 and 31: Box 1.5 Shale gas: recent developme
Page 32 and 33: 40 years. While the early high perf
Page 34 and 35: Box 1.6 After Fukushima: unclear fo
Page 36 and 37: is Japan itself, which has been ask
Page 38 and 39: Figure 1.13 Fossil fuel use per cap
Page 40 and 41: Table 1.6 Medium-term Reference Cas
Page 42 and 43: Table 1.7 World oil demand outlook
Page 44 and 45: low, and well below levels seen in
Page 46 and 47: has also taken into account the pot
Page 48 and 49: stronger than previously expected s
Page 50 and 51: d 0 Conventional Figure 1.22 US & C
Page 52 and 53: Upstream investment Figure 1.25 mb/
Page 56 and 57: Chapter 2 Oil demand by sector This
Page 58 and 59: 20 10 Road transportation Road tran
Page 60 and 61: Table 2.1 (continued) Vehicle and p
Page 62 and 63: n (millions) 7,000 0 China Brazil R
Page 64 and 65: ut ownership in South Asia and Afri
Page 66 and 67: Table 2.4 Average growth in oil use
Page 68 and 69: Hydrogen fuel cells will require dr
Page 70 and 71: Table 2.5 Oil demand in road transp
Page 72 and 73: onboard equipment, and better navig
Page 74 and 75: Table 2.9 Growth in aviation oil de
Page 76 and 77: The Reference Case outlook for oil
Page 78 and 79: Figure 2.10 Oil use in the petroche
Page 80 and 81: Table 2.15 Growth in oil demand in
Page 82 and 83: 0 Figure 2.12 Figure 2.13 Oil and g
Page 84 and 85: to these factors, as well as the as
Page 86 and 87: Figure 2.17 The evolution of oil de
Page 88 and 89: 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 Fig
Page 90 and 91: etaining some oil-based power gener
Page 92 and 93: Chapter 3 Oil supply In the overvie
Page 94 and 95: Table 3.1 Medium-term non-OPEC crud
Page 96 and 97: are slated to add production capaci
Page 98 and 99: Table 3.2 Estimates of world crude
Page 100 and 101: this decade, before beginning a dec
Page 102 and 103: Table 3.5 Long-term non-OPEC non-co
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in initiating fracturing jobs are c
Page 106 and 107:
Table 3.7 Long-term non-OPEC biofue
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Chapter 4 Upstream challenges The a
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efficiency in the transportation se
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Figure 4.1 Figure 4.1 World oil dem
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eing raised for private borrowers.
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Table 4.3 World oil demand in the l
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2035 2050 Figure 4.3 OPEC crude oil
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considered through sinks, such as c
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high priority agenda for OPEC Membe
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0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 204
Page 126 and 127:
pollutant emissions of vehicles. It
Page 128:
The EU-OPEC Energy dialogue, which
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