Fourth Study Conference on BALTEX Scala Cinema Gudhjem

More documents

Recommendations

Info

- VI - Storminess on the Western Coast of Estonia in Relation to Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation Jaak Jaagus, P. Post, O. Tomingas ............................................................................................................127 Trends in Wind Speed over the Gulf of Finland 1961-2000 Sirje Keevallik, T. Soomere ......................................................................................................................129 Wind Energy Prognoses for the Baltic Region Sara C. Pryor, R. J. Barthelmie, J. T. Schoof ............................................................................................131 Detection of Climate Change in the Baltic Sea Area Using Matching Pursuit Christin Pettersen, A. Omstedt, H. O. Mofjeld, J. E. Overland, D. B. Percival ........................................133 What Causes Stagnation of the Baltic Sea Deepwater? Markus H. E. Meier, F. Kauker.................................................................................................................134 Calculation of Extreme Water Levels in the Eastern Gulf of Finland Konstantin Klevanny.................................................................................................................................136 Investigations of Variations in Water Level Times-Series at the German Baltic Sea Coastline Jürgen Jensen, C. Mudersbach ..................................................................................................................138 Long-term Trends in the Surface Salinity and Temperature in the Baltic Sea Anniina Kiiltomäki, T. Stipa, M. Raateoja, P. Maunula ...........................................................................140 Calculation of the Annual Discharge of the Neman River in Byelorussia A. A. Volchak............................................................................................................................................141 An Overview of Long-term Time Series of Temperature, Salinity and Oxygen in the Baltic Sea. Karin Wesslander, P. Axe, M. Green, A. Omstedt, A. Svansson..............................................................143 Baltic Sea Saltwater Inflow 2003 – Simulated with the Coupled Regional Climate Model System BALTIMOS Daniela Jacob, P. Lorenz, A. Lehmann (invited) ......................................................................................145 Comparison of Simulations with the Atmosphere-Only Regional Climate Model REMO against Simulations with the Fully Coupled Regional Climate Model System BALTIMOS Philip Lorenz, D. Jacob .............................................................................................................................146 Significance of Feedback in Land-Use Change Studies Jesper Overgaard, M. B. Butts, D. Rosbjerg .............................................................................................147 Recent Development of a Regional Air/Land Surface/Sea/Ice Coupling Modeling System, “the RCAO Experience” Markku Rummukainen (invited) ...............................................................................................................148 Comparison of Observed and Modelled Sea-level Heights in order to Validate and Improve the Oceanographic Model Kristin Novotny, G. Liebsch, R. Dietrich, A. Lehmann............................................................................150 Air-sea Fluxes Including Molecular and Turbulent Transports in Both Spheres Christoph Zülicke......................................................................................................................................151
