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Fourth Study Conference on BALTEX Scala Cinema Gudhjem

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Figure 2. L<strong>on</strong>g-term variability in Nortern Eurasia of<br />

A) snow depth, B) number of days with snow cover<br />

>50% and C) winter temperature (November-May).<br />

Solid lines indicate liner trends.<br />

The variati<strong>on</strong> of the period with stable snow cover in the<br />

Arctic coasts of Europe occurs due to a l<strong>on</strong>g-term increase<br />

of winter precipitati<strong>on</strong>. The trend of total precipitati<strong>on</strong> over<br />

November-May is positive (+0.54 mm year -1 ) for the North-<br />

European regi<strong>on</strong>. A Special feature observed during the last<br />

decades in Scandinavia is a tendency to decrease of solid<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> and increase of liquid. According to data from<br />

the weather stati<strong>on</strong> Ny-Ålesund (Spitsbergen), the normal<br />

average annual and winter (DJF) temperatures are resp. –6.0<br />

and –12.1 o C. Normal liquid, solid and mixed annual<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> is 103, 176 and 125 mm, and during winter<br />

resp. 12, 133 and 81 mm. The annual sum of precipitati<strong>on</strong><br />

increases by 0.536 mm year -1 ). The increase of annual<br />

average temperature (+0.9 o C year -1 ) implies changes in<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> structure. The amount of mixed precipitati<strong>on</strong><br />

grows and that of solid precipitati<strong>on</strong> decreases (trends are<br />

+0.43 and –0.77 mm year -1 ), while there is no significant<br />

trend in liquid precipitati<strong>on</strong>. This is caused by increasing air<br />

- 115 -<br />

temperature in the Barents Sea, and is linked to variati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

in the oceanic and atmospheric circulati<strong>on</strong> in the Northern<br />

Atlantic (Førland & Hanssen-Bauer 2000).<br />

3. Durati<strong>on</strong> of snow cover and features of<br />

atmospheric circulati<strong>on</strong><br />

The correlati<strong>on</strong> between spatial-temporal variati<strong>on</strong>s of the<br />

snow cover parameters and variati<strong>on</strong> of the indexes NAO<br />

and the Siberian baric minimum is poor (Kitaev et al.<br />

2002-a). Significant correlati<strong>on</strong> is observed between the<br />

period with stable snow cover in the Far East and<br />

variability of the Aleutian baric maximum <strong>on</strong>ly. Positive<br />

fluctuati<strong>on</strong>s of the cycl<strong>on</strong>ic activity of baric maximum<br />

predetermines increase of autumn and spring air<br />

temperatures and reducti<strong>on</strong> of the period with stable snow<br />

cover under the maintenance of c<strong>on</strong>siderable snow water<br />

equivalents.<br />

4. C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

As a whole for North Eurasia there has been an increase of<br />

snow depth and durati<strong>on</strong> of snow cover during 1936-2000.<br />

Also the winter temperature has increased in this period.<br />

This situati<strong>on</strong> is c<strong>on</strong>sistent with the tendencies of the<br />

present warming, where the increase of air temperature<br />

cause an increase of annual precipitati<strong>on</strong> and winter<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> in particular, and c<strong>on</strong>sequently also an<br />

increase in the snow water equivalent (Førland &<br />

Hanssen-Bauer 2000; Kitaev et al. 2002-b).<br />

Although there is an universal l<strong>on</strong>g-term increase of air<br />

temperature of winter in the regi<strong>on</strong>, the durati<strong>on</strong> of snow<br />

cover increases in the north of the studied regi<strong>on</strong> and<br />

decreases in the south. This may be c<strong>on</strong>nected to z<strong>on</strong>al<br />

increase of air temperature from the north to the south at<br />

weak change of precipitati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

The excepti<strong>on</strong> is the Scandinavian Peninsula, where there<br />

is a l<strong>on</strong>g-term tendency of decrease in number of days<br />

with stable snow cover and a change of precipitati<strong>on</strong><br />

structure (increase of amount of mixed precipitati<strong>on</strong> and<br />

decrease of amount of solid).<br />

Statistical correlati<strong>on</strong> between variati<strong>on</strong>s of the snow<br />

cover and variati<strong>on</strong> of the indexes NAO and the Siberian<br />

baric minimum is poor<br />

Detailed elaborati<strong>on</strong> of the results should be based <strong>on</strong><br />

l<strong>on</strong>ger period of observati<strong>on</strong> data and <strong>on</strong> quantitative<br />

estimati<strong>on</strong> of interacti<strong>on</strong> of changes of snow cover,<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> and air temperature<br />

References<br />

Førland E.J., Hanssen-Bauer I. Increased precipitati<strong>on</strong> in<br />

the Norwegian Arctic: true or false? Climatic Change,<br />

No 46, pp. 485-509, 2000.<br />

Kitaev L., Razuvaev V. and Martuganov R. Spatial<br />

peculiarity of the climatic and snow cover parameters<br />

fields interannual changes of North Eurasia. Third<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Study</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>C<strong>on</strong>ference</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>BALTEX</strong>, Publicati<strong>on</strong> No 20,<br />

pp.107-108, 2001.<br />

Kitaev L.M. Spatial and temporal variati<strong>on</strong>s of snow depth<br />

in the Northetn Hemisphere. Russian Meteorology<br />

and Hydrology, No 5, pp.20-25, 2002.<br />

Kitaev L., Kislov A., Krenke A., Razuvaev V.,<br />

Martuganov R., K<strong>on</strong>stantinov I. The snow cover<br />

characteristics of northern Eurasia and their<br />

relati<strong>on</strong>ship to climatic parameters. Boreal<br />

Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Research, Vol. 7, No, pp. 437-44, 2002.

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