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World’s Soil Resources

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The land sparing, land sharing approach can also been framed in terms of resilience (sharing) and efficiency<br />

(sparing). Efficient systems by their very nature will prioritise the performance of one function over that of<br />

others. The degree to which others are affected will depend on whether they perform well under similar<br />

management or not. Currently, the data in 3 indicate that the choice lies between efficiency and redundancy.<br />

We can have an efficient carbon storage system, e.g. peat development, which may also perform well as a<br />

climate thermal buffer because the conditions for peat accumulation require lots of water, but it will not be<br />

productive for crops in that state, nor will the arable system have high biodiversity as this is inefficient.<br />

Choices need to be made as to what types of systems we wish to promote. In light of this, the focus of this<br />

chapter is to assess the global scientific literature and understand how soil change discussed in Chapters 5<br />

and 6 is likely to impact soil functions and the likely consequences for ecosystem service delivery. Each section<br />

of this chapter outlines key soil processes involved with the delivery of goods and services and how these are<br />

changing or - where evidence permits - may change. Each section then reviews how this change impacts soil<br />

function and affects ecosystem service delivery. Some soil change does not produce an ecosystem service, but<br />

does impact it; these impacts are considered when assessed as important and adverse. The focus is on the<br />

local, regional and global scales and follows the general reporting categories of the MA (2005) modified by<br />

TEEB (2014) to provisioning, regulating and cultural services. Towards the end of the section there is a focus on<br />

the links with policy, institutions and management.<br />

7.2 | <strong>Soil</strong> change and food security<br />

Keating et al. (2014) provide a useful frame for examining the main roles of soils in food supply through their<br />

development of the food wedge concept. The food wedge is the triangular area between the level of food<br />

demand in 2010 and the upper bound of food demand in 2050 (suggested by Keating and Carberry (2010) as a<br />

wedge equal to approximately 127 x 1015 kcal). The food wedge presented by Keating et al. (2014) assumes that<br />

food supply and demand were broadly in balance in 2010. Increases in food supply (through, for example, the<br />

strategies suggested by Foley et al., 2011) would increase the supply to meet the rising demand for food.<br />

Either the incremental loss of productivity from current agricultural land or the total loss of agricultural<br />

land due to degradation in the future would cause the lower boundary of the wedge to decrease and hence<br />

increase the gap between food supply and demand (Figure 7.4). This decrease (or total loss) could occur if the<br />

services for plant production supplied by the soil decreased due to a significant impairment of one or more<br />

of the soil functions. Alternatively the restoration of productivity to previously degraded land would increase<br />

plant production in addition to addressing the yield gap or increases in food delivery. Therefore a key soilfocused<br />

strategy is to reduce future productivity loss from agricultural soils due to degradation to a minimum<br />

and to restore productivity to soils that have previously experienced productivity losses.<br />

Status of the <strong>World’s</strong> <strong>Soil</strong> <strong>Resources</strong> | Main Report The impact of soil change on ecosystem services<br />

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