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Pr(WTP > premium)<br />

CHAPTER 1. BANKRUPTCY 50<br />

Figure 1.10: Micro-Simulation Estimates of Percent Covered Without <strong>and</strong> With<br />

Bankruptcy Insurance by Deductible<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Pr(WTP without > premium)<br />

Pr(WTP with > premium)<br />

$- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000<br />

Deductible<br />

Notes: Micro-simulation estimates of the probability the will<strong>in</strong>gness to pay (WTP)<br />

exceeds the premium without <strong>and</strong> with bankruptcy by deductible level. Will<strong>in</strong>gness to pay<br />

is calculated us<strong>in</strong>g CARA utility with parameter of 2.5 × 10 −5 . Premiums calculated as<br />

the expected value of medical costs above the deductible scaled up to account for moral<br />

hazard (elasticity of -0.22) <strong>and</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istrative load<strong>in</strong>g (50 percent). Household-level<br />

estimates weighted by number of <strong>in</strong>dividuals per household for <strong>in</strong>terpretation at the<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual level.

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