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The Mobile Internet Report Key Themes*

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NCR Won Big in Mainframe Era,<br />

DEC Won Big in Minicomputer Era, IBM Crossed Chasm<br />

Market Value ($MM, in 1984 Dollars)<br />

$120,000<br />

$100,000<br />

$80,000<br />

$60,000<br />

$40,000<br />

$20,000<br />

$16,000<br />

$12,000<br />

$8,000<br />

Mainframe to Minicomputer Technology Cycle –<br />

Market Value of NCR / DEC / IBM, 1962-1995<br />

NCR<br />

IBM<br />

NCR Peak Mkt Value 1969<br />

(during Mainframe era) =<br />

$2B (1969 dollars)<br />

DEC<br />

IBM Peak Mkt Value in<br />

Each Era = $42B in 1969<br />

(1969 dollars) / $96B in<br />

1985 (1985 dollars)<br />

DEC Peak Mkt Value 1987<br />

(during Minicomputer era) =<br />

$21B (1987 dollars)<br />

$4,000<br />

$0<br />

1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995<br />

Note: Inflation adjustments made using CPI, normalized with 1984 dollars = 1.0. Market cap figures taken from last trading<br />

day of the given year. Source: FactSet, Bloomberg, S&P Stock Guide, Morgan Stanley Research.<br />

19

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