- VII - The Realism of the ECHAM5.2 Models to Simulate the Hydrological Cycle in the Arctic and Baltic Area Klaus Arpe, S. Hagemann, D. Jacob, E. Roeckner ...................................................................................153 Analysis of the Water Cycle for the BALTEX Basin with an Integrated Atmospheric Hydrological Ocean Model Karl-Gerd Richter, P. Lorenz, M. Ebel, D. Jacob .....................................................................................154 Classification of Precipitation Type and its Diurnal Cycle in REMO Simulation and in Observations Andi Walther, R. Bennartz, D. Jacob, J. Fischer.......................................................................................156 Use of Hydrological Data and Climate Scenarios for Climate Change Detection in the Baltic Basin Sten Bergström, J. Andréasson, L. P. Graham, G. Lindström (invited) ....................................................158 Prediction of Regional Scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining European Climate Change Risks and Effects PRUDENCE – An Extract with a Northern European Focus Jens Hesselberg Christensen (invited).......................................................................................................160 Simulated Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice in Different Climates of the Baltic Ralf Döscher, M. H. E. Meier ...................................................................................................................162 Using Multiple RCM Simulations to Investigate Climate Change Effects on River Flow to the Baltic Sea L. Phil Graham ..........................................................................................................................................164 Predicted Changes of Discharge into the Baltic Sea under Climate Change Conditions Simulated by a Multi-model Ensemble Stefan Hagemann, D. Jacob ......................................................................................................................166 Present-Day and Future Precipitation in the Baltic Region as Simulated in Regional Climate Models Erik Kjellström..........................................................................................................................................167 Extreme Precipitation on a Sub-daily Scale Simulated with an RCM: Present Day and Future Climate Ole Bøssing Christensen, A. Guldberg, A. T. Jørgensen, R. M. Hohansen, M. Grum, J. Linde, J. H. Christensen ................................................................................................................................................169 Modelling Sea Level Variability in Different Climates of the Baltic Sea Markus H. E. Meier, B. Broman, E. Kjellström........................................................................................170 Impact of Climate Change Effects on Sea-Level Rise in Combination with an Altered River Flow in the Lake Mälar Region Gunn Persson, L. P. Graham, J. Andréasson, M. H. E. Meier ..................................................................172 Expected Changes in Water Resources Availability and Water Quality with Respect to Climate Change in the Elbe River Basin Valentina Krysanova, F. Hattermann (invited)..........................................................................................174 Assessment of Ecological Situation in Small Streams and Lakes in the Neva Basin under Anthropogenic Impact of St.Petersburg Valery Vuglinsky, T. Gronskaya...............................................................................................................176
Page 1 and 2: Fourth Stu
Page 3: Preface The 4 th Study</str
Page 7 and 8: - I - Table of Abstracts Title Auth
Page 9 and 10: - III - Sensitivity in Calculation
Page 11: - V - Parameter Estimation of the S
Page 15 and 16: Adam, W. K. .......................
Page 17 and 18: - 1 - Activities of the GEWEX Hydro
Page 19 and 20: eference site archive (Cabauw, Neth
Page 21 and 22: - 5 - Remote Sensing of Atmospheric
Page 23 and 24: minute averages around the satellit
Page 25 and 26: - 9 - Precipitation Type Statistics
Page 27 and 28: - 11 - Assimilation of New Land Sur
Page 29 and 30: Multichannel Microwave Radiometer f
Page 31 and 32: output has been processed in an equ
Page 33 and 34: height dependence of the Z-R-relati
Page 35 and 36: - 19 - CERES and Surface Radiation
Page 37 and 38: - 21 - Coastal Wind Mapping from Sa
Page 39 and 40: - 23 - Clouds and Water Vapor over
Page 41 and 42: - 25 - Broadband Cloud Albedo from
Page 43 and 44: - 27 - Observation of Clouds and Wa
Page 45 and 46: shows a ground-track of the vessel
Page 47 and 48: - 31 - Determination and Comparison
Page 49 and 50: - 33 - Spatial Variability of Snow
Page 51 and 52: - 35 - EVA-GRIPS: Regional Evaporat
