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The Mobile Internet Report Key Themes*

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USA Likely to Remain Most Dynamic 3G Market<br />

for Next 1-2 Years<br />

3G penetration is still relatively low - at 37% of total USA wireless subscribers in CQ2:09,<br />

up nicely from 21% in C2007, providing ample room for upside.<br />

USA is largest market (at 45% of units sold in CQ2:09) for hottest device in high-end<br />

wireless market - Apple's iPhone - and momentum should likely stay in place, in part, as<br />

Apple rolls out improved devices every 12 months or so.<br />

Carrier competition (AT&T with iPhone vs. Verizon with BlackBerries / Android phones and<br />

LTE upgrade vs. T-<strong>Mobile</strong> with Google Android vs. Sprint with Palm Pre...) creating a bevy<br />

of compelling consumer opportunities.<br />

Software / application innovation – Focused on bringing best of <strong>Internet</strong> (video / social<br />

networks / apps…) + more (location / push notification…) to mobile devices – occurring at<br />

feverish pace, likely ensuring consumers will increasingly find high-end 3G-enabled devices<br />

to be useful / fun / economical. Best of Silicon Valley is back to what to what they do well…<br />

USA shares essential market characteristics for 3G success with Japan – High postpaid<br />

subscriber ratio + low smartphone price through carrier subsidy + flat-rate data plans. USA<br />

surpassed Japan as world’s largest 3G nation in CQ1:09, and will likely support more than<br />

2x Japan’s 3G+ subscribers when USA 3G+ penetration reaches 71% in 2013E.<br />

W. Europe could lag USA in mobile development – Fragmented market + relatively low<br />

(~40%) post-paid ratio + smaller developer community likely to slow down mobile <strong>Internet</strong><br />

development in W. Europe vs. USA.<br />

83

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