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Fourth Study Conference on BALTEX Scala Cinema Gudhjem

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- 186 -<br />

Modelling Riverine Nutrient Input to the Baltic Sea and Water Quality<br />

Measures in Sweden<br />

Berit Arheimer<br />

Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), 601 76 Norrköping, Sweden. E-mail: Berit.Arheimer@smhi.se<br />

1. Introducti<strong>on</strong><br />

Eutrophicati<strong>on</strong> in the Baltic Sea and its coastal z<strong>on</strong>e is<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sidered a serious envir<strong>on</strong>mental problem. The problems<br />

are mainly caused by excessive load of nitrogen (N) and<br />

phosphorus (P). The nati<strong>on</strong>s around the Baltic Sea report<br />

their nati<strong>on</strong>al load to the Helsinki Commissi<strong>on</strong> (HELCOM),<br />

and at the latest load compilati<strong>on</strong> it was also obliged to<br />

specify the c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> from various sources. At present,<br />

water management in Sweden is going through dramatic<br />

changes related to the adopti<strong>on</strong> of the EU Water Framework<br />

Directive, a new Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Code and revised<br />

Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Quality Objectives. New policies including<br />

catchment-based management plans will be implemented,<br />

which also demand catchment-based knowledge of nutrient<br />

transport processes and appropriate tools for measure<br />

planning. An integrated catchment model (Fig.1) has thus<br />

been developed to be used for catchment characterisati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

internati<strong>on</strong>al reporting and scenario estimates for more<br />

efficient c<strong>on</strong>trol strategies. The model may be applied at<br />

different scales and with different resoluti<strong>on</strong> (Arheimer,<br />

2003).<br />

The catchment model is applied <strong>on</strong> the nati<strong>on</strong>al scale within<br />

a nested model system, called TRK (Brandt and Ejhed,<br />

2003), which calculates flow-normalised annual average of<br />

nutrient gross load, N retenti<strong>on</strong> and net transport, and source<br />

apporti<strong>on</strong>ment of the N load reaching the sea. The system<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sists of several submodels with different levels of<br />

process descripti<strong>on</strong>s that are linked together. Dynamic and<br />

detailed models are included for arable leaching, water<br />

balance, and N removal. Landscape informati<strong>on</strong>, leaching<br />

rates and emissi<strong>on</strong>s are combined through GIS. The model is<br />

validated against independent observati<strong>on</strong>s. The results are<br />

spatially lumped <strong>on</strong> a subbasin level, and 20 years of daily<br />

results are used when averaging to avoid weather-induced<br />

bias. This presentati<strong>on</strong> will be focused <strong>on</strong>: 1) model<br />

evaluati<strong>on</strong> at various scales, 2) analysis of impact from<br />

various measures in <strong>on</strong>e case-study, and, 3) model<br />

applicability at the scale of the entire Baltic Sea basin.<br />

Rain and snow<br />

Soil and<br />

Vegetati<strong>on</strong><br />

(forest, arable, pasture,<br />

Root z<strong>on</strong>e<br />

other open land)<br />

leaching c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Rural<br />

Groundwater<br />

households<br />

(transformati<strong>on</strong>)<br />

HBV-NP<br />

Surface<br />

runoff,<br />

Macro<br />

pore flow<br />

Point<br />

sources<br />

Upstream<br />

subbasins<br />

River<br />

( transformati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

= water<br />

= nutrients<br />

Atm. depositi<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>on</strong> water surfaces<br />

Lakes / Wetlands<br />

(transformati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

erosi<strong>on</strong>) depositi<strong>on</strong>)<br />

Figure 1. Schematic structure of the dynamic<br />

catchment model HBV-NP.<br />

outflow<br />

2. Methodology<br />

Root-z<strong>on</strong>e leaching: Leaching c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s from arable<br />

land is calculated by the Swedish University of Agriculture<br />

(SLU) with the SOILNDB model for different field<br />

categories of Sweden, with c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> taken to crop<br />

rotati<strong>on</strong>. The procedure results in <strong>on</strong>e normalised<br />

c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> for each combinati<strong>on</strong> of regi<strong>on</strong>, soils and<br />

crop. A similar approach is being developed for P based<br />

<strong>on</strong> the ICECREAM model.<br />

Water balance and discharge: The water balance at the<br />

catchment-scale is estimated by using the c<strong>on</strong>ceptual<br />

rainfall-runoff model HBV, which makes daily<br />

calculati<strong>on</strong>s in coupled subbasins al<strong>on</strong>g the river network.<br />