Page 53 and 54: - 37 - LITFASS-2003 - A Land Surfac
Page 55 and 56: -39- Calibrated Surface Temperature
Page 57 and 58: - 41 - The Marine Boundary Layer -
Page 59 and 60: - 43 - Characteristics of the Atmos
Page 61 and 62: Figure 2. Surface stress from two d
Page 63 and 64:
During the experiment the water was
Page 65 and 66:
While the number of smallest drops
Page 67 and 68:
SCANDIA will not be supported any l
Page 69 and 70:
- 53 - Relationships Between Precip
Page 71 and 72:
- 55 - Analysis of the Role of Atmo
Page 73 and 74:
- 57 - Meteorological Peculiarities
Page 75 and 76:
Baltic Sea Inflow Events Jan Piechu
Page 77 and 78:
- 61 - The Different Baltic Inflows
Page 79 and 80:
- 63 - Observations of Turbulent Ki
Page 81 and 82:
- 65 - The Influence of Synoptic Si
Page 83 and 84:
-67- Improved Method for the Determ
Page 85 and 86:
-69- The Helicopter-Borne Turbulenc
Page 87 and 88:
- 71 - CEOP Reference Site Data fro
Page 89 and 90:
- 73 - The BALTEX Hydrological Data
Page 91 and 92:
- 75 - Hydrological and Hydrochemic
Page 93 and 94:
-77- Sea-level Monitoring at MARNET
Page 95 and 96:
1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 GO(CLD-M) ERA40 S
Page 97 and 98:
Figure 2. Monhly mean values of lat
Page 99 and 100:
In the case of an ideal fit, the co
Page 101 and 102:
- 85 - Influence of Atmospheric For
Page 103 and 104:
The largest inter-annual variabilit
Page 105 and 106:
References Andrejev, O, Sokolov, A.
Page 107 and 108:
On the other hand, if the stratific
Page 109 and 110:
Cyberska 1989, Cyberska and Krzymin
Page 111 and 112:
- 95 - Continental-Scale Water-Bala
Page 113 and 114:
- 97 - ICTS (Inter-CSE Transferabil
Page 115 and 116:
The subsurface flow calculation is
Page 117 and 118:
functions only data with higher qua
Page 119 and 120:
- 103 - Modelling the Impact of Ine
Page 121 and 122:
- 105 - Objective Calibration of th
Page 123 and 124:
- 107 - Validation of Boundary Laye
Page 125 and 126:
- 109 - Simulated Dynamical Process
Page 127 and 128:
spreads along isobaths (fig.2). As
Page 129 and 130:
than the precipitation pattern of J
Page 131 and 132:
Figure 2. Long-term variability in
Page 133 and 134:
obvious from temperature charts. Ho
Page 135 and 136:
shortening of the winter seasons by
Page 137 and 138:
Maximum 5 day precipitation (mm) Nu
Page 139 and 140:
scale parameters the correlation be
Page 141 and 142:
similar: the locations of main mini
Page 143 and 144:
- 127 - Storminess on the Western C
Page 145 and 146:
- 129 - Trends in Wind Speed over t
Page 147 and 148:
- 131 - Wind Energy Prognoses for t
Page 149 and 150:
- 133 - Detection of Climate Change
Page 151 and 152:
Figure 3. Cross section of salinity
Page 153 and 154:
of 35 m/s up to 3 hours. Data on wi
Page 155 and 156:
Figure 2. Time series of Mean Sea L
Page 157 and 158:
- 141 - Calculation and Forecast of
Page 159 and 160:
- 143 - An Overview of Long-Term Ti
Page 161 and 162:
- 145 - Baltic Sea Saltwater Inflow
Page 163 and 164:
- 147 - Significance of Feedback in
Page 165 and 166:
Lindström, G., Johansson, B., Pers
Page 167 and 168:
- 151 - Air-Sea Fluxes Including Mo
Page 169 and 170:
- 153 - The Realism of the ECHAM5.2
Page 171 and 172:
- 155 - Figure 3. Accumulated total
Page 173 and 174:
Figure 2. Example for Fourier decom
Page 175 and 176:
Figure1. Modeled percent volume cha
Page 177 and 178:
conditions even more challenging th
Page 179 and 180:
surface heat fluxes close to zero.
Page 181 and 182:
- 165 - Figure 1. Modeled seasonal
Page 183 and 184:
- 167 - Present-Day and Future Prec
Page 185 and 186:
- 169 - Extreme Precipitation on a
Page 187 and 188:
at the stations Pärnu (Estonia) an
Page 189 and 190:
6. Results There are many possible
Page 191 and 192:
and vegetation, and to derive the h
Page 193 and 194:
The structure of water bodies cadas
Page 195 and 196:
Figure 1. The area of Gdańsk subje
Page 197 and 198:
- 181 - Climate and Water Resources
Page 199 and 200:
- 183 - Generating Synthetic Daily
Page 201 and 202:
The evapotranspiration is affected
Page 203 and 204:
Model parameters and coefficients:
Page 205:
3. Hydrodynamic model of nutrient l
Page 208 and 209:
No. 15: Minutes of 8 th Meeting of
show all

Fourth Study Conference on BALTEX Scala Cinema Gudhjem

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?