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The Mobile Internet Report Key Themes*

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Services Drivers for the Carriers Are Evident –<br />

but Dilutive to Vendor Margins Early Days<br />

1) Technology migration (2G to 3G to 4G, all IP, etc.)<br />

2) Competence needs (network management skills, etc.)<br />

3) Consumer focus<br />

4) Financial pressures (FCF, dividend, etc.)<br />

Cost savings<br />

100<br />

Typical Opex Savings for Carriers<br />

10.0%<br />

Typical Margin Profile for Vendors<br />

80<br />

7.5%<br />

Operating Expenditures<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

Opex Savings = ~30% over 5 Years<br />

Profit Margin<br />

5.0%<br />

2.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6<br />

0<br />

Carrier<br />

OPEX<br />

Cost<br />

Reduction<br />

Year 1<br />

Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Final<br />

Opex<br />

Structure<br />

-2.5%<br />

-5.0%<br />

554<br />

Source: Patrick Standaert, Morgan Stanley Research estimates.

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