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The Mobile Internet Report Key Themes*

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<strong>The</strong> Google Phone –<br />

Potential to Disrupt Existing Smartphone Market<br />

On 12/14/09, Google indicated it would begin selling its own Android phone (possibly<br />

manufactured by HTC, according to media reports). We think Google has a good shot at<br />

share gains from other players (excluding Apple) in the smartphone market. Consider the<br />

factors in Google's favor: 1) in the USA, many AT&T iPhone customers have complained<br />

about AT&T's 3G network quality; 2) while the iPhone is an impressive product, it's<br />

relatively homogeneous; 3) while the email / Windows syncing on BlackBerries is worldclass,<br />

RIM's app selection + user experience is not; and 4) owing to the large mobile usage<br />

data set from early iPhone users, we have a good sense of what mobile consumers want.<br />

Now, if you are Google, what would you do Maybe something like what Dell Computer did<br />

in the 1980s / 1990s, when it broke the mold of the PC market: 1) sell devices directly; 2)<br />

build-to-order; 3) offer extreme customization - You want a blue phone, a red phone You<br />

want enterprise apps You want Wi-Fi only because you are always in a hot spot and you<br />

are on a low budget You want travel apps because you feel like you live on airplanes<br />

You want cellular coverage optimized for 200-mile radius around Peoria, Illinois You want<br />

whatever; and you offer these via a NikeID-type web site with 24x7 phone<br />

support...customize your phone (and your carrier) and 'Your Name Here" phone arrives at<br />

your door - and your software is stored in the cloud and is accessible by simply signing into<br />

your Google account.<br />

We don't know exactly what Google's up to, and it is facing very tough competition, but we<br />

do know that in epic battles like the one that's developing around the mobile <strong>Internet</strong>...with<br />

the best and brightest in the hunt...this is a war game and the smartest players are trying to<br />

find the holes and stay / get ahead on the field.<br />

Source: Engadget, TechCrunch. 190

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