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Management of Technology and Innovation in Japan

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Reduc<strong>in</strong>g Project Related Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>in</strong> the “Fuzzy Front End” <strong>of</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong> 341<br />

Concern<strong>in</strong>g the methodological support <strong>of</strong> idea assessment, <strong>in</strong> about half <strong>of</strong> the<br />

German as well as the <strong>Japan</strong>ese projects, selection criteria used were weighted<br />

(see Figure 7). An analysis <strong>of</strong> cost effectiveness seems st<strong>and</strong>ard for <strong>Japan</strong>ese projects<br />

regardless <strong>of</strong> company size. In Germany, only one medium sized <strong>and</strong> two<br />

larger companies carried out an analysis <strong>of</strong> cost effectiveness. A comparative<br />

study <strong>in</strong> the chemical <strong>in</strong>dustry showed different results. Whilst the weight<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong><br />

criteria was more common <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> than <strong>in</strong> Germany, no significant differences<br />

were found with regard to cost effectiveness analysis (Park 1996, pp. 140–142).<br />

Nevertheless, a stronger methodological support <strong>of</strong> idea assessment <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> is a<br />

similarity that was also found <strong>in</strong> other studies from different <strong>in</strong>dustry sectors.<br />

yes<br />

no<br />

Criteria were<br />

weighted.<br />

4<br />

5<br />

4 4<br />

3<br />

Germany <strong>Japan</strong> Germany<br />

1<br />

<strong>Japan</strong><br />

Fig. 7. Methodological support <strong>of</strong> idea assessment<br />

A cost effectiveness<br />

analysis was made.<br />

To summarize, whereas <strong>in</strong> the German projects, ideas were <strong>of</strong>ten assessed dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

meet<strong>in</strong>gs with participants represent<strong>in</strong>g various functions, <strong>in</strong> the case <strong>of</strong> the<br />

<strong>Japan</strong>ese projects, meet<strong>in</strong>gs were held with participants from one function only. In<br />

both countries, idea assessment relied on technical <strong>and</strong> economic criteria which<br />

were weighted <strong>in</strong> about half <strong>of</strong> the cases. Whilst a cost effectiveness analysis<br />

seems st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong>, only a few larger enterprises <strong>in</strong> Germany elaborately calculated<br />

costs. Aga<strong>in</strong>, as for idea generation, <strong>in</strong> the <strong>Japan</strong>ese projects the use <strong>of</strong><br />

methods was emphasized whereas <strong>in</strong> the German projects <strong>in</strong>terdiscipl<strong>in</strong>ary teams<br />

were used to reduce uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties dur<strong>in</strong>g decision mak<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Reduction <strong>of</strong> Market Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty Prior to Development<br />

After select<strong>in</strong>g an idea to be worked out <strong>in</strong> more detail, market uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty has to<br />

be reduced further, which should lead to a more <strong>in</strong>-depth underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the<br />

market. The target market has to be def<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>and</strong> customer requirements <strong>in</strong>tegrated<br />

<strong>in</strong>to the product concept, prior to development (Balbont<strong>in</strong> et al. 1999, p. 274;<br />

Cooper <strong>and</strong> Kle<strong>in</strong>schmidt 1990, p. 26, 1994, p. 26, Khurana <strong>and</strong> Rosenthal 1997,<br />

p. 113; Maidique <strong>and</strong> Zirger 1984, p. 198; Song <strong>and</strong> Parry 1996, p. 427). For new<br />

markets, it is more difficult to reduce market uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty as potential customers<br />

5<br />

8

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