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Fourth Study Conference on BALTEX Scala Cinema Gudhjem

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- 9 -<br />

Precipitati<strong>on</strong> Type Statistics in the Baltic Regi<strong>on</strong> Derived from Three Years<br />

of <strong>BALTEX</strong> Radar Data Centre (BRDC) Data<br />

Ralf Bennartz 1,2 and Andi Walther 2<br />

1 University of Wisc<strong>on</strong>sin, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madis<strong>on</strong>, Wisc<strong>on</strong>sin, US, bennartz@aos.wisc.edu<br />

2 Free University of Berlin, Inst. For Space Sciences, Berlin, Germany<br />

1. Abstract<br />

A method to classify precipitati<strong>on</strong> events based <strong>on</strong> their<br />

spatial extend and texture has been developed. The method<br />

allows to distinguish large-scale precipitati<strong>on</strong> features<br />

typically associated with fr<strong>on</strong>tal systems from more smallscale<br />

features which are usually found in isolated<br />

c<strong>on</strong>vective cells. We use the Baltic Radar Data Centre<br />

(Michels<strong>on</strong> et al., 2000) composite images to classify<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> events based <strong>on</strong> their temporal and spatial<br />

characteristics. The questi<strong>on</strong>s we wish to address are:<br />

− How much precipitati<strong>on</strong> falls directly associated with<br />

fr<strong>on</strong>tal overpasses?<br />

− What is the annual cycle and interannual variability of<br />

the fr<strong>on</strong>tal precipitati<strong>on</strong> events?<br />

− Can we use the diagnostic tools to validate regi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

climate models for the current state and thus assign<br />

error margins to climate change scenarios?<br />

We present the classificati<strong>on</strong> method and results for the<br />

Baltic area for a three year period starting January 2000.<br />

2. Introducti<strong>on</strong><br />

Previous radar work has mainly emphasized the distincti<strong>on</strong><br />

between different types of cloud microphysical processes<br />

that trigger precipitati<strong>on</strong>. These classificati<strong>on</strong>s typically<br />

assign a precipitati<strong>on</strong> event either the classes stratiform or<br />

c<strong>on</strong>vective based <strong>on</strong> the main cloud microphysical processes<br />

that drive the precipitati<strong>on</strong> event ( e.g. Steiner et al. (1995),<br />

Biggerstaff and Listemaa (2000) or Anagnostou and<br />

Kummerow (1997). While these classificati<strong>on</strong>s are of great<br />

importance to understand the day to day variability of radar<br />

events and also to understand the variability in the relati<strong>on</strong><br />

between rain rate and radar reflectivity, they clearly can not<br />

serve to answer the above questi<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

The classificati<strong>on</strong> approach we take is therefore not strictly<br />

microphysical but distinguishes between different types of<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> based <strong>on</strong> the large scale characteristics of radar<br />

composites. Such characteristics include the horiz<strong>on</strong>tal<br />

extend of individual precipitating system, their spatial<br />

homogeneity, as well as their temporal variati<strong>on</strong>. We show<br />

that this classificati<strong>on</strong> allows to distinguish between<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> events associated with fr<strong>on</strong>ts and precipitati<strong>on</strong><br />

events that are triggered by c<strong>on</strong>vecti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

In the subsequent c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s we will therefore<br />

distinguish between fr<strong>on</strong>tal precipitati<strong>on</strong> and c<strong>on</strong>vective<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> events. Both the terms fr<strong>on</strong>tal and c<strong>on</strong>vective<br />

are hereafter used to describe the weather situati<strong>on</strong> that<br />

triggers the precipitati<strong>on</strong> event and not the microphysical<br />

processes that lead to precipitati<strong>on</strong> formati<strong>on</strong>. It might well<br />

be that within a fr<strong>on</strong>tal precipitati<strong>on</strong> event precipitati<strong>on</strong> is<br />

formed via str<strong>on</strong>g updrafts and hence is c<strong>on</strong>vective in a<br />

microphysical sense (embedded c<strong>on</strong>vecti<strong>on</strong>). Similarly,<br />

even the most intensive c<strong>on</strong>vectively driven precipitati<strong>on</strong><br />

events usually c<strong>on</strong>sist of parts where precipitati<strong>on</strong><br />

generati<strong>on</strong> is driven by stratiform processes (e. g. stratiform<br />

tail). It is therefore important to note that we use the terms<br />

fr<strong>on</strong>tal and c<strong>on</strong>vective in a synoptic sense.<br />

3. Results<br />

Figure 1 shows the amount of precipitati<strong>on</strong> events not<br />

associated with fr<strong>on</strong>tal passages for the years 2000 until<br />

2002. In the summer m<strong>on</strong>th up to 90 % of the<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> events are due to isolated c<strong>on</strong>vective events.<br />

A str<strong>on</strong>g interannual variability can also be observed. In<br />

2000 a single maximum of c<strong>on</strong>vective precipitati<strong>on</strong> occurs<br />

in July and August. In the years 2001 and 2002 two<br />

maxima can be identified, <strong>on</strong>e in May and <strong>on</strong>e in July,<br />

August. Fr<strong>on</strong>tal passages prevail in various periods in the<br />

fall an winter seas<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Figure 1. Percentage of c<strong>on</strong>vective precipitati<strong>on</strong> in the<br />

BRDC-area for as a functi<strong>on</strong> of local time for the period<br />

January 2000 until December 2002.<br />

References<br />

Anagnostou, N. E. and Kummerow, C,1997: Stratiform<br />

and c<strong>on</strong>vective classificati<strong>on</strong> of rainfall using SSM/I<br />

85-Ghz brightness temperature observati<strong>on</strong>s, Journal<br />

of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 14, 570-<br />

575.<br />

Biggerstaff, M.I. and Listemaa, S., 2000: An improved for<br />

c<strong>on</strong>vective/ stratiform echo classificati<strong>on</strong> using radar<br />

reflectivity. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 39,<br />

2129-2150.<br />

Michels<strong>on</strong>, D. and Anderss<strong>on</strong>, T. and Koistinen, J. and<br />

Collier, C. and Riedl, J. and Szturc, J. and Gjertsen, U.<br />

and Nielsen, A. and Overgaard, S., 2000: <strong>BALTEX</strong><br />

Radar DATA Centre Products and their<br />

Methodologies, SMHI-Report 90, SMHI, SE-60176<br />

Norrköping, Sweden.<br />

Steiner, M. and Houze Jr. , R. A. and Yuter, S., 1997:<br />

Climatological characterizati<strong>on</strong>s of three-dimensi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

storm structure from operati<strong>on</strong>al radar and rain gauge<br />

data. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 34, 1978-2007.

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