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the Symposium on Wheats for More Tropical Environments - cimmyt

the Symposium on Wheats for More Tropical Environments - cimmyt

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179How <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pathogen oversummers andoverwinters after <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> wheat harvest andhow <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> peri<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>cia reproduce areimportant factors <strong>for</strong> <strong>for</strong>ecasting scabepidemics. Xu Run-cheng and HuangZhen-xing (21) suggested that G. zeaecan <strong>on</strong>ly survive <strong>for</strong> a short time underflooding; <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re<strong>for</strong>e. <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> organism cannotoversummer <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> soil surface inpaddies after rice has been harvested.although it can survive <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> plantbase. leaf sheaths and rice grains and<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>n be transferred to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> soil (5). LiangXun-yi and Wang Qing-sheng (pers<strong>on</strong>alcommunicati<strong>on</strong>) have c<strong>on</strong>firmed that<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pathogen can oversummer <strong>on</strong> rice.<strong>on</strong> dry soil surfaces. <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> shady sideof piles of wheat straw and <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>remains of wheat stems and grainsscattered over <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> threshing ground. aswell as <strong>on</strong> rice straw and wi<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>red rapestems in fields.Research of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Hunan AgriculturalCollege suggests that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pathogenaffects not <strong>on</strong>ly wheat and barley. butalso such crops as corn. sorghum andcott<strong>on</strong>. It may also infect weeds, suchas Cynod<strong>on</strong> dactyl<strong>on</strong> (L.) and Pers. andproduces peri<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>cia <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> debris.The Shanghai Academy of AgriculturalSciences (1975 to 1977) and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>Suzhou Institute of AgriculturalSciences (1977 and 1980) made a seriesof observati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> disseminati<strong>on</strong> ofmature ascospores. The resultsindicated that aerial ascospores couldbe trapped throughout <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> year. Thisindicates that infected rice stubble.grains and wheat debris remaining infields and aerial ascospores which havefallen <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> soil are all sources ofinoculum. causing peri<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>cia <strong>for</strong>mati<strong>on</strong><strong>on</strong> rice stubble early in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> spring. Thepathogen overwinters as mycelia <strong>on</strong>rice stubble.Ye Hua-zhi (24) studied <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> biology ofG. zeae and showed that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>temperature <strong>for</strong> peri<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>cial <strong>for</strong>mati<strong>on</strong>ranged from 5 to 35°C and. <strong>for</strong>ascospore producti<strong>on</strong>. 13 to 33°C. withan optimum of 25 to 28°C. Thedischarge of ascospores is c<strong>on</strong>trolled bymoisture and precipitati<strong>on</strong>. Thenumber of ascospores released isgreater at night (8 p.m. to 8 a.m.) thanby day (8 a.m. to 8 p.m.), and is greater<strong>on</strong> rainy days. The peak <strong>for</strong> sporedischarge is from 10 p.m. to 8 a.m.and. more specifically. from midnight to6 a.m. Germinati<strong>on</strong> of ascosporesoccurs at 4 to 35°C. with an optimumof 25 to 28°C. Germinati<strong>on</strong> percentagemay reach more than 90% within 4 to8 hours at a temperature of 25 to 30°C.The ascospore can germinate withoutfree water. but germinati<strong>on</strong> is markedlyinhibited when relative humidity is low;it doesn't occur below 81%.ForecastingVarious ma<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>matical models havebeen established in China <strong>for</strong><strong>for</strong>ecasting scab epidemics overdifferent'areas. The best is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong>eproposed by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> workers in HubeiProvince (6). Mter haVing qualitativelyanalyzed <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> key factors causingepidemics. and haVing quantitativelydefined <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship between <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>degree of epidemic and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> keymeteorological factors in GuangjiCounty over a period of 21 years. <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>cooperative group suggested thatepidemics depend <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> interacti<strong>on</strong> of<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pathogen and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> host with fourmeteorological factors. rainfall (R), daysof rain (Rd). relative humidity (Rh). andsunlight hours (S). The statistical model<strong>for</strong> calculating <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> incidence of diseasewas established as:Y:;:[sin (47.72 IgQ-33.64»). whereQ :;: RRdRhISThis indicates that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> outbreak ofepidemics varies according to climaticand atmospheric c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s, but <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>semeteorological factors can be utilized to<strong>for</strong>ecast epidemics <strong>for</strong> a province or <strong>for</strong>a certain area.From 1975 to 1981, short-term<strong>for</strong>ecasting of scab epidemics was d<strong>on</strong>eby <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Shanghai Academy of

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