The HBV model c<strong>on</strong>sists of routines for snow melt and<br />

accumulati<strong>on</strong>, soil moisture, runoff resp<strong>on</strong>se and routing<br />

through lakes and streams. Driving variables are daily<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> and temperature, and m<strong>on</strong>thly mean values of<br />

potential evaporati<strong>on</strong>. In the model, subbasins can be<br />

disaggregated into elevati<strong>on</strong> z<strong>on</strong>es (for temperature<br />

correcti<strong>on</strong>s) and land-cover types. Within each unit a<br />

statistical distributi<strong>on</strong> of soil moisture is assumed. The<br />

applicati<strong>on</strong> of Sweden includes 1000 subbasins, in the<br />

range 200-700 km 2 . However, the model c<strong>on</strong>cept is also<br />

applied for local management plans with higher resoluti<strong>on</strong>,<br />

or for the entire Baltic Sea basin, <strong>on</strong>ly including some 30<br />

subbasins.<br />

Land cover, emissi<strong>on</strong>s and atmospheric depositi<strong>on</strong>: For<br />

each subbasin land cover is aggregated into the classes:<br />

arable field-type (13 crops <strong>on</strong> 9 soils in 22 regi<strong>on</strong>s; i.e.,<br />

2574 types <strong>on</strong> Sweden), forest type (3 types in Sweden),<br />

clear-cut forest (additi<strong>on</strong>al leaching according to<br />

atmospheric depositi<strong>on</strong> rate), urban, and lakes (3 types<br />

according to positi<strong>on</strong> in the catchment). Emissi<strong>on</strong>s are<br />

classified as industrial point sources, municipal treatment<br />

plants, and rural households. The first two are based <strong>on</strong><br />

empirical data, while the latter is based <strong>on</strong> populati<strong>on</strong><br />

statistics and coefficients c<strong>on</strong>sidering average treatment<br />

level in the regi<strong>on</strong>. Atmospheric depositi<strong>on</strong> is calculated<br />

for each lake surface by using seas<strong>on</strong>al results from the<br />

MATCH model.<br />

Nutrient transformati<strong>on</strong> and erosi<strong>on</strong> processes: The<br />

HBV model calculates average storage (and residencetime)<br />

of water and nutrients between root-z<strong>on</strong>e and<br />

stream, in streams and in lakes for each subbasin.<br />

Leaching c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s are assigned to the water<br />

percolating from the unsaturated z<strong>on</strong>e of the soil to the<br />

groundwater reservoir. Different c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s are used<br />

for different land-covers and load from rural households is<br />

added. Removal processes in groundwater are c<strong>on</strong>sidered<br />

before the water and nutrients enter the stream, where<br />

additi<strong>on</strong>al load from industries and treatment-plants may<br />

be added as well as river discharge from upstream<br />

subbasins. Transformati<strong>on</strong> processes may occur in the<br />

stream and in lakes, and atmospheric depositi<strong>on</strong> is added<br />

to lake surfaces (for other land covers it is included in the<br />

soil leaching). In the P routine (Anderss<strong>on</strong> et al., 2003), he<br />

root z<strong>on</strong>e c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s are separated into micro- and<br />

macro-pore flow, and c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>s in surface runoff is<br />

treated in a soil erosi<strong>on</strong> GIS-submodel. Stream bank<br />

erosi<strong>on</strong> is included for the watercourses, as well as<br />

diffusi<strong>on</strong> from sediments and biological transformati<strong>on</strong>.

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