eSafety Compendium

Table 5. Estimates of new car market penetration of priority vehicle-based systems in the “business as usual” and“implementation support” scenarios.Business as usual% new cars equipped2005 2010 2020ESP medium high highBlind spot monitoring very low low highAdaptive head lights very low medium highObstacle & collision warning very low low mediumLane departure warning very low low mediumImplementation support% new cars equipped2005 2010 2020ESP medium high very highBlind spot monitoring very low medium highAdaptive head lights very low medium highObstacle & coll.warning very low medium highLane departure warning very low medium highThe market penetration varies a lot between different car segments, being highest in the top-endmodels and lowest for smallest cars, for which the price of any system forms a much largerproportion of the car price than for larger cars. The market penetration also varies betweencountriesThe estimates of the level of market penetration for priority infrastructure-related systems aregiven in Table 5 for cars and in Table 6 for the road network. It should be noted that the onlyreason for giving the estimates for the TERN is that currently European data on current andplanned deployment only exists for the TERN. It is likely that the estimates correspond well tothe situation on other major roads as well. More detailed information on the level of systemdeployment on the TERN is given in Annex 2.Concerning the network equipped (Table 7), it should be noted that the most problematic andimportant parts are equipped first.Table 6. Estimates of new car market penetration of priority infrastructure-related systems in the “business asusual” and “implementation support” scenarios.Business as usual% new cars equipped2005 2010 2020eCall* very low very low mediumExtended environmental info* very low low mediumRTTI* Low medium highDynamic traffic mgmt (VMS) not applicable not applicable not applicableLocal danger warning not applicable not applicable not applicableSpeed Alert very low low mediumPage 347 of 490