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Middle East / North Africa and the Millennium Development Goals ...

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104<br />

Markus Loewe<br />

– Are <strong>the</strong> goals reflected in national development plans <strong>and</strong> have <strong>the</strong>y<br />

had any influence on <strong>the</strong> actual orientation of policy?<br />

There is some evidence indicating that most rulers in <strong>the</strong> MENA region<br />

are not especially committed to implementing <strong>the</strong> MDGs.<br />

It is, however, not possible to answer <strong>the</strong>se questions with any degree of<br />

certainty for lack of sound evidence. Official documents <strong>and</strong> communiqués<br />

are not particularly reliable in that <strong>the</strong>y do not necessarily reflect<br />

<strong>the</strong> actual opinions <strong>and</strong> intentions of those responsible for <strong>the</strong>m. They may<br />

be bound up with strategic goals. They are often addressed to specific circles<br />

– e.g. populations or constituencies, certain interest groups within a<br />

given country – or to <strong>the</strong> international community. In <strong>the</strong>se cases <strong>the</strong>y<br />

serve to boost <strong>the</strong> internal or external legitimacy of individual governments,<br />

i.e. <strong>the</strong>ir intention is to cast government policy in a favorable light<br />

among <strong>the</strong> populace or to curry favor among external donors (or both at<br />

<strong>the</strong> same time).<br />

Even proven facts are not necessarily hard evidence. One indication that<br />

<strong>the</strong> MDGs have met with acceptance might e.g. be that a demonstrable<br />

change of political course has taken place in favor of social <strong>and</strong> ecologically<br />

compatible development or that trends for certain MDG indicators<br />

have accelerated significantly since <strong>the</strong> <strong>Millennium</strong> Declaration. In itself,<br />

however, this is not solid evidence for any acceptance of <strong>the</strong> MDGs or<br />

commitment on <strong>the</strong> part of political decision-makers to implementing<br />

<strong>the</strong>m. Nei<strong>the</strong>r changes of political course nor social or environmental progress<br />

need necessarily be due to <strong>the</strong> <strong>Millennium</strong> Declaration. Such progress<br />

might have come about even in <strong>the</strong> absence of <strong>the</strong> declaration – <strong>and</strong><br />

been triggered by quite different factors. A country may e.g. have reached<br />

a certain phase of development at which its social <strong>and</strong> economic indicators<br />

improve for reasons that have little to do with politics, or it may be reaping<br />

a harvest sown in earlier decades.<br />

4.1 Level of awareness <strong>and</strong> acceptance of <strong>the</strong> MDG<br />

agenda<br />

Formally, all countries of <strong>the</strong> MENA region have accepted <strong>the</strong> MDGs. Indeed,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y <strong>the</strong>mselves have set <strong>the</strong> goals, toge<strong>the</strong>r with all o<strong>the</strong>r UN member<br />

states, at <strong>the</strong> <strong>Millennium</strong> Summit in New York.<br />

German <strong>Development</strong> Institute

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