14.01.2013 Views

essays in public finance and industrial organization a dissertation ...

essays in public finance and industrial organization a dissertation ...

essays in public finance and industrial organization a dissertation ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

CHAPTER 2. HEALTH PLAN CHOICE 74<br />

<strong>in</strong>surers to participate, the <strong>in</strong>termediary had to conv<strong>in</strong>ce them they would be ade-<br />

quately compensated for any unfavorable selection they might experience. Because<br />

the risk score is crucial <strong>in</strong> this regard, the <strong>in</strong>termediary worked with the <strong>in</strong>surers to<br />

ensure that the risk scores reflected the underly<strong>in</strong>g health status of enrollees rather<br />

than the methods used by the plans to manage utilization. For <strong>in</strong>stance, one concern<br />

was that the <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>surer might substitute low-priced drugs more aggressively,<br />

lead<strong>in</strong>g the algorithm to under-estimate the severity of chronic illness for its enrollees.<br />

Discussions between the <strong>in</strong>termediary <strong>and</strong> the plans along these l<strong>in</strong>es led to a num-<br />

ber of m<strong>in</strong>or adjustments <strong>in</strong> the risk scor<strong>in</strong>g algorithm. Our discussions with the<br />

participants suggest that both the <strong>in</strong>termediary <strong>and</strong> the <strong>in</strong>surers had strong <strong>in</strong>cen-<br />

tives to ensure that health status was measured accurately, <strong>and</strong> that it is reasonable<br />

to assume that the risk score accurately captures employee health status <strong>and</strong> is not<br />

contam<strong>in</strong>ated by differences <strong>in</strong> the plans.<br />

In addition to prescription drug utilization, each <strong>in</strong>surer also provides the <strong>in</strong>ter-<br />

mediary with the realized costs for each employer group. The network <strong>in</strong>surer reports<br />

average claims per member per month for enrollees covered by either of the <strong>in</strong>surer’s<br />

products. The <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>surer reports similar <strong>in</strong>formation developed from an <strong>in</strong>-<br />

ternal cost account<strong>in</strong>g system. Neither <strong>in</strong>surer dist<strong>in</strong>guishes between its plans when<br />

report<strong>in</strong>g this <strong>in</strong>formation.<br />

2.3.2 Data <strong>and</strong> Descriptive Statistics<br />

Our data <strong>in</strong>cludes all of the <strong>in</strong>formation discussed above: the plan offer<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>and</strong><br />

contribution policies of each employer, the risk scores <strong>and</strong> plan choices of employees<br />

<strong>and</strong> their dependents, <strong>and</strong> the bids <strong>and</strong> reported costs of each <strong>in</strong>surer. A primary<br />

strength of the data is that it <strong>in</strong>cludes both dem<strong>and</strong>-side <strong>in</strong>formation on employees<br />

<strong>and</strong> their choice behavior <strong>and</strong> supply-side <strong>in</strong>formation on <strong>in</strong>surer costs <strong>and</strong> bids <strong>in</strong> a<br />

sett<strong>in</strong>g with two very different types of <strong>in</strong>surers. In addition, many of the employers<br />

we observe offer nearly identical plans but have different risk profiles <strong>and</strong> contribution<br />

policies which provides useful variation to identify dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> costs.<br />

mean prediction from the orig<strong>in</strong>al estimation sample. See ? for more detail.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!