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Middle East / North Africa and the Millennium Development Goals ...

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Markus Loewe<br />

Never<strong>the</strong>less, what follows will attempt to check <strong>the</strong> priorities set by German<br />

DC in <strong>the</strong> MENA region against <strong>the</strong> present state of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Millennium</strong><br />

process in <strong>the</strong> individual partner countries, <strong>the</strong> aim being to go on from<br />

here to formulate propositions on a different future orientation of German<br />

DC towards sectors as viewed from <strong>the</strong> perspective of <strong>the</strong> MDG agenda.<br />

The following assumptions were made for this purpose:<br />

– The MDG agenda is a consistent system of goals that are closely interrelated<br />

(Satterthwaite 2004). This means that measures conceived<br />

to help implement one MDG usually have positive impacts on several<br />

of <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r MDGs as well. It is <strong>the</strong>refore important to distinguish between<br />

direct <strong>and</strong> indirect effects. What follows will start out by focusing<br />

on <strong>the</strong> direct effects of DC. Indirect effects of DC are not unmistakably<br />

indicated by its sectoral orientation. Only a detailed portfolio<br />

analysis of individual priority areas could provide <strong>the</strong> necessary information<br />

for that.<br />

– As a rule, DC in <strong>the</strong> health sector entails direct effects on MDGs 4, 5,<br />

<strong>and</strong> 6 – although <strong>the</strong>se impacts may differ substantially in <strong>the</strong>ir significance.<br />

Indirect effects are possible mainly for MDG1, MDG2, <strong>and</strong><br />

MDG3.<br />

– Much <strong>the</strong> same can be said for DC in <strong>the</strong> education sector, which<br />

contributes principally to implementing MDG2 <strong>and</strong> MDG3, although<br />

it may also have indirect effects on all o<strong>the</strong>r MDGs.<br />

– DC in <strong>the</strong> environmental sector is of course keyed to MDG7 / Target<br />

9. Whe<strong>the</strong>r this also entails positive impacts on o<strong>the</strong>r goals is a<br />

question that can be answered only for concrete cases. The most likely<br />

assumption would be more or less long-term effects on MDG1.<br />

– It is less clear which goals are fur<strong>the</strong>red by DC in <strong>the</strong> water sector. It<br />

has already been pointed out in Chapter 3 that in <strong>the</strong> water-poor<br />

MENA countries a conflict may arise between <strong>the</strong> goal of providing<br />

accesses to drinking water for as much of <strong>the</strong> population as possible<br />

(Target 10) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> goal of making sustainable use of available water<br />

resources (Target 9). As it has itself stated, German DC remains<br />

committed to <strong>the</strong> goal of sustainability in <strong>the</strong> water sector (Arce<br />

2004). It is <strong>the</strong>refore assumed below that German DC in this sector<br />

too provides a direct contribution not only to Target 10 but also to<br />

Target 9 (however great this contribution may in fact be). Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<br />

<strong>the</strong>re is good reason to expect significant indirect impacts on<br />

MDG4 <strong>and</strong> MDG5, since improved access to drinking water as a rule<br />

translates out into improved health <strong>and</strong>, above all, lower child mortal-<br />

128 German <strong>Development</strong> Institute

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