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The Mobile Internet Report Key Themes*

The Mobile Internet Report Key Themes*

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iPhone Market Leadership Scenario Assumptions<br />

• iPhone ASP: Drops to $99, below current market average of ~$200<br />

• Carrier Subsidy: Apple forgoes carrier subsidies to force competition on<br />

service plan pricing and network investments<br />

• iPhone Bill-of-Materials: 33% annual decrease, similar to last two years<br />

• Market Share: Apple captures 1/3 of handset shipments in light of: 1) low<br />

handset price; 2) competition for subscribers (attractive pricing, better<br />

networks); 3) no limitations on carrier distribution / compatibility.<br />

• Accessory/Service/Content: <strong>Mobile</strong>Me and AppleCare attach rate of 2% and<br />

5% respectively, $123 / user / year of app/content downloads and 1<br />

accessory / user / year<br />

• Gross Margin: iPhone device gross margin of 24% (based on ASP and BOM<br />

assumptions above); add-on revenue gross margin of 69% given nature of<br />

services + high software content + low incremental costs<br />

172

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