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The Mobile Internet Report Key Themes*

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Apple –<br />

Potential Long-Term Challenges<br />

1. Google Android’s open + low cost features + motivated partners may<br />

drive Android’s unit market share upside over long-term<br />

2. <strong>Mobile</strong> web could replace operating systems as standard development<br />

platform, eroding Apple’s early lead with its native app ecosystem<br />

3. Incumbents (like Nokia) could have Apple-like potential (if they execute)<br />

in emerging markets where 3G penetration likely to remain low for next<br />

few years<br />

4. Exclusive carrier deals could limit Apple’s market share upside – AT&T<br />

(~45% of iPhone subscribers) strained by demand / change<br />

5. Insufficient battery capacity could continue to prevent effective multitasking<br />

(running simultaneous applications)<br />

177

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