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Middle East / North Africa and the Millennium Development Goals ...

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<strong>Middle</strong> <strong>East</strong> / <strong>North</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Millennium</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>Goals</strong><br />

ity rates. Whe<strong>the</strong>r DC in <strong>the</strong> water sector also contributes to o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

MDGs depends on <strong>the</strong> concrete shape given to <strong>the</strong> measures it uses.<br />

There is, though, evidence that in most cases positive indirect effects<br />

are achieved over <strong>the</strong> short or long run for nearly all of <strong>the</strong> MDGs<br />

(Bliss 2004; Neubert / Horlemann 2005).<br />

– It is more difficult to state with any degree of certainty which MDGs<br />

may be positively affected by DC measures in <strong>the</strong> WiRAM priority<br />

sector. A good number of very different measures are subsumed under<br />

WiRAM, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>y may be targeted directly on poverty reduction,<br />

restructuring <strong>and</strong> improvement of <strong>the</strong> functioning of markets, enhancement<br />

of competition in markets, or privatization of publicly<br />

owned enterprises. In o<strong>the</strong>r words, <strong>the</strong> indirect purpose of <strong>the</strong>se<br />

measures is to boost growth <strong>and</strong> to reduce poverty. Success here will<br />

depend above all on whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> measures taken (i) are appropriate to<br />

<strong>the</strong> situation in <strong>the</strong> partner country in question, (i) are keyed to actual<br />

problems, <strong>and</strong> (iii) are implemented consistently. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong><br />

following reflections are based on <strong>the</strong> assumption that in its WiRAM<br />

priority sector German DC may, at least in general terms, provide a<br />

direct or indirect contribution to reducing income poverty (Target 1).<br />

If this in fact succeeds, <strong>the</strong>re is good reason to anticipate positive effects<br />

on <strong>the</strong> proportion of <strong>the</strong> population suffering from hunger. In<br />

addition, <strong>the</strong> concrete measures taken by German DC in <strong>the</strong> priority<br />

sector of WiRAM also aim, in all MENA countries, at reducing unemployment<br />

<strong>and</strong> improving <strong>the</strong> market-regulation picture.<br />

Overview 7 is based on <strong>the</strong>se assumptions. It compares <strong>the</strong> priorities of<br />

German DC in <strong>the</strong> MENA region with <strong>the</strong> state of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Millennium</strong> process<br />

in <strong>the</strong> individual partner countries.<br />

The overview first looks at <strong>the</strong> economic problem solving-capacity of<br />

<strong>the</strong>se countries, distinguishing between low-income countries (Yemen,<br />

Mauritania) <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries (Egypt, Algeria, Jordan, Lebanon,<br />

Morocco, <strong>the</strong> Palestinian Territories, Syria, Tunisia). In addition, it<br />

lists separately <strong>the</strong> potential priority partner countries <strong>and</strong> partner countries<br />

of German DC in <strong>the</strong> MENA region (Iraq, Iran, Sudan). It omits <strong>the</strong><br />

countries which, thanks to <strong>the</strong>ir high per capital incomes, are in possession<br />

of very pronounced capacities to solve <strong>the</strong>ir problems of <strong>the</strong>ir own <strong>and</strong> are<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore not seen as potential partner countries for German DC.<br />

German <strong>Development</strong> Institute 129

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